Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, April 11, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Heat	81%	113	153	143.0	107	103.1
	29	Pelicans	19%	100	104	98.1	106	110.1

Scoring Opportunities

MIA

+18

-9

116

NOP

+14

-13

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.32 65.9%

NOP

0.97 48.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

11 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kel'el Ware #7 · C · 7'0" 250 · 21	26.4	10	50%	11	2	0	2	1	0	3	8	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-1	0%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 30	24.4	10	36%	5	3	2	1	0	1	3	2	2-3	67%	4-9	44%	0-4	0%
Alec Burks #18 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 34	21.7	12	86%	4	3	1	0	2	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-7	57%
Bam Adebayo #13 · PF · 6'9" 260 · 28	21.7	23	82%	12	4	2	0	0	1	3	9	3-4	75%	4-6	67%	4-6	67%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	21.6	22	85%	4	4	1	0	1	0	1	3	6-6	100%	5-7	71%	2-3	67%

Kyle Anderson #20 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32	23.2	9	56%	4	6	1	2	0	3	0	4	1-3	33%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 27	22.1	11	79%	2	3	1	0	2	2	0	2	2-3	67%	3-3	100%	1-3	33%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 28	19.9	10	63%	5	3	0	0	0	1	2	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-5	40%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 31	19.4	21	81%	2	0	0	0	1	2	1	1	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	6-12	50%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	13.8	11	92%	5	5	1	0	1	1	2	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-1	100%
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 31	12.0	2	33%	3	2	1	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Keshad Johnson #16 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	7.0	10	83%	2	0	1	0	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Josh Christopher #8 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 23	7.0	2	25%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Pelle Larsson #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Isaiah Stevens #4 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Discomfort
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Broken
Dru Smith #12 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Surgery
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 37	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	153	66%	60	36	12	5	9	13	16	44	17-22	77%	38-59	64%	20-45	44%

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11 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kel'el Ware #7 · C · 7'0" 250 · 21	26.4	10	50%	11	2	0	2	1	0	3	8	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-1	0%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 30	24.4	10	36%	5	3	2	1	0	1	3	2	2-3	67%	4-9	44%	0-4	0%
Alec Burks #18 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 34	21.7	12	86%	4	3	1	0	2	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-7	57%
Bam Adebayo #13 · PF · 6'9" 260 · 28	21.7	23	82%	12	4	2	0	0	1	3	9	3-4	75%	4-6	67%	4-6	67%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	21.6	22	85%	4	4	1	0	1	0	1	3	6-6	100%	5-7	71%	2-3	67%

Kyle Anderson #20 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32	23.2	9	56%	4	6	1	2	0	3	0	4	1-3	33%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 27	22.1	11	79%	2	3	1	0	2	2	0	2	2-3	67%	3-3	100%	1-3	33%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 28	19.9	10	63%	5	3	0	0	0	1	2	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-5	40%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 31	19.4	21	81%	2	0	0	0	1	2	1	1	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	6-12	50%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	13.8	11	92%	5	5	1	0	1	1	2	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-1	100%
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 31	12.0	2	33%	3	2	1	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Keshad Johnson #16 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	7.0	10	83%	2	0	1	0	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Josh Christopher #8 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 23	7.0	2	25%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Pelle Larsson #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Isaiah Stevens #4 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Discomfort
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Broken
Dru Smith #12 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Surgery
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 37	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	153	66%	60	36	12	5	9	13	16	44	17-22	77%	38-59	64%	20-45	44%

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29 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keion Brooks Jr. #0 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 25	36.4	14	39%	3	1	2	1	1	3	2	1	3-4	75%	4-11	36%	1-5	20%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	33.0	14	58%	7	2	0	0	3	2	1	6	0-0	-	4-7	57%	2-5	40%
Elfrid Payton #4 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 31	29.3	4	25%	10	13	0	0	2	2	3	7	0-0	-	2-8	25%	0-0	-
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 27	22.7	14	50%	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	3-9	33%
Kylor Kelley #35 · C · 7'0" 215 · 28	20.6	5	36%	6	1	1	0	0	2	1	5	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	0-0	-

Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 26	35.0	25	66%	7	3	1	0	3	2	2	5	5-7	71%	4-9	44%	4-7	57%
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	34.3	19	59%	5	4	1	0	1	2	2	3	3-4	75%	5-9	56%	2-5	40%
Lester Quinones #22 · SG · 6'5" 208 · 24	28.8	9	45%	1	3	1	1	2	2	0	1	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	2-6	33%
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Soreness
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Soreness
Bruce Brown #00 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lumbar Spine; Annular Fissure
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Torn Labrum
Herbert Jones #2 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Torn Rotator Cuff
Brandon Boston #11 · SG · 6'6" 188 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Bone Contusion
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Rupture
Kelly Olynyk #13 · C · 7'0" 240 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendonosis
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Bone Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	49%	42	27	6	2	13	16	12	30	14-20	70%	24-58	41%	14-37	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	NOP
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	NOP

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.32 65.9%

NOP

0.97 48.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

71%

NOP

55%

Midrange

MIA

52%

NOP

26%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

30.0

44%

67%

NOP

21.0

38%

57%

Free Throws

MIA

77%

NOP

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo	23	82%	11.5 / 14
T. Herro	22	85%	11.0 / 13
D. Robinson	21	81%	10.5 / 13
A. Burks	12	86%	6.0 / 7
D. Mitchell	11	79%	5.5 / 7
J. Jaquez	11	92%	5.5 / 6
K. Ware	10	50%	5.0 / 10
A. Wiggins	10	36%	5.0 / 14
H. Highsmith	10	63%	5.0 / 8
K. Johnson	10	83%	5.0 / 6
K. Anderson	9	56%	4.5 / 8
T. Rozier	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Christopher	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Cain	25	66%	12.5 / 19
A. Reeves	19	59%	9.5 / 16
K. Brooks Jr.	14	39%	7.0 / 18
J. Robinson-Earl	14	58%	7.0 / 12
J. Alvarado	14	50%	7.0 / 14
L. Quinones	9	45%	4.5 / 10
K. Kelley	5	36%	2.5 / 7
E. Payton	4	25%	2.0 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 112.4 25 109.6	MIA 143.0 +44.9 NOP 98.1
Pace	27 97.2 15 99.8	MIA 103.1 NOP 110.1 +7.0
Avg. Poss. Time	9 14.9 17 14.4	MIA 14.0 NOP 13.1 −0.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	19 54.4% 26 51.9%	MIA 65.4% +18.0% NOP 47.4%
TO %	8 12.8% 20 13.9%	MIA 7.3% −5.3% NOP 12.6%
ORB %	27 22.3% 9 26.3%	MIA 34.8% +13.4% NOP 21.4%
FTrt	24 23.2 15 24.4	MIA 21.2 +0.1 NOP 21.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	10 65.3% 13 63.6%	MIA 62.1% NOP 71.1% +9.0%
STL %	12 8.3% 8 8.5%	MIA 11.2% +5.5% NOP 5.7%
BLK %	30 7.6% 7 10.4%	MIA 8.6% +5.2% NOP 3.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	19 56.0% 26 53.8%	MIA 65.9% +17.3% NOP 48.6%
Rim FG%	22 62.5% 26 61.0%	MIA 71.1% +16.3% NOP 54.8%
Mid FG%	12 44.4% 23 40.7%	MIA 52.4% +26.5% NOP 25.9%
3P %	11 36.7% 24 34.7%	MIA 44.4% +6.6% NOP 37.8%
FT %	8 79.1% 27 75.4%	MIA 77.3% +7.3% NOP 70.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 29.6% 9 33.6%	MIA 36.5% +3.9% NOP 32.6%
Mid Att. %	20 27.5% 22 27.9%	MIA 20.2% −8.2% NOP 28.4%
3P Att. %	12 42.9% 26 38.6%	MIA 43.3% +4.3% NOP 38.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	NOP
Possessions	107	106
Possession Minutes	24.9	23.1
Points	153	104
Rebounds	60	42
Assists	36	27
Steals	12	6
Blocks	5	2
Turnovers (Team)	9 (0)	13 (2)
Fouls	13	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (2)	12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	44 (1)	30 (1)
Field Goals	58-104	38-95
At-the-Rim FG	27-38	17-31
Midrange FG	11-21	7-27
2-Point FG	38-59	24-58
3-Point FG	20-45	14-37
Free Throws	17-22	14-20
Fast Break Pts	29	19
2nd Chance Pts	24	13
Points in Paint	70	46
Pts off Turnovers	20	10
Bench Points	76	53
Biggest Lead	52	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg