Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, April 11, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	22	Magic	48%	107	129	122.9	105	105.9
	20	Pacers	52%	108	115	108.5	106	105.1

Scoring Opportunities

ORL

+11

-19

IND

+21

-17

110

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.33 66.5%

IND

1.05 52.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

22 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 24	34.1	14	50%	3	2	3	2	2	4	0	3	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	0-3	0%
Caleb Houstan #2 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 22	29.6	10	83%	5	2	3	0	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 26	22.6	11	69%	7	3	1	2	1	1	2	5	5-6	83%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	17.3	10	63%	2	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-3	67%
Cory Joseph #10 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 34	6.3	2	50%	1	5	1	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%

Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 21	31.3	21	62%	6	7	2	0	5	5	1	5	3-3	100%	9-15	60%	0-1	0%
Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 28	29.6	25	104%	5	4	3	0	0	1	2	3	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	5-6	83%
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	29.6	17	71%	0	1	0	1	3	6	0	0	1-3	33%	5-5	100%	2-7	29%
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 25	20.3	7	70%	2	4	0	3	3	4	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 28	19.4	12	60%	4	4	1	3	2	4	0	4	5-5	100%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Contusion
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Strain
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mac McClung #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Soreness
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Trochlea Cartilage Tear
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	67%	35	32	14	11	19	28	8	27	18-21	86%	36-53	68%	13-32	41%

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22 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 24	34.1	14	50%	3	2	3	2	2	4	0	3	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	0-3	0%
Caleb Houstan #2 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 22	29.6	10	83%	5	2	3	0	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 26	22.6	11	69%	7	3	1	2	1	1	2	5	5-6	83%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	17.3	10	63%	2	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-3	67%
Cory Joseph #10 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 34	6.3	2	50%	1	5	1	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%

Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 21	31.3	21	62%	6	7	2	0	5	5	1	5	3-3	100%	9-15	60%	0-1	0%
Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 28	29.6	25	104%	5	4	3	0	0	1	2	3	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	5-6	83%
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	29.6	17	71%	0	1	0	1	3	6	0	0	1-3	33%	5-5	100%	2-7	29%
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 25	20.3	7	70%	2	4	0	3	3	4	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 28	19.4	12	60%	4	4	1	3	2	4	0	4	5-5	100%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Contusion
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Strain
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mac McClung #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Soreness
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Trochlea Cartilage Tear
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	67%	35	32	14	11	19	28	8	27	18-21	86%	36-53	68%	13-32	41%

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20 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	41.1	20	42%	8	3	2	0	5	2	4	4	9-13	69%	4-13	31%	1-4	25%
Jarace Walker #5 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 22	34.0	15	68%	8	3	0	2	5	1	2	6	1-1	100%	4-8	50%	2-3	67%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 33	20.9	12	60%	1	3	1	1	2	2	0	1	4-6	67%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 27	20.5	4	25%	5	3	1	0	2	3	1	4	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-2	0%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	19.8	10	71%	2	1	1	4	1	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-4	50%

Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	32.1	17	71%	6	3	1	0	0	3	1	5	3-7	43%	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 27	24.3	10	50%	9	2	1	0	0	2	6	3	0-0	-	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	20.0	13	65%	1	3	0	0	1	2	0	1	4-6	67%	0-2	0%	3-5	60%
RayJ Dennis #10 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 24	16.7	10	56%	1	3	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Enrique Freeman #8 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 25	10.6	4	50%	3	0	0	0	0	2	3	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Injury Management
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Laceration
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Injury Management
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Sprain
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	52%	44	24	8	7	17	19	17	27	23-35	66%	28-60	47%	12-29	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	IND
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	IND

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.33 66.5%

IND

1.05 52.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ORL

68%

IND

50%

Midrange

ORL

68%

IND

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ORL

19.5

41%

61%

IND

18.0

41%

62%

Free Throws

ORL

86%

IND

66%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Queen	25	104%	12.5 / 12
A. Black	21	62%	10.5 / 17
J. Howard	17	71%	8.5 / 12
T. da Silva	14	50%	7.0 / 14
J. Isaac	12	60%	6.0 / 10
G. Bitadze	11	69%	5.5 / 8
C. Houstan	10	83%	5.0 / 6
G. Harris	10	63%	5.0 / 8
C. Anthony	7	70%	3.5 / 5
C. Joseph	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Mathurin	20	42%	10.0 / 24
J. Furphy	17	71%	8.5 / 12
J. Walker	15	68%	7.5 / 11
Q. Jackson	13	65%	6.5 / 10
T. McConnell	12	60%	6.0 / 10
T. Bryant	10	71%	5.0 / 7
T. Bradley	10	50%	5.0 / 10
R. Dennis	10	56%	5.0 / 9
O. Toppin	4	25%	2.0 / 8
E. Freeman	4	50%	2.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	27 109.1 9 115.3	ORL 122.9 +14.4 IND 108.5
Pace	30 96.4 6 100.9	ORL 105.9 +0.8 IND 105.1
Avg. Poss. Time	1 15.5 24 14.0	ORL 13.6 −0.1 IND 13.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 51.0% 4 56.2%	ORL 65.3% +13.6% IND 51.7%
TO %	18 13.5% 3 12.0%	ORL 17.5% IND 16.1% −1.4%
ORB %	17 25.3% 29 21.3%	ORL 22.9% IND 38.6% +15.7%
FTrt	2 26.9 17 24.1	ORL 24.7 IND 39.3 +14.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	25 60.3% 8 67.1%	ORL 65.3% +5.3% IND 60.0%
STL %	6 9.2% 10 8.3%	ORL 13.3% +5.8% IND 7.5%
BLK %	1 11.9% 8 10.2%	ORL 18.3% +5.1% IND 13.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	28 53.3% 7 57.6%	ORL 66.5% +14.2% IND 52.3%
Rim FG%	19 63.6% 6 66.7%	ORL 67.9% +17.9% IND 50.0%
Mid FG%	22 41.4% 6 45.8%	ORL 68.0% +26.3% IND 41.7%
3P %	30 31.8% 9 36.8%	ORL 40.6% IND 41.4% +0.8%
FT %	19 77.5% 9 78.9%	ORL 85.7% +20.0% IND 65.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	15 31.5% 17 31.4%	ORL 32.9% IND 40.4% +7.5%
Mid Att. %	19 27.4% 24 28.6%	ORL 29.4% IND 27.0% −2.4%
3P Att. %	18 41.1% 21 40.0%	ORL 37.6% +5.1% IND 32.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.65 and 2.65.

Game Totals	ORL	IND
Possessions	105	106
Possession Minutes	23.8	24.2
Points	129	115
Rebounds	35	44
Assists	32	24
Steals	14	8
Blocks	11	7
Turnovers (Team)	19 (1)	17 (3)
Fouls	28	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (3)	17 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (4)	27 (1)
Field Goals	49-85	40-89
At-the-Rim FG	19-28	18-36
Midrange FG	17-25	10-24
2-Point FG	36-53	28-60
3-Point FG	13-32	12-29
Free Throws	18-21	23-35
Fast Break Pts	19	17
2nd Chance Pts	15	20
Points in Paint	56	48
Pts off Turnovers	29	25
Bench Points	82	54
Biggest Lead	35	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg