Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, April 9, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	24	Spurs	20%	109	114	122.6	93	91.4
	3	Warriors	80%	121	111	116.8	95	96.7

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+12

-13

GSW

+20

-10

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.24 62.0%

GSW

1.06 52.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

24 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	35.7	20	100%	4	2	1	0	1	4	0	4	2-2	100%	0-0	-	6-9	67%
Stephon Castle #5 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 20	35.0	21	58%	3	5	2	1	2	4	1	2	4-7	57%	7-10	70%	1-5	20%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	29.1	12	100%	5	4	1	0	3	3	1	4	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 25	27.7	11	50%	5	3	1	0	2	2	1	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-9	33%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	10.7	0	0%	5	0	0	0	2	1	1	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-

Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	30.5	21	55%	8	2	1	0	1	3	3	5	4-4	100%	7-12	58%	1-5	20%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	29.3	14	70%	4	4	0	2	2	3	0	4	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	3-7	43%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	22.6	11	50%	8	1	0	1	0	1	3	5	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	1-6	17%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	19.3	4	67%	1	2	0	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan McLaughlin #11 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Inflammation
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fifth Finger; Extensor Tendor Surgery
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Labrum Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	62%	43	23	6	5	13	23	10	33	18-21	86%	21-35	60%	18-46	39%

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24 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	35.7	20	100%	4	2	1	0	1	4	0	4	2-2	100%	0-0	-	6-9	67%
Stephon Castle #5 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 20	35.0	21	58%	3	5	2	1	2	4	1	2	4-7	57%	7-10	70%	1-5	20%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	29.1	12	100%	5	4	1	0	3	3	1	4	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 25	27.7	11	50%	5	3	1	0	2	2	1	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-9	33%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	10.7	0	0%	5	0	0	0	2	1	1	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-

Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	30.5	21	55%	8	2	1	0	1	3	3	5	4-4	100%	7-12	58%	1-5	20%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	29.3	14	70%	4	4	0	2	2	3	0	4	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	3-7	43%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	22.6	11	50%	8	1	0	1	0	1	3	5	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	1-6	17%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	19.3	4	67%	1	2	0	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan McLaughlin #11 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Inflammation
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fifth Finger; Extensor Tendor Surgery
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Labrum Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	62%	43	23	6	5	13	23	10	33	18-21	86%	21-35	60%	18-46	39%

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3 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #10 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	38.4	28	88%	4	7	2	0	1	1	2	2	16-17	94%	3-6	50%	2-2	100%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 37	36.6	30	63%	8	3	2	0	1	0	2	6	1-1	100%	7-10	70%	5-14	36%
Draymond Green #23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 35	33.4	13	72%	9	8	2	1	3	4	3	6	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 22	33.2	7	32%	3	5	0	0	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-5	20%
Moses Moody #4 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 23	31.2	7	32%	8	1	1	0	1	1	3	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-7	14%

Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 32	26.5	12	46%	4	1	0	0	0	4	1	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	4-10	40%
Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	18.1	12	55%	3	1	0	0	1	2	1	2	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	1-4	25%
Kevon Looney #5 · C · 6'9" 222 · 29	12.1	2	100%	2	3	0	1	0	2	0	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 23	7.7	0	0%	1	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 25	2.8	0	0%	3	0	0	0	1	2	2	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jackson Rowe #44 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevin Knox II #31 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Braxton Key #12 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Taran Armstrong #1 · NA · 6'5" 190 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Inflammation
Quinten Post #21 · PF · 7'0" 238 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	53%	45	29	8	2	10	19	16	29	23-28	82%	20-38	53%	16-48	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	GSW
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	GSW

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.24 62.0%

GSW

1.06 52.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

81%

GSW

64%

Midrange

SAS

29%

GSW

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

27.0

39%

59%

GSW

24.0

33%

50%

Free Throws

SAS

86%

GSW

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Castle	21	58%	10.5 / 18
K. Johnson	21	55%	10.5 / 19
H. Barnes	20	100%	10.0 / 10
J. Champagnie	14	70%	7.0 / 10
C. Paul	12	100%	6.0 / 6
D. Vassell	11	50%	5.5 / 11
S. Mamukelashvili	11	50%	5.5 / 11
B. Wesley	4	67%	2.0 / 3
B. Biyombo	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	30	63%	15.0 / 24
J. Butler	28	88%	14.0 / 16
D. Green	13	72%	6.5 / 9
B. Hield	12	46%	6.0 / 13
J. Kuminga	12	55%	6.0 / 11
B. Podziemski	7	32%	3.5 / 11
M. Moody	7	32%	3.5 / 11
K. Looney	2	100%	1.0 / 1
G. Santos	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 113.5 16 114.2	SAS 122.6 +5.7 GSW 116.8
Pace	13 100.1 17 99.4	SAS 91.4 GSW 96.7 +5.3
Avg. Poss. Time	20 14.3 18 14.3	SAS 15.8 GSW 14.9 −0.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	18 54.4% 20 53.6%	SAS 59.3% +8.1% GSW 51.2%
TO %	11 13.2% 13 13.2%	SAS 14.3% GSW 10.9% −3.4%
ORB %	20 24.3% 5 27.3%	SAS 25.6% GSW 32.7% +7.1%
FTrt	22 23.4 14 24.4	SAS 25.9 GSW 32.6 +6.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 68.5% 1 71.4%	SAS 59.0% GSW 80.6% +21.6%
STL %	14 8.2% 3 9.4%	SAS 6.5% GSW 8.4% +1.9%
BLK %	5 10.5% 13 9.5%	SAS 13.2% +7.5% GSW 5.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.3% 21 55.3%	SAS 62.0% +9.1% GSW 52.9%
Rim FG%	14 63.9% 21 62.7%	SAS 81.0% +17.4% GSW 63.6%
Mid FG%	20 41.8% 25 39.9%	SAS 28.6% GSW 37.5% +8.9%
3P %	20 35.7% 16 36.4%	SAS 39.1% +5.8% GSW 33.3%
FT %	21 77.4% 25 76.3%	SAS 85.7% +3.6% GSW 82.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	8 33.7% 23 30.1%	SAS 25.9% +0.3% GSW 25.6%
Mid Att. %	4 22.2% 7 23.1%	SAS 17.3% −1.3% GSW 18.6%
3P Att. %	8 44.1% 2 46.9%	SAS 56.8% +1.0% GSW 55.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	GSW
Possessions	93	95
Possession Minutes	24.4	23.6
Points	114	111
Rebounds	43	45
Assists	23	29
Steals	6	8
Blocks	5	2
Turnovers (Team)	13 (2)	10 (2)
Fouls	23	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (2)	16 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (1)	29 (2)
Field Goals	39-81	36-86
At-the-Rim FG	17-21	14-22
Midrange FG	4-14	6-16
2-Point FG	21-35	20-38
3-Point FG	18-46	16-48
Free Throws	18-21	23-28
Fast Break Pts	12	8
2nd Chance Pts	8	15
Points in Paint	38	34
Pts off Turnovers	15	14
Bench Points	50	26
Biggest Lead	8	14

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg