Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, April 5, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Mavericks	27%	106	104	104.0	100	95.4
	6	Clippers	73%	115	135	135.0	100	105.0

Scoring Opportunities

DAL

+13

-15

LAC

+12

-6

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.05 52.5%

LAC

1.26 63.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

16 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Spencer Dinwiddie #26 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 32	33.5	8	29%	6	9	0	0	1	3	2	4	5-6	83%	0-6	0%	1-5	20%
P.J. Washington #25 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 27	30.1	12	55%	5	1	0	3	2	1	0	5	6-8	75%	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 32	27.4	27	54%	9	0	1	0	6	3	2	7	10-13	77%	7-14	50%	1-5	20%
Klay Thompson #31 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 35	25.1	14	70%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-8	50%
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 21	15.4	2	33%	3	0	2	1	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-

Naji Marshall #13 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 27	33.4	9	56%	2	1	0	1	2	1	0	2	5-6	83%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 30	25.6	7	35%	5	5	1	0	1	2	2	3	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	0-3	0%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22	21.7	7	88%	2	2	0	0	1	0	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Kai Jones #23 · C · 6'11" 221 · 24	20.5	18	100%	7	0	1	3	1	6	3	4	0-1	0%	9-9	100%	0-0	-
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 34	7.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain Injury Management
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Kessler Edwards #20 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Surgery
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #8 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	53%	41	18	5	8	15	18	10	31	29-38	76%	27-51	53%	7-27	26%

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16 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Spencer Dinwiddie #26 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 32	33.5	8	29%	6	9	0	0	1	3	2	4	5-6	83%	0-6	0%	1-5	20%
P.J. Washington #25 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 27	30.1	12	55%	5	1	0	3	2	1	0	5	6-8	75%	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 32	27.4	27	54%	9	0	1	0	6	3	2	7	10-13	77%	7-14	50%	1-5	20%
Klay Thompson #31 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 35	25.1	14	70%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-8	50%
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 21	15.4	2	33%	3	0	2	1	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-

Naji Marshall #13 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 27	33.4	9	56%	2	1	0	1	2	1	0	2	5-6	83%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 30	25.6	7	35%	5	5	1	0	1	2	2	3	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	0-3	0%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22	21.7	7	88%	2	2	0	0	1	0	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Kai Jones #23 · C · 6'11" 221 · 24	20.5	18	100%	7	0	1	3	1	6	3	4	0-1	0%	9-9	100%	0-0	-
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 34	7.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain Injury Management
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Kessler Edwards #20 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Surgery
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #8 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	53%	41	18	5	8	15	18	10	31	29-38	76%	27-51	53%	7-27	26%

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6 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 36	31.3	29	66%	7	14	1	0	2	2	2	5	8-9	89%	9-15	60%	1-4	25%
Norman Powell #24 · SF · 6'4" 215 · 32	29.0	9	32%	1	0	2	0	1	3	0	1	0-2	0%	3-8	38%	1-5	20%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 28	28.4	25	104%	10	2	0	1	0	3	2	8	3-3	100%	11-11	100%	0-0	-
Kawhi Leonard #2 · PF · 6'6" 225 · 34	25.3	29	73%	6	3	3	1	2	0	1	5	2-2	100%	9-14	64%	3-5	60%
Kris Dunn #8 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 31	19.8	3	150%	0	2	2	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%

Bogdan Bogdanović #10 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 33	22.4	7	70%	4	3	1	0	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 36	18.2	6	100%	5	0	0	0	0	1	0	5	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 28	17.4	7	44%	4	1	1	0	0	3	1	3	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Ben Simmons #25 · PG · 6'10" 230 · 29	12.5	2	100%	0	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Drew Eubanks #15 · C · 6'10" 245 · 28	7.1	4	67%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Kobe Brown #21 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 25	7.1	3	75%	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Jordan Miller #11 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 25	7.1	4	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	7.1	2	20%	3	1	0	1	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Patty Mills #88 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 37	7.1	5	63%	1	1	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Seth Lundy #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trentyn Flowers #9 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Amir Coffey #7 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Inflammation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	135	63%	45	31	11	3	6	22	10	35	16-20	80%	43-68	63%	11-28	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	LAC
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	LAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.05 52.5%

LAC

1.26 63.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DAL

68%

LAC

65%

Midrange

DAL

38%

LAC

61%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DAL

10.5

26%

39%

LAC

16.5

39%

59%

Free Throws

DAL

76%

LAC

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Davis	27	54%	13.5 / 25
K. Jones	18	100%	9.0 / 9
K. Thompson	14	70%	7.0 / 10
P. Washington	12	55%	6.0 / 11
N. Marshall	9	56%	4.5 / 8
S. Dinwiddie	8	29%	4.0 / 14
C. Martin	7	35%	3.5 / 10
M. Christie	7	88%	3.5 / 4
D. Lively	2	33%	1.0 / 3
D. Powell	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Harden	29	66%	14.5 / 22
K. Leonard	29	73%	14.5 / 20
I. Zubac	25	104%	12.5 / 12
N. Powell	9	32%	4.5 / 14
B. Bogdanović	7	70%	3.5 / 5
D. Jones	7	44%	3.5 / 8
N. Batum	6	100%	3.0 / 3
P. Mills	5	63%	2.5 / 4
D. Eubanks	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. Miller	4	50%	2.0 / 4
K. Dunn	3	150%	1.5 / 1
K. Brown	3	75%	1.5 / 2
B. Simmons	2	100%	1.0 / 1
C. Christie	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 113.6 15 114.3	DAL 104.0 LAC 135.0 +31.0
Pace	11 100.3 24 98.1	DAL 95.4 LAC 105.0 +9.6
Avg. Poss. Time	16 14.4 5 15.1	DAL 15.1 LAC 13.7 −1.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 54.9% 11 55.4%	DAL 48.1% LAC 62.0% +13.9%
TO %	12 13.2% 22 14.0%	DAL 14.5% LAC 6.3% −8.2%
ORB %	23 23.4% 19 24.4%	DAL 22.2% LAC 24.4% +2.2%
FTrt	4 26.3 9 25.1	DAL 48.7 +27.9 LAC 20.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	27 60.1% 24 60.5%	DAL 52.9% LAC 57.4% +4.5%
STL %	22 7.7% 2 9.5%	DAL 5.0% LAC 11.0% +6.0%
BLK %	10 9.7% 16 9.3%	DAL 11.8% +5.9% LAC 5.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 56.9% 9 57.5%	DAL 52.5% LAC 63.1% +10.6%
Rim FG%	8 66.0% 13 64.2%	DAL 68.0% +3.1% LAC 64.9%
Mid FG%	15 43.7% 10 45.3%	DAL 38.5% LAC 61.3% +22.8%
3P %	15 36.4% 7 37.3%	DAL 25.9% LAC 39.3% +13.4%
FT %	24 77.0% 7 79.7%	DAL 76.3% LAC 80.0% +3.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	16 31.4% 14 31.6%	DAL 32.1% LAC 38.5% +6.5%
Mid Att. %	27 29.6% 28 29.7%	DAL 33.3% LAC 32.3% −1.0%
3P Att. %	24 38.9% 25 38.7%	DAL 34.6% +5.4% LAC 29.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DAL	LAC
Possessions	100	100
Possession Minutes	25.1	22.9
Points	104	135
Rebounds	41	45
Assists	18	31
Steals	5	11
Blocks	8	3
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	6 (1)
Fouls	18	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (1)	35 (2)
Field Goals	34-78	54-96
At-the-Rim FG	17-25	24-37
Midrange FG	10-26	19-31
2-Point FG	27-51	43-68
3-Point FG	7-27	11-28
Free Throws	29-38	16-20
Fast Break Pts	20	18
2nd Chance Pts	12	16
Points in Paint	44	80
Pts off Turnovers	9	19
Bench Points	41	40
Biggest Lead	0	32

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg