Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, April 11, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Wizards	28%	113	89	85.6	104	102.4
	18	Bulls	72%	121	119	116.7	102	105.1

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+14

-16

102

CHI

+15

-12

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

0.87 43.6%

CHI

1.13 56.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

27 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Justin Champagnie #9 · PF · 6'6" 206 · 24	38.2	22	69%	14	1	3	1	3	2	3	11	1-2	50%	6-8	75%	3-7	43%
Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	35.0	18	56%	5	11	0	1	4	0	0	5	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	2-6	33%
AJ Johnson #5 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20	34.0	8	29%	3	1	1	0	3	5	1	2	2-2	100%	3-9	33%	0-4	0%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	26.2	7	23%	3	3	0	1	3	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-8	13%
Kyshawn George #18 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	24.1	11	55%	2	3	1	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-8	38%

Colby Jones #1 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	32.0	3	25%	7	5	1	0	1	1	1	6	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	26.0	17	57%	3	2	0	2	1	3	2	1	2-2	100%	6-9	67%	1-5	20%
JT Thor #21 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 23	24.3	3	30%	4	0	1	0	1	1	1	3	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Contusion
Jaylen Martin #4 · SF · 6'6" 216 · 21	INACTIVE
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Surgery
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL surgery
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Contusion
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Khris Middleton #32 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	44%	41	26	7	5	16	16	8	33	9-12	75%	25-50	50%	10-41	24%

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27 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Justin Champagnie #9 · PF · 6'6" 206 · 24	38.2	22	69%	14	1	3	1	3	2	3	11	1-2	50%	6-8	75%	3-7	43%
Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	35.0	18	56%	5	11	0	1	4	0	0	5	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	2-6	33%
AJ Johnson #5 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20	34.0	8	29%	3	1	1	0	3	5	1	2	2-2	100%	3-9	33%	0-4	0%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	26.2	7	23%	3	3	0	1	3	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-8	13%
Kyshawn George #18 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	24.1	11	55%	2	3	1	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-8	38%

Colby Jones #1 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	32.0	3	25%	7	5	1	0	1	1	1	6	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	26.0	17	57%	3	2	0	2	1	3	2	1	2-2	100%	6-9	67%	1-5	20%
JT Thor #21 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 23	24.3	3	30%	4	0	1	0	1	1	1	3	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Contusion
Jaylen Martin #4 · SF · 6'6" 216 · 21	INACTIVE
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Surgery
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL surgery
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Contusion
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Khris Middleton #32 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	44%	41	26	7	5	16	16	8	33	9-12	75%	25-50	50%	10-41	24%

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18 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Matas Buzelis #14 · SF · 6'8" 196 · 20	31.6	20	67%	6	4	0	3	2	1	2	4	3-3	100%	4-8	50%	3-6	50%
Kevin Huerter #13 · PG · 6'6" 190 · 27	30.8	7	39%	4	6	2	0	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-6	17%
Nikola Vučević #9 · C · 6'9" 265 · 34	28.3	15	50%	12	8	1	2	1	0	3	9	0-0	-	6-12	50%	1-3	33%
Coby White #0 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25	28.1	16	67%	9	4	1	1	2	2	1	8	3-3	100%	5-9	56%	1-2	50%
Julian Phillips #15 · PF · 6'6" 201 · 21	27.9	23	82%	9	1	1	0	0	3	3	6	6-6	100%	4-5	80%	3-6	50%

Talen Horton-Tucker #22 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 24	24.4	12	46%	1	4	1	1	2	2	0	1	6-8	75%	3-5	60%	0-4	0%
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 24	23.4	5	36%	3	1	1	0	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Zach Collins #12 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 27	19.8	8	67%	4	3	1	0	3	0	2	2	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 30	13.3	8	40%	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-8	25%
Jalen Smith #7 · C · 6'8" 244 · 25	4.2	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
E.J. Liddell #32 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 24	2.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jahmir Young #17 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 25	2.7	3	150%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Emanuel Miller #20 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 25	2.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Flexor Carpi Ulnaris; Tendinopathy
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Tre Jones #30 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Midfoot; Sprain
Ayo Dosunmu #11 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Dalen Terry #25 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	57%	54	32	8	7	12	13	13	41	20-22	91%	30-52	58%	13-41	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	CHI
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	CHI

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

0.87 43.6%

CHI

1.13 56.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

54%

CHI

76%

Midrange

WAS

45%

CHI

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

15.0

24%

37%

CHI

19.5

32%

48%

Free Throws

WAS

75%

CHI

91%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Champagnie	22	69%	11.0 / 16
B. Carrington	18	56%	9.0 / 16
T. Vukcevic	17	57%	8.5 / 15
K. George	11	55%	5.5 / 10
A. Johnson	8	29%	4.0 / 14
A. Sarr	7	23%	3.5 / 15
C. Jones	3	25%	1.5 / 6
J. Thor	3	30%	1.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Phillips	23	82%	11.5 / 14
M. Buzelis	20	67%	10.0 / 15
C. White	16	67%	8.0 / 12
N. Vučević	15	50%	7.5 / 15
T. Horton-Tucker	12	46%	6.0 / 13
Z. Collins	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. Carter	8	40%	4.0 / 10
K. Huerter	7	39%	3.5 / 9
P. Williams	5	36%	2.5 / 7
J. Young	3	150%	1.5 / 1
J. Smith	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	30 105.8 20 113.2	WAS 85.6 CHI 116.7 +31.1
Pace	4 101.8 2 103.7	WAS 102.4 CHI 105.1 +2.8
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 29 13.3	WAS 14.1 CHI 13.7 −0.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 51.2% 13 55.3%	WAS 44.0% CHI 53.2% +9.2%
TO %	27 14.6% 17 13.4%	WAS 15.8% CHI 11.2% −4.6%
ORB %	25 22.7% 28 22.3%	WAS 16.3% CHI 28.3% +12.0%
FTrt	26 22.9 29 21.4	WAS 13.2 CHI 23.7 +10.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 63.7% 7 67.2%	WAS 74.3% CHI 74.4% +0.1%
STL %	25 7.4% 29 7.2%	WAS 6.7% CHI 7.8% +1.1%
BLK %	12 9.6% 26 8.5%	WAS 9.6% CHI 14.0% +4.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 53.2% 13 57.0%	WAS 43.6% CHI 56.7% +13.1%
Rim FG%	17 63.7% 24 61.6%	WAS 53.6% CHI 75.9% +22.3%
Mid FG%	30 38.0% 3 46.2%	WAS 45.5% +10.7% CHI 34.8%
3P %	29 33.5% 13 36.7%	WAS 24.4% CHI 31.7% +7.3%
FT %	16 77.8% 3 80.9%	WAS 75.0% CHI 90.9% +15.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 30.5% 11 33.2%	WAS 30.8% CHI 31.2% +0.4%
Mid Att. %	11 25.9% 2 21.1%	WAS 24.2% −0.6% CHI 24.7%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 4 45.7%	WAS 45.1% +1.0% CHI 44.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	CHI
Possessions	104	102
Possession Minutes	24.4	23.3
Points	89	119
Rebounds	41	54
Assists	26	32
Steals	7	8
Blocks	5	7
Turnovers (Team)	16 (2)	12 (1)
Fouls	16	13
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (6)	13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (3)	41 (1)
Field Goals	35-91	43-93
At-the-Rim FG	15-28	22-29
Midrange FG	10-22	8-23
2-Point FG	25-50	30-52
3-Point FG	10-41	13-41
Free Throws	9-12	20-22
Fast Break Pts	6	21
2nd Chance Pts	8	13
Points in Paint	36	52
Pts off Turnovers	14	23
Bench Points	23	38
Biggest Lead	2	33

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg