Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, April 10, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Pelicans	16%	103	111	103.7	107	106.6
	15	Bucks	84%	118	136	127.1	107	108.0

Scoring Opportunities

NOP

+16

-16

107

MIL

-11

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.03 51.4%

MIL

1.32 66.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	37.3	16	44%	4	3	3	0	1	3	0	4	4-6	67%	3-7	43%	2-8	25%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	33.7	15	58%	10	3	1	0	3	1	6	4	0-0	-	6-8	75%	1-5	20%
Keion Brooks Jr. #0 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 25	32.3	20	67%	6	0	0	0	1	2	2	4	2-4	50%	3-5	60%	4-8	50%
Karlo Matković #17 · C · 6'10" 231 · 24	29.6	15	63%	10	0	1	0	1	4	1	9	0-0	-	3-6	50%	3-6	50%
Elfrid Payton #4 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 31	25.7	2	25%	4	15	1	0	3	0	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%

Lester Quinones #22 · SG · 6'5" 208 · 24	31.5	21	44%	5	6	1	0	4	5	1	4	3-4	75%	6-11	55%	2-11	18%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 26	26.7	20	59%	7	0	1	0	1	2	2	5	5-5	100%	3-8	38%	3-7	43%
Kylor Kelley #35 · C · 7'0" 215 · 28	23.2	2	50%	7	1	0	0	2	4	3	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Soreness
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Soreness
Bruce Brown #00 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Herbert Jones #2 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Torn Rotator Cuff
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lumbar Spine; Annular Fissure
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Torn Labrum
Brandon Boston #11 · SG · 6'6" 188 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Bone Contusion
Kelly Olynyk #13 · C · 7'0" 240 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendonosis
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Bone Contusion
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Rupture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	51%	53	28	8	0	16	21	15	38	14-19	74%	26-49	53%	15-47	32%

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30 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	37.3	16	44%	4	3	3	0	1	3	0	4	4-6	67%	3-7	43%	2-8	25%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	33.7	15	58%	10	3	1	0	3	1	6	4	0-0	-	6-8	75%	1-5	20%
Keion Brooks Jr. #0 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 25	32.3	20	67%	6	0	0	0	1	2	2	4	2-4	50%	3-5	60%	4-8	50%
Karlo Matković #17 · C · 6'10" 231 · 24	29.6	15	63%	10	0	1	0	1	4	1	9	0-0	-	3-6	50%	3-6	50%
Elfrid Payton #4 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 31	25.7	2	25%	4	15	1	0	3	0	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%

Lester Quinones #22 · SG · 6'5" 208 · 24	31.5	21	44%	5	6	1	0	4	5	1	4	3-4	75%	6-11	55%	2-11	18%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 26	26.7	20	59%	7	0	1	0	1	2	2	5	5-5	100%	3-8	38%	3-7	43%
Kylor Kelley #35 · C · 7'0" 215 · 28	23.2	2	50%	7	1	0	0	2	4	3	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Soreness
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Soreness
Bruce Brown #00 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Herbert Jones #2 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Torn Rotator Cuff
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lumbar Spine; Annular Fissure
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Torn Labrum
Brandon Boston #11 · SG · 6'6" 188 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Bone Contusion
Kelly Olynyk #13 · C · 7'0" 240 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendonosis
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Bone Contusion
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Rupture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	51%	53	28	8	0	16	21	15	38	14-19	74%	26-49	53%	15-47	32%

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15 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Kuzma #18 · SF · 6'8" 221 · 30	27.8	17	77%	3	1	2	0	3	2	3	0	0-1	0%	4-5	80%	3-6	50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 30	25.6	28	67%	11	5	0	1	0	1	2	9	5-10	50%	10-15	67%	1-2	50%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 37	23.1	3	30%	1	1	0	1	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Taurean Prince #12 · SG · 6'6" 218 · 31	21.8	6	75%	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 23	19.4	12	75%	1	2	1	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	2-5	40%

Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26	24.5	17	85%	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	4-7	57%
Kevin Porter Jr. #3 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 25	23.3	20	71%	5	7	5	0	0	3	1	4	7-9	78%	5-6	83%	1-5	20%
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	22.0	14	64%	8	0	1	0	1	2	0	8	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 26	20.0	3	38%	3	3	1	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 32	7.6	5	50%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	3-3	100%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 23	7.3	6	75%	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-2	0%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	6.2	2	50%	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jamaree Bouyea #15 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 26	6.2	0	0%	2	2	1	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	5.3	3	150%	2	0	0	1	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Pete Nance #35 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 25	INACTIVE
Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; UCL Sprain
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Deep Vein Thrombosis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	136	66%	43	27	13	4	11	17	7	36	20-30	67%	31-45	69%	18-45	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	MIL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.03 51.4%

MIL

1.32 66.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NOP

76%

MIL

76%

Midrange

NOP

29%

MIL

56%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NOP

22.5

32%

48%

MIL

27.0

40%

60%

Free Throws

NOP

74%

MIL

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Quinones	21	44%	10.5 / 24
K. Brooks Jr.	20	67%	10.0 / 15
J. Cain	20	59%	10.0 / 17
A. Reeves	16	44%	8.0 / 18
J. Robinson-Earl	15	58%	7.5 / 13
K. Matković	15	63%	7.5 / 12
E. Payton	2	25%	1.0 / 4
K. Kelley	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	28	67%	14.0 / 21
K. Porter	20	71%	10.0 / 14
K. Kuzma	17	77%	8.5 / 11
G. Trent	17	85%	8.5 / 10
B. Portis	14	64%	7.0 / 11
R. Rollins	12	75%	6.0 / 8
T. Prince	6	75%	3.0 / 4
A. Jackson	6	75%	3.0 / 4
P. Connaughton	5	50%	2.5 / 5
B. Lopez	3	30%	1.5 / 5
A. Green	3	38%	1.5 / 4
S. Umude	3	150%	1.5 / 1
C. Livingston	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Bouyea	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 109.6 10 115.2	NOP 103.7 MIL 127.1 +23.4
Pace	15 99.8 14 99.9	NOP 106.6 MIL 108.0 +1.4
Avg. Poss. Time	17 14.4 14 14.6	NOP 13.5 MIL 13.3 −0.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	26 51.9% 3 56.8%	NOP 50.5% MIL 64.4% +13.9%
TO %	20 13.9% 7 12.7%	NOP 13.3% MIL 10.4% −2.9%
ORB %	9 26.3% 30 19.3%	NOP 29.4% +13.8% MIL 15.6%
FTrt	15 24.4 3 26.8	NOP 19.8 MIL 33.3 +13.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 63.6% 23 60.7%	NOP 68.3% +13.2% MIL 55.1%
STL %	8 8.5% 27 7.3%	NOP 7.5% MIL 12.1% +4.6%
BLK %	7 10.4% 20 9.1%	NOP 0.0% MIL 8.2% +8.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 53.8% 3 58.6%	NOP 51.4% MIL 66.0% +14.6%
Rim FG%	26 61.0% 5 66.9%	NOP 76.0% +0.1% MIL 75.9%
Mid FG%	23 40.7% 13 44.1%	NOP 29.2% MIL 56.3% +27.1%
3P %	24 34.7% 1 38.7%	NOP 31.9% MIL 40.0% +8.1%
FT %	27 75.4% 28 75.0%	NOP 73.7% +7.0% MIL 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 33.6% 24 30.0%	NOP 26.0% MIL 32.2% +6.2%
Mid Att. %	22 27.9% 21 27.5%	NOP 25.0% MIL 17.8% −7.2%
3P Att. %	26 38.6% 15 42.4%	NOP 49.0% MIL 50.0% +1.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	NOP	MIL
Possessions	107	107
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.8
Points	111	136
Rebounds	53	43
Assists	28	27
Steals	8	13
Blocks	0	4
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	11 (1)
Fouls	21	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (1)	7 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (2)	36 (4)
Field Goals	41-96	49-90
At-the-Rim FG	19-25	22-29
Midrange FG	7-24	9-16
2-Point FG	26-49	31-45
3-Point FG	15-47	18-45
Free Throws	14-19	20-30
Fast Break Pts	16	21
2nd Chance Pts	17	15
Points in Paint	46	44
Pts off Turnovers	16	21
Bench Points	43	70
Biggest Lead	9	28

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg