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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 3, 2025
7:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Grizzlies60%115110
12Heat40%111108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jaylen Wells
F · 6'8" 205 · 21.6
26.1
25.9
13
82%
7
3
0
1
0
1
2
5
1-2
50%
3-3
2-3
100%
54%
2-4
50%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 25.5
36.8
29.5
13
57%
4
1
1
1
2
5
1
3
0-1
0%
2-6
6-11
33%
54%
3-5
60%
Zach Edey
C · 7'4" 305 · 22.9
27.7
22.4
8
103%
13
1
0
1
1
3
2
11
2-2
100%
3-3
4-6
100%
61%
0-0
-
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.8
36.4
31.6
17
34%
9
6
1
1
0
0
2
7
4-4
100%
5-14
4-8
36%
55%
1-9
11%
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.6
32.4
32.0
30
61%
5
3
1
1
0
4
2
3
5-6
83%
8-15
7-13
53%
54%
3-7
43%
Santi Aldama
F-C · 6'11" 215 · 24.2
29.7
29.0
9
64%
8
2
2
1
0
2
2
6
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
59%
3-7
43%
Scotty Pippen Jr.
G · 6'3" 170 · 24.4
26.8
21.3
17
86%
1
7
2
1
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
54%
3-4
75%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.8
22.3
21.3
3
50%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
51%
1-2
50%
Lamar Stevens
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.7
1.8
4.6
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
GG Jackson
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.3
6.8
0
1-1
51%
Marvin Bagley III
F · 6'11" 234 · 26.1
6.5
0
1-2
57%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.0
6.4
0
0-0
59%
Jay Huff
F · 7'1" 240 · 27.6
6.2
0
1-1
66%
Cam Spencer
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.0
3.0
0
0-0
50%
Yuki Kawamura
G · 5'8" 159 · 23.9
1.8
0
0-0
48%
Vince Williams Jr.
G · 6'6" 205 · 24.6
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 28.5
Zyon Pullin
G · 6'4" 206 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pelle Larsson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
23.2
24.1
3
39%
2
3
4
1
1
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 27.7
34.0
30.5
26
48%
7
5
1
1
2
2
3
4
2-2
100%
9-22
6-11
41%
54%
2-4
50%
Kel'el Ware
C · 7'0" 230 · 21.0
35.4
27.0
13
47%
15
0
0
1
3
0
5
10
1-2
50%
3-9
4-7
33%
62%
2-4
50%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 33.7
16.1
17.9
2
17%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-5
0%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 25.2
37.1
34.4
35
67%
9
4
0
1
1
3
2
7
7-7
100%
8-16
6-11
50%
53%
4-7
57%
Davion Mitchell
G · 6'0" 202 · 26.6
37.0
25.9
11
62%
4
7
3
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
54%
3-5
60%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.3
26.2
6
77%
3
2
0
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 31.5
20.2
20.8
6
34%
2
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
51%
0-3
0%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.9
10.8
9.6
6
60%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
58%
2-3
67%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'7" 225 · 24.1
9.5
0
1-2
54%
Keshad Johnson
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.8
2.9
0
0-0
54%
Josh Christopher
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.3
2.8
0
0-1
53%
Isaiah Stevens
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.4
2.6
0
0-0
48%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 36.6
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 30.1
Nikola Jović
F · 6'10" 205 · 21.8
Dru Smith
G · 6'3" 203 · 27.3
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 31.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.