Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, April 13, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Magic	48%	108	105	106.1	99	91.0
	16	Hawks	52%	109	117	118.2	99	108.6

Scoring Opportunities

ORL

+13

-14

ATL

+11

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.07 53.6%

ATL

1.23 61.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

17 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 24	36.9	14	54%	7	6	0	0	1	1	2	5	0-0	-	1-7	14%	4-6	67%
Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 21	36.6	20	56%	10	2	3	1	1	0	2	8	3-4	75%	4-11	36%	3-5	60%
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 28	18.9	12	60%	10	2	1	3	1	0	4	6	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	0-2	0%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 26	17.4	4	25%	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	3	2-3	67%	1-5	20%	0-2	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 32	5.2	2	25%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%

Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	35.2	13	59%	5	3	2	0	2	2	0	5	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	33.1	16	62%	1	1	0	0	6	3	0	1	0-0	-	5-6	83%	2-7	29%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 26	25.9	10	45%	6	4	1	1	2	2	4	2	2-4	50%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	17.7	12	150%	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-4	100%
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 25	13.0	2	33%	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Cory Joseph #10 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 34	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 26	INACTIVE
Mac McClung #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 26	INACTIVE
Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 28	INACTIVE
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Soreness
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Trochlea Cartilage Tear
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Soreness
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	54%	43	25	11	5	14	8	12	31	10-15	67%	25-53	47%	15-35	43%

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17 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 24	36.9	14	54%	7	6	0	0	1	1	2	5	0-0	-	1-7	14%	4-6	67%
Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 21	36.6	20	56%	10	2	3	1	1	0	2	8	3-4	75%	4-11	36%	3-5	60%
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 28	18.9	12	60%	10	2	1	3	1	0	4	6	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	0-2	0%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 26	17.4	4	25%	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	3	2-3	67%	1-5	20%	0-2	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 32	5.2	2	25%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%

Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	35.2	13	59%	5	3	2	0	2	2	0	5	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	33.1	16	62%	1	1	0	0	6	3	0	1	0-0	-	5-6	83%	2-7	29%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 26	25.9	10	45%	6	4	1	1	2	2	4	2	2-4	50%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	17.7	12	150%	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-4	100%
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 25	13.0	2	33%	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Cory Joseph #10 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 34	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 26	INACTIVE
Mac McClung #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 26	INACTIVE
Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 28	INACTIVE
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Soreness
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Trochlea Cartilage Tear
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Soreness
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	54%	43	25	11	5	14	8	12	31	10-15	67%	25-53	47%	15-35	43%

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16 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	37.5	15	38%	11	15	5	0	3	3	0	11	0-0	-	6-13	46%	1-7	14%
Dominick Barlow #0 · C · 6'9" 224 · 22	33.9	15	63%	5	1	0	0	0	4	2	3	3-6	50%	6-7	86%	0-2	0%
Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28	29.7	19	63%	3	4	0	0	1	0	2	1	1-2	50%	9-12	75%	0-2	0%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 20	9.6	6	60%	2	0	0	1	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 22	7.0	3	75%	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%

Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 28	36.6	12	67%	4	1	0	1	2	2	0	4	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	3-7	43%
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	31.3	17	71%	4	2	0	0	3	4	1	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	3-7	43%
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 25	27.8	13	130%	7	7	3	0	3	2	2	5	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	2-2	100%
Jacob Toppin #00 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 25	26.6	17	71%	4	2	0	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	5-8	63%
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Fourth Metacarpal; Ligament Sprain
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Surgery
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Medial Femoral Condyle; Fracture
Caris LeVert #3 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Tendinitis; Injury Management
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 22	Inactive – Rest
Georges Niang #20 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 32	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	62%	44	32	8	2	15	15	9	35	6-10	60%	30-48	63%	17-40	43%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	ATL
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	ATL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.07 53.6%

ATL

1.23 61.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ORL

70%

ATL

73%

Midrange

ORL

23%

ATL

54%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ORL

22.5

43%

64%

ATL

25.5

43%

64%

Free Throws

ORL

67%

ATL

60%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Black	20	56%	10.0 / 18
J. Howard	16	62%	8.0 / 13
T. da Silva	14	54%	7.0 / 13
C. Houstan	13	59%	6.5 / 11
J. Isaac	12	60%	6.0 / 10
G. Harris	12	150%	6.0 / 4
G. Bitadze	10	45%	5.0 / 11
W. Carter	4	25%	2.0 / 8
K. Caldwell-Pope	2	25%	1.0 / 4
C. Anthony	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Mann	19	63%	9.5 / 15
D. Plowden	17	71%	8.5 / 12
J. Toppin	17	71%	8.5 / 12
K. Wallace	15	38%	7.5 / 20
D. Barlow	15	63%	7.5 / 12
V. Krejčí	13	130%	6.5 / 5
G. Mathews	12	67%	6.0 / 9
Z. Risacher	6	60%	3.0 / 5
M. Gueye	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	27 109.1 17 113.7	ORL 106.1 ATL 118.2 +12.1
Pace	30 96.4 3 103.4	ORL 91.0 ATL 108.6 +17.6
Avg. Poss. Time	1 15.5 30 13.3	ORL 15.8 ATL 13.3 −2.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 51.0% 17 54.6%	ORL 54.0% ATL 63.1% +9.1%
TO %	18 13.5% 23 14.1%	ORL 13.7% −1.1% ATL 14.8%
ORB %	17 25.3% 10 26.3%	ORL 25.5% +3.0% ATL 22.5%
FTrt	2 26.9 8 25.2	ORL 17.0 +5.6 ATL 11.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	25 60.3% 5 68.3%	ORL 62.5% ATL 68.1% +5.6%
STL %	6 9.2% 4 9.4%	ORL 11.1% +3.0% ATL 8.1%
BLK %	1 11.9% 11 9.7%	ORL 10.4% +6.6% ATL 3.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	28 53.3% 17 56.5%	ORL 53.6% ATL 61.6% +8.0%
Rim FG%	19 63.6% 20 62.9%	ORL 70.4% ATL 72.7% +2.3%
Mid FG%	22 41.4% 11 44.5%	ORL 23.1% ATL 53.8% +30.7%
3P %	30 31.8% 18 35.8%	ORL 42.9% +0.4% ATL 42.5%
FT %	19 77.5% 18 77.5%	ORL 66.7% +6.7% ATL 60.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	15 31.5% 6 34.1%	ORL 30.7% +5.7% ATL 25.0%
Mid Att. %	19 27.4% 10 24.8%	ORL 29.5% ATL 29.5%
3P Att. %	18 41.1% 19 41.0%	ORL 39.8% ATL 45.5% +5.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.65 and 2.65.

Game Totals	ORL	ATL
Possessions	99	99
Possession Minutes	26.1	21.9
Points	105	117
Rebounds	43	44
Assists	25	32
Steals	11	8
Blocks	5	2
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	15 (1)
Fouls	8	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (1)	9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (0)	35 (1)
Field Goals	40-88	47-88
At-the-Rim FG	19-27	16-22
Midrange FG	6-26	14-26
2-Point FG	25-53	30-48
3-Point FG	15-35	17-40
Free Throws	10-15	6-10
Fast Break Pts	16	26
2nd Chance Pts	20	12
Points in Paint	46	58
Pts off Turnovers	22	17
Bench Points	53	59
Biggest Lead	5	20

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg