Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, April 7, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Kings	36%	112	127	135.1	94	86.7
	12	Pistons	64%	118	117	123.2	95	103.7

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+21

-10

105

DET

+17

-9

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.21 60.5%

DET

1.14 56.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

15 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 30	44.5	43	74%	3	4	1	0	1	4	0	3	3-4	75%	8-17	47%	8-11	73%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	38.4	7	39%	6	1	0	1	2	1	4	2	0-2	0%	2-3	67%	1-5	20%
Keon Ellis #23 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 25	36.9	2	50%	6	0	3	0	0	3	2	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	36.8	37	64%	4	2	0	1	2	3	1	3	8-10	80%	13-20	65%	1-6	17%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	35.5	19	68%	15	10	0	1	2	4	4	11	5-5	100%	7-11	64%	0-0	-

Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	21.6	7	44%	2	1	1	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	12.6	10	63%	12	1	0	1	1	3	6	6	6-6	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	6.4	2	33%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Isaac Jones #3 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	4.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	3.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jae Crowder #99 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jake LaRavia #33 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Bone Contusion
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Back Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	61%	50	20	5	4	10	21	18	32	22-27	81%	36-64	56%	11-27	41%

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15 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 30	44.5	43	74%	3	4	1	0	1	4	0	3	3-4	75%	8-17	47%	8-11	73%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	38.4	7	39%	6	1	0	1	2	1	4	2	0-2	0%	2-3	67%	1-5	20%
Keon Ellis #23 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 25	36.9	2	50%	6	0	3	0	0	3	2	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	36.8	37	64%	4	2	0	1	2	3	1	3	8-10	80%	13-20	65%	1-6	17%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	35.5	19	68%	15	10	0	1	2	4	4	11	5-5	100%	7-11	64%	0-0	-

Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	21.6	7	44%	2	1	1	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	12.6	10	63%	12	1	0	1	1	3	6	6	6-6	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	6.4	2	33%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Isaac Jones #3 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	4.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	3.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jae Crowder #99 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jake LaRavia #33 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Bone Contusion
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Back Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	61%	50	20	5	4	10	21	18	32	22-27	81%	36-64	56%	11-27	41%

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12 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #8 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 33	34.6	19	59%	0	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	4-11	36%
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 24	32.9	35	70%	3	5	2	0	4	2	1	2	8-11	73%	12-17	71%	1-4	25%
Dennis Schröder #17 · SG · 6'1" 175 · 32	32.0	5	42%	3	2	0	0	1	2	1	2	2-4	50%	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Ausar Thompson #9 · PF · 6'7" 205 · 22	29.2	15	58%	4	5	3	1	0	5	2	2	0-0	-	6-12	50%	1-1	100%
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 21	19.9	6	60%	9	6	1	1	0	5	3	6	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 28	29.5	14	44%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	4-14	29%
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 24	28.1	8	50%	10	4	0	2	0	3	3	7	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Ronald Holland II #00 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 20	15.4	5	83%	4	1	1	0	1	2	1	3	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Marcus Sasser #25 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	10.3	8	80%	1	3	0	0	0	3	1	0	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Simone Fontecchio #19 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 29	8.1	2	33%	2	0	1	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Paul Reed #7 · C · 6'9" 210 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tolu Smith #35 · PF · 6'11" 254 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daniss Jenkins #24 · PG · 6'4" 165 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bobi Klintman #34 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ron Harper Jr. #13 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaden Ivey #23 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fibula; Fracture
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	57%	37	30	8	4	9	23	13	24	20-28	71%	29-50	58%	13-39	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	DET
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	DET

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.21 60.5%

DET

1.14 56.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

59%

DET

64%

Midrange

SAC

54%

DET

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

16.5

41%

61%

DET

19.5

33%

50%

Free Throws

SAC

81%

DET

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Z. LaVine	43	74%	21.5 / 29
D. DeRozan	37	64%	18.5 / 29
D. Sabonis	19	68%	9.5 / 14
J. Valančiūnas	10	63%	5.0 / 8
T. Lyles	7	39%	3.5 / 9
D. Carter	7	44%	3.5 / 8
K. Ellis	2	50%	1.0 / 2
M. Monk	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Cunningham	35	70%	17.5 / 25
T. Hardaway	19	59%	9.5 / 16
A. Thompson	15	58%	7.5 / 13
M. Beasley	14	44%	7.0 / 16
I. Stewart	8	50%	4.0 / 8
M. Sasser	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. Duren	6	60%	3.0 / 5
D. Schröder	5	42%	2.5 / 6
R. Holland	5	83%	2.5 / 3
S. Fontecchio	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 115.9 14 114.5	SAC 135.1 +11.9 DET 123.2
Pace	19 98.9 12 100.3	SAC 86.7 DET 103.7 +17.1
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.4 21 14.3	SAC 16.6 DET 13.9 −2.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 54.8% 16 54.7%	SAC 57.7% +3.2% DET 54.5%
TO %	6 12.6% 21 14.0%	SAC 10.4% DET 8.2% −2.2%
ORB %	16 25.4% 11 26.2%	SAC 42.9% +14.0% DET 28.9%
FTrt	21 23.5 12 24.8	SAC 29.7 DET 31.5 +1.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 61.5% 21 61.8%	SAC 42.6% DET 71.4% +28.8%
STL %	23 7.6% 20 7.9%	SAC 5.3% DET 8.4% +3.1%
BLK %	23 8.8% 6 10.4%	SAC 8.0% +1.7% DET 6.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 56.8% 16 56.6%	SAC 60.5% +3.7% DET 56.8%
Rim FG%	2 67.6% 16 63.7%	SAC 58.6% DET 63.6% +5.0%
Mid FG%	4 46.0% 16 43.5%	SAC 54.3% +7.2% DET 47.1%
3P %	19 35.7% 17 36.2%	SAC 40.7% +7.4% DET 33.3%
FT %	4 80.6% 20 77.4%	SAC 81.5% +10.1% DET 71.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 26.8% 5 34.4%	SAC 31.9% DET 37.1% +5.2%
Mid Att. %	29 34.1% 14 26.2%	SAC 38.5% DET 19.1% −19.4%
3P Att. %	23 39.1% 22 39.4%	SAC 29.7% DET 43.8% +14.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.

Game Totals	SAC	DET
Possessions	94	95
Possession Minutes	26.0	22.0
Points	127	117
Rebounds	50	37
Assists	20	30
Steals	5	8
Blocks	4	4
Turnovers (Team)	10 (2)	9 (0)
Fouls	21	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	18 (3)	13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (3)	24 (2)
Field Goals	47-91	42-89
At-the-Rim FG	17-29	21-33
Midrange FG	19-35	8-17
2-Point FG	36-64	29-50
3-Point FG	11-27	13-39
Free Throws	22-27	20-28
Fast Break Pts	2	14
2nd Chance Pts	25	13
Points in Paint	56	52
Pts off Turnovers	7	18
Bench Points	19	37
Biggest Lead	13	18

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg