Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, April 11, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	6	Grizzlies	39%	119	109	105.8	103	97.1
	7	Nuggets	61%	123	117	114.7	102	108.5

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+12

-12

103

DEN

+16

-12

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.06 52.9%

DEN

1.10 55.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

6 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 26	36.9	18	53%	1	2	0	2	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	6-10	60%	2-7	29%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	33.8	24	63%	6	1	1	0	3	2	1	5	3-3	100%	6-11	55%	3-8	38%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	33.6	21	46%	2	6	1	0	3	2	1	1	3-5	60%	6-13	46%	2-8	25%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	33.2	8	67%	16	1	1	2	2	4	3	13	2-4	50%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SF · 6'4" 205 · 25	15.3	2	20%	3	1	1	1	2	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-4	0%

Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 24	31.3	11	46%	1	7	0	0	0	4	1	0	3-4	75%	1-5	20%	2-5	40%
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 24	25.5	8	67%	3	4	2	0	1	3	0	3	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	23.4	12	86%	6	4	1	0	1	2	0	6	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	6.7	5	125%	3	0	1	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Lamar Stevens #8 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	0.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Sprain
Jaylen Wells #0 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Fracture/Facial Laceration/Concussion Protocol
Zyon Pullin #2 · SG · 6'4" 206 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellar; Tendon Surgery Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	53%	41	26	8	5	12	24	7	34	13-19	68%	27-48	56%	14-43	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

6 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 26	36.9	18	53%	1	2	0	2	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	6-10	60%	2-7	29%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	33.8	24	63%	6	1	1	0	3	2	1	5	3-3	100%	6-11	55%	3-8	38%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	33.6	21	46%	2	6	1	0	3	2	1	1	3-5	60%	6-13	46%	2-8	25%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	33.2	8	67%	16	1	1	2	2	4	3	13	2-4	50%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SF · 6'4" 205 · 25	15.3	2	20%	3	1	1	1	2	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-4	0%

Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 24	31.3	11	46%	1	7	0	0	0	4	1	0	3-4	75%	1-5	20%	2-5	40%
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 24	25.5	8	67%	3	4	2	0	1	3	0	3	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	23.4	12	86%	6	4	1	0	1	2	0	6	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	6.7	5	125%	3	0	1	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Lamar Stevens #8 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	0.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Sprain
Jaylen Wells #0 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Fracture/Facial Laceration/Concussion Protocol
Zyon Pullin #2 · SG · 6'4" 206 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellar; Tendon Surgery Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	53%	41	26	8	5	12	24	7	34	13-19	68%	27-48	56%	14-43	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

7 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	40.9	26	62%	16	13	2	0	5	3	3	13	3-7	43%	10-17	59%	1-2	50%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	40.7	33	63%	5	0	1	1	0	3	4	1	5-6	83%	11-16	69%	2-7	29%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	33.7	12	60%	2	5	1	0	0	4	0	2	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	0-2	0%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	31.6	15	58%	5	7	0	0	4	3	0	5	4-5	80%	4-8	50%	1-4	25%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 27	29.5	7	35%	12	0	0	0	1	2	3	9	3-4	75%	2-6	33%	0-2	0%

Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	26.9	14	64%	3	4	2	0	2	0	0	3	5-5	100%	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	19.7	8	44%	5	1	0	1	0	1	0	5	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	9.9	0	0%	2	2	2	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	7.1	2	100%	2	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #9 · C · 6'10" 225 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	INACTIVE
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	INACTIVE
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	55%	52	32	9	2	12	17	11	41	24-31	77%	39-67	58%	5-24	21%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.06 52.9%

DEN

1.10 55.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

73%

DEN

67%

Midrange

MEM

48%

DEN

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

21.0

33%

49%

DEN

7.5

21%

31%

Free Throws

MEM

68%

DEN

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Bane	24	63%	12.0 / 19
J. Morant	21	46%	10.5 / 23
J. Jackson	18	53%	9.0 / 17
L. Kennard	12	86%	6.0 / 7
S. Pippen	11	46%	5.5 / 12
Z. Edey	8	67%	4.0 / 6
S. Aldama	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. Konchar	5	125%	2.5 / 2
V. Williams	2	20%	1.0 / 5
L. Stevens	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Gordon	33	63%	16.5 / 26
N. Jokić	26	62%	13.0 / 21
J. Murray	15	58%	7.5 / 13
R. Westbrook	14	64%	7.0 / 11
C. Braun	12	60%	6.0 / 10
P. Watson	8	44%	4.0 / 9
M. Porter	7	35%	3.5 / 10
D. Jordan	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Pickett	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 117.2 4 118.9	MEM 105.8 DEN 114.7 +8.9
Pace	1 103.7 8 100.6	MEM 97.1 DEN 108.5 +11.4
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.4 22 14.2	MEM 14.8 DEN 13.3 −1.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 55.4% 2 57.3%	MEM 52.7% +1.6% DEN 51.1%
TO %	25 14.4% 15 13.3%	MEM 11.6% DEN 11.1% −0.5%
ORB %	3 28.7% 7 26.7%	MEM 14.6% DEN 24.4% +9.8%
FTrt	10 24.9 5 25.9	MEM 20.9 DEN 34.1 +13.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	15 63.5% 4 68.3%	MEM 63.4% DEN 72.7% +9.3%
STL %	7 8.5% 19 7.9%	MEM 7.8% DEN 8.8% +1.0%
BLK %	3 10.8% 21 9.0%	MEM 7.5% +3.3% DEN 4.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 57.4% 2 58.8%	MEM 52.9% DEN 55.2% +2.3%
Rim FG%	11 65.3% 7 66.2%	MEM 73.3% +6.6% DEN 66.7%
Mid FG%	9 45.4% 8 45.5%	MEM 48.5% +7.6% DEN 40.9%
3P %	12 36.7% 5 37.6%	MEM 32.6% +11.8% DEN 20.8%
FT %	12 78.6% 23 77.0%	MEM 68.4% DEN 77.4% +9.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 30.5% 1 38.3%	MEM 16.5% DEN 49.5% +33.0%
Mid Att. %	26 29.0% 13 26.1%	MEM 36.3% DEN 24.2% −12.1%
3P Att. %	20 40.6% 30 35.6%	MEM 47.3% +20.9% DEN 26.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Game Totals	MEM	DEN
Possessions	103	102
Possession Minutes	25.5	22.6
Points	109	117
Rebounds	41	52
Assists	26	32
Steals	8	9
Blocks	5	2
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	12 (1)
Fouls	24	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (5)	11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (1)	41 (1)
Field Goals	41-91	44-91
At-the-Rim FG	11-15	30-45
Midrange FG	16-33	9-22
2-Point FG	27-48	39-67
3-Point FG	14-43	5-24
Free Throws	13-19	24-31
Fast Break Pts	13	23
2nd Chance Pts	10	10
Points in Paint	52	72
Pts off Turnovers	14	19
Bench Points	36	24
Biggest Lead	15	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg