Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, April 9, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Blazers	55%	115	126	107.7	117	100.8
	25	Jazz	45%	113	133	113.7	117	111.7

Scoring Opportunities

POR

101

+18

-16

119

UTA

+17

-24

110

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.06 52.9%

UTA

1.20 59.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

23 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SF · 6'5" 202 · 28	38.3	12	100%	4	6	2	0	2	3	0	4	0-0	-	3-3	100%	2-3	67%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	35.5	37	66%	7	5	2	0	5	1	2	5	5-10	50%	7-11	64%	6-12	50%
Dalano Banton #5 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 25	35.0	11	31%	2	4	1	1	1	3	0	2	3-4	75%	4-9	44%	0-7	0%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25	32.9	16	44%	6	2	2	1	0	1	3	3	2-2	100%	4-10	40%	2-8	25%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 21	26.9	10	83%	9	4	0	2	1	6	5	4	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-

Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 21	34.6	19	50%	4	2	2	0	2	3	0	4	4-5	80%	6-10	60%	1-7	14%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 23	33.3	15	63%	7	0	1	0	4	5	2	5	1-3	33%	7-8	88%	0-3	0%
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	22.3	6	43%	3	3	2	1	1	1	2	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-4	0%
Justin Minaya #10 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26	6.3	0	0%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 21	DND - Concussion Protocol
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Sprain
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Forearm; Contusion
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 31	NWT - Not With Team
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Rib; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	126	53%	43	27	13	5	16	23	14	29	19-28	68%	37-59	63%	11-45	24%

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23 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SF · 6'5" 202 · 28	38.3	12	100%	4	6	2	0	2	3	0	4	0-0	-	3-3	100%	2-3	67%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	35.5	37	66%	7	5	2	0	5	1	2	5	5-10	50%	7-11	64%	6-12	50%
Dalano Banton #5 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 25	35.0	11	31%	2	4	1	1	1	3	0	2	3-4	75%	4-9	44%	0-7	0%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25	32.9	16	44%	6	2	2	1	0	1	3	3	2-2	100%	4-10	40%	2-8	25%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 21	26.9	10	83%	9	4	0	2	1	6	5	4	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-

Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 21	34.6	19	50%	4	2	2	0	2	3	0	4	4-5	80%	6-10	60%	1-7	14%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 23	33.3	15	63%	7	0	1	0	4	5	2	5	1-3	33%	7-8	88%	0-3	0%
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	22.3	6	43%	3	3	2	1	1	1	2	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-4	0%
Justin Minaya #10 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26	6.3	0	0%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 21	DND - Concussion Protocol
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Sprain
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Forearm; Contusion
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 31	NWT - Not With Team
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Rib; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	126	53%	43	27	13	5	16	23	14	29	19-28	68%	37-59	63%	11-45	24%

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25 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 21	36.4	22	85%	4	4	3	0	3	3	0	4	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	6-10	60%
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 21	34.3	18	53%	6	6	1	0	7	3	0	6	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	4-9	44%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 21	33.7	30	79%	18	5	3	2	5	5	5	13	2-4	50%	11-12	92%	2-5	40%
Johnny Juzang #33 · PF · 6'7" 226 · 24	33.0	14	64%	5	1	3	1	2	3	1	4	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 26	19.6	15	50%	0	5	2	0	3	3	0	0	3-3	100%	6-13	46%	0-1	0%

Jaden Springer #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 23	38.6	6	33%	6	4	0	0	1	5	2	4	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-3	0%
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	27.1	4	50%	3	0	1	1	3	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Svi Mykhailiuk #19 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 28	23.0	7	88%	4	2	1	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 25	19.3	17	53%	10	0	0	0	0	3	7	3	3-5	60%	7-14	50%	0-0	-
KJ Martin #99 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Strain
Isaiah Collier #13 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Soreness
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nasal; Fracture / Concussion Protocol
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Fibula; Fracture
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Cody Williams #5 · SG · 6'8" 190 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Plantar; Fasciitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	133	60%	56	27	14	4	24	26	16	40	18-22	82%	35-62	56%	15-36	42%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	POR	UTA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.06 52.9%

UTA

1.20 59.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

70%

UTA

76%

Midrange

POR

56%

UTA

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

16.5

24%

37%

UTA

22.5

42%

63%

Free Throws

POR

68%

UTA

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Sharpe	37	66%	18.5 / 28
R. Rupert	19	50%	9.5 / 19
T. Camara	16	44%	8.0 / 18
J. Walker	15	63%	7.5 / 12
M. Thybulle	12	100%	6.0 / 6
D. Banton	11	31%	5.5 / 18
D. Clingan	10	83%	5.0 / 6
K. Murray	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. Minaya	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Filipowski	30	79%	15.0 / 19
B. Sensabaugh	22	85%	11.0 / 13
K. George	18	53%	9.0 / 17
O. Tshiebwe	17	53%	8.5 / 16
C. Sexton	15	50%	7.5 / 15
J. Juzang	14	64%	7.0 / 11
S. Mykhailiuk	7	88%	3.5 / 4
J. Springer	6	33%	3.0 / 9
M. Potter	4	50%	2.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 110.9 24 110.3	POR 107.7 UTA 113.7 +6.0
Pace	16 99.5 7 100.8	POR 100.8 UTA 111.7 +10.9
Avg. Poss. Time	19 14.3 13 14.7	POR 14.3 UTA 12.9 −1.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 52.1% 21 53.3%	POR 51.4% UTA 58.7% +7.3%
TO %	29 15.1% 30 16.2%	POR 12.8% −5.4% UTA 18.2%
ORB %	2 29.2% 6 26.9%	POR 25.9% UTA 35.6% +9.7%
FTrt	13 24.6 7 25.2	POR 26.9 +4.5 UTA 22.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	28 58.7% 18 63.3%	POR 56.3% +2.3% UTA 54.0%
STL %	13 8.2% 30 6.6%	POR 11.1% UTA 12.0% +0.9%
BLK %	9 10.0% 25 8.5%	POR 8.1% +1.3% UTA 6.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.5 and 2.5.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 54.1% 20 55.4%	POR 52.9% UTA 59.9% +7.0%
Rim FG%	27 60.7% 15 63.8%	POR 70.4% UTA 75.9% +5.5%
Mid FG%	28 39.1% 17 43.1%	POR 56.3% +16.9% UTA 39.4%
3P %	26 34.2% 22 35.0%	POR 24.4% UTA 41.7% +17.3%
FT %	26 76.2% 22 77.4%	POR 67.9% UTA 81.8% +13.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 36.6% 27 28.8%	POR 26.0% UTA 29.6% +3.6%
Mid Att. %	3 21.6% 15 26.2%	POR 30.8% −2.9% UTA 33.7%
3P Att. %	17 41.8% 7 44.9%	POR 43.3% +6.5% UTA 36.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	POR	UTA
Possessions	117	117
Possession Minutes	27.9	25.1
Points	126	133
Rebounds	43	56
Assists	27	27
Steals	13	14
Blocks	5	4
Turnovers (Team)	16 (1)	24 (0)
Fouls	23	26
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (4)	16 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (2)	40 (3)
Field Goals	48-104	50-98
At-the-Rim FG	19-27	22-29
Midrange FG	18-32	13-33
2-Point FG	37-59	35-62
3-Point FG	11-45	15-36
Free Throws	19-28	18-22
Fast Break Pts	10	18
2nd Chance Pts	17	18
Points in Paint	68	70
Pts off Turnovers	31	23
Bench Points	40	34
Biggest Lead	8	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg