Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, April 3, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Bucks	70%	116	126	131.3	96	96.0
	28	76ers	30%	109	113	117.7	96	97.4

Scoring Opportunities

MIL

-11

PHI

+16

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.34 67.0%

PHI

1.14 57.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

18 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 30	38.7	35	76%	17	20	2	0	2	0	2	15	10-11	91%	11-18	61%	1-1	100%
Kyle Kuzma #18 · SF · 6'8" 221 · 30	31.9	16	62%	4	3	1	3	3	3	0	4	2-6	33%	4-6	67%	2-4	50%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 37	31.4	17	71%	3	1	0	3	0	4	2	1	1-3	33%	5-8	63%	2-3	67%
Taurean Prince #12 · SG · 6'6" 218 · 31	30.6	13	65%	1	1	1	0	0	2	0	1	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	2-6	33%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 23	29.3	10	63%	2	1	0	0	4	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-3	67%

Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26	22.9	13	65%	2	1	3	0	0	0	1	1	4-5	80%	0-2	0%	3-6	50%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 26	19.3	12	120%	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-5	80%
Kevin Porter Jr. #3 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 25	17.6	8	80%	5	3	0	0	1	0	1	4	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-1	0%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 32	12.8	2	33%	2	2	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 23	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Pete Nance #35 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 25	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	1.1	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 20	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jamaree Bouyea #15 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 26	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; UCL sprain
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	Inactive - League Suspension
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	67%	40	32	7	7	11	14	8	32	18-27	67%	30-51	59%	16-31	52%

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18 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 30	38.7	35	76%	17	20	2	0	2	0	2	15	10-11	91%	11-18	61%	1-1	100%
Kyle Kuzma #18 · SF · 6'8" 221 · 30	31.9	16	62%	4	3	1	3	3	3	0	4	2-6	33%	4-6	67%	2-4	50%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 37	31.4	17	71%	3	1	0	3	0	4	2	1	1-3	33%	5-8	63%	2-3	67%
Taurean Prince #12 · SG · 6'6" 218 · 31	30.6	13	65%	1	1	1	0	0	2	0	1	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	2-6	33%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 23	29.3	10	63%	2	1	0	0	4	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-3	67%

Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26	22.9	13	65%	2	1	3	0	0	0	1	1	4-5	80%	0-2	0%	3-6	50%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 26	19.3	12	120%	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-5	80%
Kevin Porter Jr. #3 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 25	17.6	8	80%	5	3	0	0	1	0	1	4	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-1	0%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 32	12.8	2	33%	2	2	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 23	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Pete Nance #35 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 25	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	1.1	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 20	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jamaree Bouyea #15 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 26	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; UCL sprain
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	Inactive - League Suspension
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	67%	40	32	7	7	11	14	8	32	18-27	67%	30-51	59%	16-31	52%

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28 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Quentin Grimes #5 · SG · 6'5" 207 · 25	37.7	24	63%	3	10	1	0	3	1	1	2	7-9	78%	4-8	50%	3-8	38%
Guerschon Yabusele #28 · PF · 6'7" 265 · 29	35.1	22	69%	6	3	1	0	1	2	3	3	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	4-9	44%
Adem Bona #30 · C · 6'10" 235 · 22	34.9	28	93%	6	0	2	3	3	5	3	3	2-3	67%	13-15	87%	0-0	-
Justin Edwards #19 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 21	32.2	8	40%	8	3	2	0	1	1	1	7	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Jared Butler #12 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 25	31.3	14	58%	1	4	1	1	2	1	0	1	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	3-7	43%

Jalen Hood-Schifino #17 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 22	18.8	7	70%	3	3	0	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Lonnie Walker IV #16 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 26	17.2	4	29%	4	4	1	0	2	0	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-4	0%
Ricky Council IV #14 · SF · 6'6" 207 · 24	16.0	4	40%	5	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Colin Castleton #18 · C · 6'10" 250 · 25	15.7	2	25%	3	3	0	0	0	4	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Phillip Wheeler #36 · NA · 6'8" 185 · 23	1.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Andre Drummond #1 · C · 6'11" 279 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Sprain
Jeff Dowtin Jr. #11 · PG · 6'3" 177 · 28	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alex Reese #65 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 39	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Injury Management
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Finger; Sprain
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Paul George #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Injury Recovery
Jared McCain #20 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Surgery
Eric Gordon #23 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	57%	40	30	8	4	13	18	11	29	15-19	79%	31-50	62%	12-39	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	PHI
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	PHI

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.34 67.0%

PHI

1.14 57.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

69%

PHI

67%

Midrange

MIL

38%

PHI

53%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

24.0

52%

77%

PHI

18.0

31%

46%

Free Throws

MIL

67%

PHI

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	35	76%	17.5 / 23
B. Lopez	17	71%	8.5 / 12
K. Kuzma	16	62%	8.0 / 13
T. Prince	13	65%	6.5 / 10
G. Trent	13	65%	6.5 / 10
A. Green	12	120%	6.0 / 5
R. Rollins	10	63%	5.0 / 8
K. Porter	8	80%	4.0 / 5
P. Connaughton	2	33%	1.0 / 3
C. Livingston	0	-	0.0 / 2
T. Smith	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Bona	28	93%	14.0 / 15
Q. Grimes	24	63%	12.0 / 19
G. Yabusele	22	69%	11.0 / 16
J. Butler	14	58%	7.0 / 12
J. Edwards	8	40%	4.0 / 10
J. Hood-Schifino	7	70%	3.5 / 5
L. Walker IV	4	29%	2.0 / 7
R. Council	4	40%	2.0 / 5
C. Castleton	2	25%	1.0 / 4
P. Wheeler	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 115.2 22 110.9	MIL 131.3 +13.5 PHI 117.7
Pace	14 99.9 22 98.2	MIL 96.0 PHI 97.4 +1.4
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.6 10 14.8	MIL 15.0 PHI 14.8 −0.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 56.8% 22 52.7%	MIL 65.9% +10.8% PHI 55.1%
TO %	7 12.7% 9 13.0%	MIL 10.5% −2.8% PHI 13.3%
ORB %	30 19.3% 22 23.4%	MIL 21.6% PHI 25.6% +4.0%
FTrt	3 26.8 6 25.7	MIL 32.9 +11.6 PHI 21.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	23 60.7% 29 58.4%	MIL 69.6% PHI 69.8% +0.2%
STL %	27 7.3% 5 9.3%	MIL 7.3% PHI 8.3% +1.0%
BLK %	20 9.1% 19 9.1%	MIL 14.0% +6.2% PHI 7.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 58.6% 22 54.8%	MIL 67.0% +9.9% PHI 57.1%
Rim FG%	5 66.9% 23 61.8%	MIL 68.6% +1.9% PHI 66.7%
Mid FG%	13 44.1% 19 42.0%	MIL 37.5% PHI 52.9% +15.4%
3P %	1 38.7% 27 34.1%	MIL 51.6% +20.8% PHI 30.8%
FT %	28 75.0% 15 78.0%	MIL 66.7% PHI 78.9% +12.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 30.0% 7 34.0%	MIL 42.7% +5.6% PHI 37.1%
Mid Att. %	21 27.5% 8 23.5%	MIL 19.5% PHI 19.1% −0.4%
3P Att. %	15 42.4% 14 42.5%	MIL 37.8% PHI 43.8% +6.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIL	PHI
Possessions	96	96
Possession Minutes	24.0	23.7
Points	126	113
Rebounds	40	40
Assists	32	30
Steals	7	8
Blocks	7	4
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	13 (2)
Fouls	14	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (1)	11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (1)	29 (2)
Field Goals	46-82	43-89
At-the-Rim FG	24-35	22-33
Midrange FG	6-16	9-17
2-Point FG	30-51	31-50
3-Point FG	16-31	12-39
Free Throws	18-27	15-19
Fast Break Pts	17	18
2nd Chance Pts	16	23
Points in Paint	56	56
Pts off Turnovers	25	19
Bench Points	35	17
Biggest Lead	18	17

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg