Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, April 3, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	Blazers	58%	111	112	110.9	101	92.5
	24	Raptors	42%	108	103	102.0	101	111.2

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+21

-20

102

TOR

+16

-17

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.10 54.9%

TOR

1.03 51.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

19 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dalano Banton #5 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 25	36.9	23	55%	3	2	0	0	6	2	2	1	5-5	100%	6-9	67%	2-10	20%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	34.1	36	72%	7	5	2	0	1	1	0	7	4-4	100%	10-13	77%	4-10	40%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 24	33.5	26	59%	15	6	2	2	7	2	7	8	4-4	100%	8-14	57%	2-6	33%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 21	29.8	8	57%	13	3	1	3	1	0	5	8	2-3	67%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25	24.6	5	31%	3	2	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-5	20%

Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 28	24.6	5	63%	3	1	3	1	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 23	17.6	2	33%	4	0	1	0	0	4	0	4	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	13.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	3	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 21	12.0	5	63%	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Justin Minaya #10 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26	7.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 29	6.0	2	100%	1	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 21	DND - Concussion Protocol
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Inflammation
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Forearm; Contusion
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Rib; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	55%	54	20	10	6	20	13	17	37	18-20	90%	32-52	62%	10-34	29%

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19 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dalano Banton #5 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 25	36.9	23	55%	3	2	0	0	6	2	2	1	5-5	100%	6-9	67%	2-10	20%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	34.1	36	72%	7	5	2	0	1	1	0	7	4-4	100%	10-13	77%	4-10	40%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 24	33.5	26	59%	15	6	2	2	7	2	7	8	4-4	100%	8-14	57%	2-6	33%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 21	29.8	8	57%	13	3	1	3	1	0	5	8	2-3	67%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25	24.6	5	31%	3	2	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-5	20%

Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 28	24.6	5	63%	3	1	3	1	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 23	17.6	2	33%	4	0	1	0	0	4	0	4	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	13.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	3	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 21	12.0	5	63%	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Justin Minaya #10 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26	7.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 29	6.0	2	100%	1	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 21	DND - Concussion Protocol
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Inflammation
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Forearm; Contusion
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Rib; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	55%	54	20	10	6	20	13	17	37	18-20	90%	32-52	62%	10-34	29%

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24 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	29.7	9	45%	7	3	1	0	1	3	3	4	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Orlando Robinson #21 · C · 6'10" 235 · 25	27.2	14	58%	5	3	1	0	0	1	3	2	0-0	-	4-9	44%	2-3	67%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 24	27.0	5	31%	2	5	1	0	2	1	0	2	1-1	100%	2-6	33%	0-2	0%
RJ Barrett #9 · SF · 6'6" 214 · 25	26.2	18	50%	5	4	3	1	1	1	1	4	0-1	0%	9-13	69%	0-5	0%
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 23	24.7	10	63%	3	3	2	0	2	2	2	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-3	67%

Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	27.8	10	50%	3	5	1	0	6	2	0	3	0-0	-	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 24	24.2	9	113%	4	1	0	0	2	1	2	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-4	75%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 25	21.4	15	68%	3	1	2	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	3-5	60%
A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 25	17.9	13	81%	3	4	2	0	3	4	1	2	0-1	0%	5-6	83%	1-2	50%
Cole Swider #12 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 26	13.8	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-6	0%
Jared Rhoden #8 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 39	DNP – Coach's Decision
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bone Bruise
Brandon Ingram #3 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Ulrich Chomche #22 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Partial Proximal MCL Tear
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 26	Inactive – Rest
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 29	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	52%	35	29	14	1	17	19	13	22	3-5	60%	32-62	52%	12-34	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	POR	TOR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.10 54.9%

TOR

1.03 51.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

64%

TOR

56%

Midrange

POR

50%

TOR

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

15.0

29%

44%

TOR

18.0

35%

53%

Free Throws

POR

90%

TOR

60%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Sharpe	36	72%	18.0 / 25
D. Avdija	26	59%	13.0 / 22
D. Banton	23	55%	11.5 / 21
D. Clingan	8	57%	4.0 / 7
T. Camara	5	31%	2.5 / 8
M. Thybulle	5	63%	2.5 / 4
R. Rupert	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Walker	2	33%	1.0 / 3
D. Reath	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Barrett	18	50%	9.0 / 18
O. Agbaji	15	68%	7.5 / 11
O. Robinson	14	58%	7.0 / 12
A. Lawson	13	81%	6.5 / 8
J. Shead	10	63%	5.0 / 8
J. Mogbo	10	50%	5.0 / 10
J. Walter	9	45%	4.5 / 10
J. Battle	9	113%	4.5 / 4
S. Barnes	5	31%	2.5 / 8
C. Swider	0	-	0.0 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 110.9 26 109.5	POR 110.9 +8.9 TOR 102.0
Pace	16 99.5 9 100.6	POR 92.5 TOR 111.2 +18.7
Avg. Poss. Time	19 14.3 27 13.8	POR 15.6 TOR 12.9 −2.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 52.1% 24 52.2%	POR 54.7% +2.6% TOR 52.1%
TO %	29 15.1% 26 14.5%	POR 20.9% TOR 15.5% −5.4%
ORB %	2 29.2% 4 27.3%	POR 43.6% +17.6% TOR 26.0%
FTrt	13 24.6 25 23.2	POR 23.3 +18.1 TOR 5.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	28 58.7% 2 68.5%	POR 47.6% TOR 65.9% +18.3%
STL %	13 8.2% 18 8.0%	POR 9.9% TOR 13.9% +4.0%
BLK %	9 10.0% 27 8.4%	POR 9.7% +7.8% TOR 1.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 54.1% 25 53.8%	POR 54.9% +3.4% TOR 51.5%
Rim FG%	27 60.7% 28 60.2%	POR 63.6% +7.2% TOR 56.4%
Mid FG%	28 39.1% 21 41.5%	POR 50.0% +6.5% TOR 43.5%
3P %	26 34.2% 23 34.8%	POR 29.4% TOR 35.3% +5.9%
FT %	26 76.2% 29 74.8%	POR 90.0% +30.0% TOR 60.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 36.6% 3 36.2%	POR 51.2% +10.5% TOR 40.6%
Mid Att. %	3 21.6% 17 26.5%	POR 9.3% −14.7% TOR 24.0%
3P Att. %	17 41.8% 29 37.3%	POR 39.5% +4.1% TOR 35.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	POR	TOR
Possessions	101	101
Possession Minutes	26.2	21.8
Points	112	103
Rebounds	54	35
Assists	20	29
Steals	10	14
Blocks	6	1
Turnovers (Team)	20 (5)	17 (1)
Fouls	13	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	17 (4)	13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (1)	22 (2)
Field Goals	42-86	44-96
At-the-Rim FG	28-44	22-39
Midrange FG	4-8	10-23
2-Point FG	32-52	32-62
3-Point FG	10-34	12-34
Free Throws	18-20	3-5
Fast Break Pts	21	20
2nd Chance Pts	22	11
Points in Paint	58	64
Pts off Turnovers	17	28
Bench Points	14	47
Biggest Lead	15	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg