Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, April 5, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Timberwolves	83%	119	114	120.0	95	95.7
	28	76ers	17%	106	109	114.7	95	94.3

Scoring Opportunities

MIN

+17

-15

PHI

+15

-8

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.18 58.8%

PHI

1.07 53.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

5 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	38.2	37	74%	2	2	1	1	2	1	1	1	7-8	88%	6-8	75%	6-13	46%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 33	35.6	23	88%	19	2	2	3	1	3	8	11	3-4	75%	10-11	91%	0-0	-
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	33.1	15	54%	5	4	0	0	0	3	2	3	5-9	56%	5-9	56%	0-2	0%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 25	25.6	2	14%	3	1	0	1	1	2	1	2	2-2	100%	0-4	0%	0-2	0%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	25.0	8	57%	4	4	0	0	2	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-4	50%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	27.1	9	41%	7	2	0	2	5	3	0	7	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	0-5	0%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	26.9	7	50%	2	5	0	0	0	1	1	1	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 28	18.7	13	72%	4	1	1	0	3	0	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-6	50%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	9.8	0	0%	1	1	1	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bones Hyland #77 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristen Newton #13 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jesse Edwards #14 · C · 7'0" 236 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Terrence Shannon Jr. #00 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	59%	47	22	5	7	15	15	14	33	21-29	72%	30-47	64%	11-34	32%

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5 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	38.2	37	74%	2	2	1	1	2	1	1	1	7-8	88%	6-8	75%	6-13	46%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 33	35.6	23	88%	19	2	2	3	1	3	8	11	3-4	75%	10-11	91%	0-0	-
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	33.1	15	54%	5	4	0	0	0	3	2	3	5-9	56%	5-9	56%	0-2	0%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 25	25.6	2	14%	3	1	0	1	1	2	1	2	2-2	100%	0-4	0%	0-2	0%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	25.0	8	57%	4	4	0	0	2	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-4	50%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	27.1	9	41%	7	2	0	2	5	3	0	7	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	0-5	0%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	26.9	7	50%	2	5	0	0	0	1	1	1	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 28	18.7	13	72%	4	1	1	0	3	0	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-6	50%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	9.8	0	0%	1	1	1	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bones Hyland #77 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristen Newton #13 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jesse Edwards #14 · C · 7'0" 236 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Terrence Shannon Jr. #00 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	59%	47	22	5	7	15	15	14	33	21-29	72%	30-47	64%	11-34	32%

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28 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Guerschon Yabusele #28 · PF · 6'7" 265 · 29	37.3	19	59%	4	4	3	0	0	2	1	3	3-4	75%	8-11	73%	0-4	0%
Quentin Grimes #5 · SG · 6'5" 207 · 25	36.1	28	74%	3	2	1	0	3	5	1	2	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	6-10	60%
Jared Butler #12 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 25	32.0	16	50%	1	8	1	0	3	2	0	1	1-2	50%	6-11	55%	1-4	25%
Adem Bona #30 · C · 6'10" 235 · 22	24.4	4	40%	10	2	1	1	0	5	4	6	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Justin Edwards #19 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 21	11.3	5	50%	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%

Lonnie Walker IV #16 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 26	37.6	18	64%	3	5	0	1	0	2	0	3	3-5	60%	3-4	75%	3-8	38%
Jalen Hood-Schifino #17 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 22	22.3	7	39%	1	2	1	0	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Marcus Bagley #35 · SF · 6'6" 217 · 23	21.0	6	50%	5	1	1	1	0	1	3	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Colin Castleton #18 · C · 6'10" 250 · 25	15.4	6	43%	6	2	0	0	0	2	2	4	0-2	0%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Ricky Council IV #14 · SF · 6'6" 207 · 24	2.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Andre Drummond #1 · C · 6'11" 279 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Sprain
Jeff Dowtin Jr. #11 · PG · 6'3" 177 · 28	INACTIVE
Alex Reese #65 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 26	INACTIVE
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Finger; Sprain
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 39	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Injury Management
Jared McCain #20 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Surgery
Eric Gordon #23 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Surgery
Paul George #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Injury Recovery
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	53%	34	26	9	4	8	23	11	23	9-15	60%	32-56	57%	12-35	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	PHI
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	PHI

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.18 58.8%

PHI

1.07 53.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

83%

PHI

67%

Midrange

MIN

33%

PHI

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

16.5

32%

49%

PHI

18.0

34%

51%

Free Throws

MIN

72%

PHI

60%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	37	74%	18.5 / 25
R. Gobert	23	88%	11.5 / 13
J. Randle	15	54%	7.5 / 14
D. DiVincenzo	13	72%	6.5 / 9
N. Reid	9	41%	4.5 / 11
M. Conley	8	57%	4.0 / 7
N. Alexander-Walker	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. McDaniels	2	14%	1.0 / 7
J. Clark	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Q. Grimes	28	74%	14.0 / 19
G. Yabusele	19	59%	9.5 / 16
L. Walker IV	18	64%	9.0 / 14
J. Butler	16	50%	8.0 / 16
J. Hood-Schifino	7	39%	3.5 / 9
M. Bagley	6	50%	3.0 / 6
C. Castleton	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. Edwards	5	50%	2.5 / 5
A. Bona	4	40%	2.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 115.7 22 110.9	MIN 120.0 +5.3 PHI 114.7
Pace	25 98.1 22 98.2	MIN 95.7 +1.5 PHI 94.3
Avg. Poss. Time	11 14.8 10 14.8	MIN 15.0 −0.2 PHI 15.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.4% 22 52.7%	MIN 57.4% +2.5% PHI 54.9%
TO %	19 13.9% 9 13.0%	MIN 13.8% PHI 10.1% −3.7%
ORB %	14 25.7% 22 23.4%	MIN 37.8% +12.8% PHI 25.0%
FTrt	11 24.9 6 25.7	MIN 35.8 +19.3 PHI 16.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 63.7% 29 58.4%	MIN 53.7% PHI 59.1% +5.4%
STL %	16 8.1% 5 9.3%	MIN 5.3% PHI 9.5% +4.2%
BLK %	14 9.5% 19 9.1%	MIN 12.5% +4.0% PHI 8.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.3% 22 54.8%	MIN 58.8% +5.4% PHI 53.4%
Rim FG%	12 64.8% 23 61.8%	MIN 82.8% +16.1% PHI 66.7%
Mid FG%	27 39.5% 19 42.0%	MIN 33.3% PHI 35.3% +2.0%
3P %	4 37.7% 27 34.1%	MIN 32.4% PHI 34.3% +1.9%
FT %	10 78.9% 15 78.0%	MIN 72.4% +12.4% PHI 60.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 32.2% 7 34.0%	MIN 35.8% PHI 42.9% +7.1%
Mid Att. %	6 22.3% 8 23.5%	MIN 22.2% PHI 18.7% −3.5%
3P Att. %	6 45.5% 14 42.5%	MIN 42.0% +3.5% PHI 38.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIN	PHI
Possessions	95	95
Possession Minutes	23.8	24.2
Points	114	109
Rebounds	47	34
Assists	22	26
Steals	5	9
Blocks	7	4
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	8 (3)
Fouls	15	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (3)	11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (2)	23 (3)
Field Goals	41-81	44-91
At-the-Rim FG	24-29	26-39
Midrange FG	6-18	6-17
2-Point FG	30-47	32-56
3-Point FG	11-34	12-35
Free Throws	21-29	9-15
Fast Break Pts	14	13
2nd Chance Pts	19	12
Points in Paint	58	58
Pts off Turnovers	9	22
Bench Points	29	37
Biggest Lead	13	4

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg