Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, April 3, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Magic	80%	112	109	121.1	90	86.8
	29	Wizards	20%	99	97	109.0	89	93.4

Scoring Opportunities

ORL

+17

-8

WAS

+13

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.10 55.1%

WAS

1.09 54.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 22	39.0	33	59%	18	8	0	1	4	0	3	15	8-10	80%	8-19	42%	3-5	60%
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 24	33.9	27	64%	5	5	1	0	1	0	0	5	4-4	100%	7-12	58%	3-7	43%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 32	32.9	13	108%	3	5	2	1	1	1	0	3	6-6	100%	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 26	30.1	10	56%	7	2	0	0	0	3	4	3	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-2	0%
Cory Joseph #10 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 34	25.3	8	67%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-5	40%

Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 21	22.7	6	30%	3	4	1	2	0	2	1	2	0-1	0%	3-7	43%	0-3	0%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	15.2	0	0%	2	1	0	1	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 25	14.1	8	67%	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 27	13.6	4	40%	4	1	2	2	1	0	3	1	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	10.8	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 26	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mac McClung #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Trochlea Cartilage Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	55%	47	27	7	8	8	12	13	34	22-25	88%	27-52	52%	11-30	37%

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14 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 22	39.0	33	59%	18	8	0	1	4	0	3	15	8-10	80%	8-19	42%	3-5	60%
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 24	33.9	27	64%	5	5	1	0	1	0	0	5	4-4	100%	7-12	58%	3-7	43%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 32	32.9	13	108%	3	5	2	1	1	1	0	3	6-6	100%	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 26	30.1	10	56%	7	2	0	0	0	3	4	3	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-2	0%
Cory Joseph #10 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 34	25.3	8	67%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-5	40%

Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 21	22.7	6	30%	3	4	1	2	0	2	1	2	0-1	0%	3-7	43%	0-3	0%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	15.2	0	0%	2	1	0	1	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 25	14.1	8	67%	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 27	13.6	4	40%	4	1	2	2	1	0	3	1	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	10.8	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 26	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mac McClung #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Trochlea Cartilage Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	55%	47	27	7	8	8	12	13	34	22-25	88%	27-52	52%	11-30	37%

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29 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	36.6	32	89%	9	7	0	0	1	3	1	8	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	7-10	70%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	32.1	10	29%	6	6	1	0	3	2	1	5	2-2	100%	4-11	36%	0-5	0%
AJ Johnson #5 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20	28.9	11	50%	4	2	0	1	3	4	0	4	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	1-2	50%
Marcus Smart #36 · PF · 6'3" 220 · 31	24.6	12	75%	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	23.1	8	67%	1	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-2	0%

Colby Jones #1 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	37.0	6	38%	7	0	1	0	1	4	1	6	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-4	0%
Jaylen Martin #4 · SF · 6'6" 216 · 21	21.8	7	50%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	1-2	50%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	21.8	4	33%	5	0	0	0	0	1	4	1	0-2	0%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	14.2	7	50%	1	0	0	1	4	4	0	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-1	100%
JT Thor #21 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Surgery
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Surgery
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Contusion, Injury Management
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Contusion
Khris Middleton #32 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	55%	38	16	4	3	13	20	8	30	9-11	82%	26-55	47%	12-30	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	WAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.10 55.1%

WAS

1.09 54.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ORL

65%

WAS

50%

Midrange

ORL

38%

WAS

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ORL

16.5

37%

55%

WAS

18.0

40%

60%

Free Throws

ORL

88%

WAS

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Banchero	33	59%	16.5 / 28
F. Wagner	27	64%	13.5 / 21
K. Caldwell-Pope	13	108%	6.5 / 6
W. Carter	10	56%	5.0 / 9
C. Joseph	8	67%	4.0 / 6
C. Anthony	8	67%	4.0 / 6
A. Black	6	30%	3.0 / 10
J. Isaac	4	40%	2.0 / 5
C. Houstan	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Carrington	32	89%	16.0 / 18
M. Smart	12	75%	6.0 / 8
A. Johnson	11	50%	5.5 / 11
A. Sarr	10	29%	5.0 / 17
J. Champagnie	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. Martin	7	50%	3.5 / 7
T. Vukcevic	7	50%	3.5 / 7
C. Jones	6	38%	3.0 / 8
A. Gill	4	33%	2.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	27 109.1 30 105.8	ORL 121.1 +12.1 WAS 109.0
Pace	30 96.4 4 101.8	ORL 86.8 WAS 93.4 +6.6
Avg. Poss. Time	1 15.5 23 14.0	ORL 16.6 WAS 15.4 −1.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 51.0% 28 51.2%	ORL 53.0% +1.2% WAS 51.8%
TO %	18 13.5% 27 14.6%	ORL 11.4% −1.2% WAS 12.6%
ORB %	17 25.3% 25 22.7%	ORL 30.2% +11.2% WAS 19.0%
FTrt	2 26.9 26 22.9	ORL 30.5 +17.6 WAS 12.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	25 60.3% 12 63.7%	ORL 71.1% +29.0% WAS 42.1%
STL %	6 9.2% 25 7.4%	ORL 7.8% +3.3% WAS 4.5%
BLK %	1 11.9% 12 9.6%	ORL 14.5% +8.7% WAS 5.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	28 53.3% 29 53.2%	ORL 55.1% +0.6% WAS 54.5%
Rim FG%	19 63.6% 17 63.7%	ORL 65.4% +15.4% WAS 50.0%
Mid FG%	22 41.4% 30 38.0%	ORL 38.5% WAS 45.7% +7.2%
3P %	30 31.8% 29 33.5%	ORL 36.7% WAS 40.0% +3.3%
FT %	19 77.5% 16 77.8%	ORL 88.0% +6.2% WAS 81.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	15 31.5% 21 30.5%	ORL 31.7% +8.2% WAS 23.5%
Mid Att. %	19 27.4% 11 25.9%	ORL 31.7% −9.5% WAS 41.2%
3P Att. %	18 41.1% 10 43.6%	ORL 36.6% +1.3% WAS 35.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.65 and 2.65.

Game Totals	ORL	WAS
Possessions	90	89
Possession Minutes	24.9	22.9
Points	109	97
Rebounds	47	38
Assists	27	16
Steals	7	4
Blocks	8	3
Turnovers (Team)	8 (4)	13 (0)
Fouls	12	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (4)	8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (0)	30 (0)
Field Goals	38-82	38-85
At-the-Rim FG	17-26	10-20
Midrange FG	10-26	16-35
2-Point FG	27-52	26-55
3-Point FG	11-30	12-30
Free Throws	22-25	9-11
Fast Break Pts	13	8
2nd Chance Pts	15	11
Points in Paint	50	40
Pts off Turnovers	18	14
Bench Points	18	24
Biggest Lead	19	3

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg