FinalWin Prob.pScore
2728%102
119
1372%111
118
ORTG#PossPace
WAS logo WAS
116.7102100.8
MIA logo MIA
114.6103105.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventWASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.119
100%
118
0%
Q4 - 0:00.3WizardsBub Carrington makes two point driving floating bank jump shot119
93.6%
118
6.4%
Q4 - 0:04.4HeatJosh Christopher turnover (back court violation)117
10.1%
118
89.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0WizardsJustin Champagnie makes three point jump shot (Bub Carrington assists)117
3.0%
118
97.0%
Q4 - 0:08.5HeatJosh Christopher makes regular free throw 2 of 2114
1.8%
118
98.2%
Q4 - 0:08.5HeatJosh Christopher makes regular free throw 1 of 2114
2.3%
117
97.7%
Q4 - 0:08.5WizardsTristan Vukcevic personal foul (Take) (Josh Christopher draws the foul)114
3.0%
116
97.0%
Q4 - 0:10.2HeatJosh Christopher defensive rebound114
5.0%
116
95.0%
Q4 - 0:13.5WizardsBub Carrington misses two point pullup jump shot114
8.4%
116
91.6%
Q4 - 0:25.7HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2114
19.6%
116
80.4%
Q4 - 0:25.7HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2114
22.1%
115
77.9%
Q4 - 0:25.7WizardsBub Carrington shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)114
25.4%
114
74.6%
Q4 - 0:35.9HeatJosh Christopher defensive rebound114
31.4%
114
68.6%
Q4 - 0:40.1WizardsBub Carrington misses three point pullup jump shot114
39.5%
114
60.5%
Q4 - 0:59.2HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Bub Carrington steals)114
51.2%
114
48.8%
Q4 - 1:07HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound114
33.8%
114
66.2%
Q4 - 1:10WizardsColby Jones misses three point jump shot114
38.4%
114
61.6%
Q4 - 1:30HeatKeshad Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 1114
47.4%
114
52.6%
Q4 - 1:30WizardsColby Jones shooting foul (Keshad Johnson draws the foul)114
50.4%
113
49.6%
Q4 - 1:33WizardsTristan Vukcevic turnover (lost ball) (Josh Christopher steals)114
68.5%
111
31.5%
Q4 - 1:50WizardsTristan Vukcevic defensive rebound114
78.2%
111
21.8%
Q4 - 1:53HeatJosh Christopher misses two point running dunk114
75.5%
111
24.5%
Q4 - 1:58HeatKeshad Johnson defensive rebound114
67.9%
111
32.1%
Q4 - 1:59WizardsAJ Johnson misses two point running alley-oop layup114
71.5%
111
28.5%
Q4 - 2:03WizardsBub Carrington defensive rebound114
80.5%
111
19.5%
Q4 - 2:06HeatJosh Christopher misses two point driving floating bank jump shot114
77.5%
111
22.5%
Q4 - 2:28WizardsBub Carrington turnover (bad pass) (Josh Christopher steals)114
69.3%
111
30.7%
Q4 - 2:47HeatJosh Christopher makes two point driving layup114
81.6%
111
18.4%
Q4 - 2:53HeatJosh Christopher defensive rebound114
81.8%
109
18.2%
Q4 - 2:59WizardsBub Carrington misses three point running jump shot114
84.3%
109
15.7%
Q4 - 3:02WizardsColby Jones defensive rebound114
88.5%
109
11.5%
Q4 - 3:07HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot114
87.0%
109
13.0%
Q4 - 3:13HeatKeshad Johnson offensive rebound114
82.5%
109
17.5%
Q4 - 3:14HeatJosh Christopher misses two point jump shot114
87.2%
109
12.8%
Q4 - 3:26HeatKyle Anderson defensive rebound114
82.7%
109
17.3%
Q4 - 3:29WizardsColby Jones misses regular free throw 2 of 2114
83.8%
109
16.2%
Q4 - 3:29WizardsColby Jones misses regular free throw 1 of 2114
87.0%
109
13.0%
Q4 - 3:29HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Colby Jones draws the foul)114
90.1%
109
9.9%
Q4 - 3:29WizardsColby Jones offensive rebound114
89.1%
109
10.9%
Q4 - 3:29WizardsJustin Champagnie misses two point driving layup114
85.0%
109
15.0%
Q4 - 3:48HeatKeshad Johnson makes two point alley-oop dunk (Josh Christopher assists)114
82.1%
109
17.9%
Q4 - 4:04WizardsJustin Champagnie makes two point tip dunk114
86.6%
107
13.4%
Q4 - 4:05WizardsJustin Champagnie offensive rebound112
82.5%
107
17.5%
Q4 - 4:06WizardsBub Carrington misses two point pullup jump shot112
78.2%
107
21.8%
Q4 - 4:15WizardsTristan Vukcevic defensive rebound112
82.6%
107
17.4%
Q4 - 4:16HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot112
80.9%
107
19.1%
Q4 - 4:35HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound112
76.4%
107
23.6%
Q4 - 4:35WizardsColby Jones misses three point jump shot112
78.5%
107
21.5%
Q4 - 4:56HeatJosh Christopher makes two point running dunk112
83.0%
107
17.0%
Q4 - 4:59WizardsTristan Vukcevic turnover (bad pass) (Josh Christopher steals)112
87.1%
105
12.9%
Q4 - 5:20WizardsColby Jones defensive rebound112
86.8%
105
13.2%
Q4 - 5:24HeatJosh Christopher misses three point jump shot112
85.6%
105
14.4%
Q4 - 5:41WizardsTristan Vukcevic makes three point jump shot (Bub Carrington assists)112
82.4%
105
17.6%
Q4 - 5:54HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot109
72.1%
105
27.9%
Q4 - 6:11WizardsJustin Champagnie makes three point jump shot (Colby Jones assists)109
72.2%
103
27.8%
Q4 - 6:27HeatJosh Christopher makes two point cutting layup (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)106
61.0%
103
39.0%
Q4 - 6:46WizardsJustin Champagnie makes two point cutting layup (Tristan Vukcevic assists)106
66.5%
101
33.5%
Q4 - 7:05HeatJosh Christopher makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)104
57.5%
101
42.5%
Q4 - 7:23WizardsColby Jones makes two point driving layup (Bub Carrington assists)104
68.2%
98
31.8%
Q4 - 7:45WizardsJustin Champagnie defensive rebound102
63.9%
98
36.1%
Q4 - 7:48HeatTerry Rozier misses three point running pullup jump shot102
61.7%
98
38.3%
Q4 - 7:50HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound102
56.3%
98
43.7%
Q4 - 7:53WizardsKyle Anderson blocks Justin Champagnie's three point running pullup jump shot102
58.7%
98
41.3%
Q4 - 7:56WizardsBub Carrington defensive rebound102
64.0%
98
36.0%
Q4 - 7:57HeatTristan Vukcevic blocks Terry Rozier's two point driving finger roll layup102
61.7%
98
38.3%
Q4 - 8:04HeatKyle Anderson defensive rebound102
54.6%
98
45.4%
Q4 - 8:07WizardsBub Carrington misses three point stepback jump shot102
56.6%
98
43.4%
Q4 - 8:22HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup102
61.2%
98
38.8%
Q4 - 8:37WizardsAJ Johnson makes three point jump shot (Justin Champagnie assists)102
66.2%
96
33.8%
Q4 - 8:48WizardsTristan Vukcevic defensive rebound99
55.4%
96
44.6%
Q4 - 8:51HeatJosh Christopher misses three point stepback jump shot99
53.3%
96
46.7%
Q4 - 9:10HeatKeshad Johnson defensive rebound99
46.8%
96
53.2%
Q4 - 9:13WizardsBub Carrington misses two point pullup jump shot99
48.8%
96
51.2%
Q4 - 9:25HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup99
53.4%
96
46.6%
Q4 - 9:39WizardsTristan Vukcevic makes three point jump shot (AJ Johnson assists)99
58.3%
94
41.7%
Q4 - 9:59HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving dunk (Kyle Anderson assists)96
47.8%
94
52.2%
Q4 - 10:03HeatKyle Anderson offensive rebound96
51.1%
92
48.9%
Q4 - 10:07HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot96
55.3%
92
44.7%
Q4 - 10:17WizardsTristan Vukcevic turnover (offensive foul)96
51.1%
92
48.9%
Q4 - 10:17WizardsTristan Vukcevic offensive foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)96
57.1%
92
42.9%
Q4 - 10:29HeatJosh Christopher makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot96
57.2%
92
42.8%
Q4 - 10:50WizardsTristan Vukcevic makes regular free throw 2 of 296
61.8%
90
38.2%
Q4 - 10:50WizardsTristan Vukcevic makes regular free throw 1 of 295
60.7%
90
39.3%
Q4 - 10:50HeatKeshad Johnson shooting foul (Tristan Vukcevic draws the foul)94
59.4%
90
40.6%
Q4 - 10:59HeatJosh Christopher makes two point running reverse layup (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)94
57.3%
90
42.7%
Q4 - 11:04HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound94
60.4%
88
39.6%
Q4 - 11:05WizardsKyle Anderson blocks AJ Johnson's two point driving layup94
62.0%
88
38.0%
Q4 - 11:13HeatTerry Rozier makes two point running finger roll layup (Kyle Anderson assists)94
65.4%
88
34.6%
Q4 - 11:17HeatKyle Anderson defensive rebound94
69.7%
86
30.3%
Q4 - 11:19WizardsJosh Christopher blocks Tristan Vukcevic's two point cutting finger roll layup94
71.1%
86
28.9%
Q4 - 11:27WizardsColby Jones defensive rebound94
74.0%
86
26.0%
Q4 - 11:33HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot94
72.8%
86
27.2%
Q4 - 11:40HeatKeshad Johnson defensive rebound94
69.8%
86
30.2%
Q4 - 11:44WizardsColby Jones misses two point stepback jump shot94
71.2%
86
28.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.94
74.1%
86
25.9%
Q3 - 0:02.4WizardsTristan Vukcevic defensive rebound94
71.6%
86
28.4%
Q3 - 0:03.1HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot94
70.4%
86
29.6%
Q3 - 0:13.6HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound94
67.6%
86
32.4%
Q3 - 0:15.8WizardsAJ Johnson misses two point driving finger roll layup94
68.9%
86
31.1%
Q3 - 0:30.3WizardsAJ Johnson defensive rebound94
71.8%
86
28.2%
Q3 - 0:33.9HeatKeshad Johnson misses three point jump shot94
70.6%
86
29.4%
Q3 - 0:38.8WizardsColby Jones makes two point floating jump shot (AJ Johnson assists)94
67.7%
86
32.3%
Q3 - 1:04HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Keshad Johnson assists)92
61.0%
86
39.0%
Q3 - 1:07WizardsAJ Johnson personal foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)92
69.1%
83
30.9%
Q3 - 1:22WizardsColby Jones makes two point turnaround jump shot (Justin Champagnie assists)92
69.2%
83
30.8%
Q3 - 1:29HeatKel'el Ware personal foul (Tristan Vukcevic draws the foul)90
65.4%
83
34.6%
Q3 - 1:44HeatKel'el Ware makes two point running alley-oop layup (Davion Mitchell assists)90
65.4%
83
34.6%
Q3 - 1:48HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound90
69.4%
81
30.6%
Q3 - 1:50WizardsBub Carrington misses three point pullup jump shot90
70.6%
81
29.4%
Q3 - 2:01WizardsColby Jones defensive rebound90
70.8%
81
29.2%
Q3 - 2:07HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot90
69.7%
81
30.3%
Q3 - 2:15HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound90
66.9%
81
33.1%
Q3 - 2:18WizardsAJ Johnson misses three point running jump shot90
68.2%
81
31.8%
Q3 - 2:23HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (bad pass) (Justin Champagnie steals)90
71.0%
81
29.0%
Q3 - 2:29HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound90
66.9%
81
33.1%
Q3 - 2:31WizardsColby Jones misses two point driving layup90
68.2%
81
31.8%
Q3 - 2:39WizardsColby Jones defensive rebound90
71.0%
81
29.0%
Q3 - 2:41HeatDavion Mitchell misses two point driving layup90
69.8%
81
30.2%
Q3 - 2:53WizardsAJ Johnson makes two point driving finger roll layup (Bub Carrington assists)90
67.0%
81
33.0%
Q3 - 3:21HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point pullup jump shot88
62.4%
81
37.6%
Q3 - 3:41WizardsColby Jones makes two point cutting dunk (Bub Carrington assists)88
69.2%
78
30.8%
Q3 - 3:50HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point running layup (Davion Mitchell assists)86
66.2%
78
33.8%
Q3 - 3:53HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound86
69.2%
76
30.8%
Q3 - 3:55WizardsAJ Johnson misses two point pullup jump shot86
70.5%
76
29.5%
Q3 - 4:17HeatKel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)86
71.0%
76
29.0%
Q3 - 4:23WizardsJustin Champagnie personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)86
74.0%
74
26.0%
Q3 - 4:30WizardsAJ Johnson makes three point stepback jump shot86
74.0%
74
26.0%
Q3 - 4:50HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving floating bank jump shot83
67.8%
74
32.2%
Q3 - 5:02WizardsColby Jones makes two point stepback jump shot83
69.2%
72
30.8%
Q3 - 5:13WizardsColby Jones defensive rebound81
66.2%
72
33.8%
Q3 - 5:14HeatKel'el Ware misses two point driving hook shot81
65.0%
72
35.0%
Q3 - 5:35WizardsBub Carrington makes two point jump shot (Tristan Vukcevic assists)81
62.4%
72
37.6%
Q3 - 5:49HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 279
59.0%
72
41.0%
Q3 - 5:49HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 279
59.7%
71
40.3%
Q3 - 5:49WizardsAlex Sarr shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)79
56.8%
71
43.2%
Q3 - 6:00WizardsAJ Johnson makes two point driving dunk (Colby Jones assists)79
58.8%
71
41.2%
Q3 - 6:21HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving finger roll layup77
53.8%
71
46.2%
Q3 - 6:37HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound77
57.1%
69
42.9%
Q3 - 6:39WizardsAlex Sarr misses two point jump shot77
58.3%
69
41.7%
Q3 - 6:59HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point running dunk77
61.2%
69
38.8%
Q3 - 7:02HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound77
62.3%
67
37.7%
Q3 - 7:04WizardsColby Jones misses two point driving floating bank jump shot77
63.5%
67
36.5%
Q3 - 7:20HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup77
66.0%
67
34.0%
Q3 - 7:29WizardsWizards turnover (shot clock violation)77
68.8%
65
31.2%
Q3 - 7:50WizardsKyshawn George defensive rebound77
72.2%
65
27.8%
Q3 - 7:55HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot77
71.2%
65
28.8%
Q3 - 8:02WizardsColby Jones turnover (bad pass) (Kel'el Ware steals)77
67.1%
65
32.9%
Q3 - 8:19WizardsTristan Vukcevic defensive rebound77
70.8%
65
29.2%
Q3 - 8:22HeatKel'el Ware misses three point jump shot77
69.7%
65
30.3%
Q3 - 8:42WizardsAlex Sarr makes two point driving floating jump shot77
67.2%
65
32.8%
Q3 - 8:47WizardsAlex Sarr defensive rebound75
64.8%
65
35.2%
Q3 - 8:48HeatDavion Mitchell misses two point driving layup75
63.6%
65
36.4%
Q3 - 9:03WizardsTristan Vukcevic makes three point jump shot (AJ Johnson assists)75
59.4%
65
40.6%
Q3 - 9:16WizardsAlex Sarr defensive rebound72
53.6%
65
46.4%
Q3 - 9:19HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot72
52.3%
65
47.7%
Q3 - 9:21HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound72
49.5%
65
50.5%
Q3 - 9:24HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot72
52.3%
65
47.7%
Q3 - 9:30HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound72
49.5%
65
50.5%
Q3 - 9:34WizardsTristan Vukcevic misses three point running jump shot72
50.8%
65
49.2%
Q3 - 9:39HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Alex Sarr steals)72
53.6%
65
46.4%
Q3 - 9:58WizardsColby Jones makes two point driving floating jump shot72
49.5%
65
50.5%
Q3 - 10:20HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point floating jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)70
46.0%
65
54.0%
Q3 - 10:32WizardsAJ Johnson makes two point driving finger roll layup70
48.5%
63
51.5%
Q3 - 10:43WizardsKyshawn George defensive rebound68
46.0%
63
54.0%
Q3 - 10:47HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point floating jump shot68
44.8%
63
55.2%
Q3 - 10:58HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound68
42.1%
63
57.9%
Q3 - 11:01WizardsAlex Sarr misses three point jump shot68
42.4%
63
57.6%
Q3 - 11:19HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)68
44.8%
63
55.2%
Q3 - 11:35WizardsColby Jones makes two point driving floating jump shot (Alex Sarr assists)68
50.9%
60
49.1%
Q3 - 11:45WizardsAlex Sarr defensive rebound66
48.0%
60
52.0%
Q3 - 11:47HeatKel'el Ware misses two point cutting layup66
47.0%
60
53.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.66
44.5%
60
55.5%
Q2 - 0:02.6WizardsBub Carrington makes three point stepback jump shot66
43.7%
60
56.3%
Q2 - 0:20.2HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup63
37.7%
60
62.3%
Q2 - 0:36.5WizardsTristan Vukcevic makes regular free throw 2 of 263
40.8%
58
59.2%
Q2 - 0:36.5WizardsTristan Vukcevic misses regular free throw 1 of 262
40.1%
58
59.9%
Q2 - 0:36.5HeatKeshad Johnson shooting foul (Tristan Vukcevic draws the foul)62
42.4%
58
57.6%
Q2 - 0:52.1HeatKeshad Johnson makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)62
40.7%
58
59.3%
Q2 - 0:59.9HeatKyle Anderson defensive rebound62
46.9%
55
53.1%
Q2 - 1:03WizardsColby Jones misses three point stepback jump shot62
47.1%
55
52.9%
Q2 - 1:24HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point running reverse layup62
49.0%
55
51.0%
Q2 - 1:31HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound62
52.3%
53
47.7%
Q2 - 1:31WizardsAJ Johnson misses three point jump shot62
53.2%
53
46.8%
Q2 - 1:33WizardsTristan Vukcevic offensive rebound62
55.1%
53
44.9%
Q2 - 1:37WizardsJustin Champagnie misses three point stepback jump shot62
53.2%
53
46.8%
Q2 - 2:03HeatKeshad Johnson makes three point jump shot (Josh Christopher assists)62
54.0%
53
46.0%
Q2 - 2:19WizardsJustin Champagnie makes two point layup (Tristan Vukcevic assists)62
59.4%
50
40.6%
Q2 - 2:25WizardsBub Carrington defensive rebound60
57.0%
50
43.0%
Q2 - 2:28HeatJosh Christopher misses three point jump shot60
56.0%
50
44.0%
Q2 - 2:43WizardsJustin Champagnie makes two point cutting layup (Colby Jones assists)60
53.7%
50
46.3%
Q2 - 2:50WizardsBub Carrington defensive rebound58
51.2%
50
48.8%
Q2 - 2:53HeatKyle Anderson misses two point driving floating bank jump shot58
50.2%
50
49.8%
Q2 - 3:10WizardsAJ Johnson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)58
46.5%
50
53.5%
Q2 - 3:34HeatKyle Anderson makes two point driving layup (Josh Christopher assists)58
50.1%
50
49.9%
Q2 - 3:48WizardsColby Jones makes two point driving finger roll layup (Tristan Vukcevic assists)58
52.2%
48
47.8%
Q2 - 3:59HeatJosh Christopher makes two point running dunk (Haywood Highsmith assists)56
50.1%
48
49.9%
Q2 - 4:01WizardsJustin Champagnie turnover (bad pass) (Keshad Johnson steals)56
51.0%
46
49.0%
Q2 - 4:15WizardsWizards offensive rebound56
54.2%
46
45.8%
Q2 - 4:15WizardsAJ Johnson misses two point running layup56
52.0%
46
48.0%
Q2 - 4:20WizardsColby Jones defensive rebound56
54.2%
46
45.8%
Q2 - 4:20HeatJustin Champagnie blocks Kyle Anderson's two point running layup56
53.3%
46
46.7%
Q2 - 4:24HeatKyle Anderson defensive rebound56
51.1%
46
48.9%
Q2 - 4:25WizardsAJ Johnson misses two point driving layup56
52.1%
46
47.9%
Q2 - 4:39WizardsColby Jones defensive rebound56
54.3%
46
45.7%
Q2 - 4:42HeatJosh Christopher misses two point driving layup56
53.3%
46
46.7%
Q2 - 4:59WizardsKyshawn George makes three point jump shot (Bub Carrington assists)56
51.1%
46
48.9%
Q2 - 5:11HeatKeshad Johnson makes two point driving layup53
45.3%
46
54.7%
Q2 - 5:30WizardsColby Jones makes regular free throw 2 of 253
47.3%
44
52.7%
Q2 - 5:30WizardsColby Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 252
46.7%
44
53.3%
Q2 - 5:30HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Colby Jones draws the foul)51
46.0%
44
54.0%
Q2 - 5:43HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point cutting layup (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)51
45.3%
44
54.7%
Q2 - 5:52WizardsBub Carrington personal foul (Keshad Johnson draws the foul)51
47.4%
42
52.6%
Q2 - 6:04WizardsJustin Champagnie makes two point driving finger roll layup (Bub Carrington assists)51
46.5%
42
53.5%
Q2 - 6:10WizardsBub Carrington defensive rebound49
44.5%
42
55.5%
Q2 - 6:13HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot49
43.5%
42
56.5%
Q2 - 6:22WizardsAJ Johnson personal foul (Kyle Anderson draws the foul)49
41.3%
42
58.7%
Q2 - 6:32WizardsKyshawn George makes two point running dunk (AJ Johnson assists)49
41.4%
42
58.6%
Q2 - 6:37HeatKeshad Johnson turnover (bad pass) (AJ Johnson steals)47
39.4%
42
60.6%
Q2 - 6:44HeatHeat offensive rebound47
36.3%
42
63.7%
Q2 - 6:45HeatJustin Champagnie blocks Keshad Johnson's two point running layup47
38.5%
42
61.5%
Q2 - 6:49HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound47
36.3%
42
63.7%
Q2 - 6:52WizardsBub Carrington misses two point pullup jump shot47
37.3%
42
62.7%
Q2 - 7:11HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point running layup47
38.7%
42
61.3%
Q2 - 7:16HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound47
40.9%
40
59.1%
Q2 - 7:19WizardsJustin Champagnie misses three point jump shot47
41.7%
40
58.3%
Q2 - 7:37HeatKeshad Johnson makes two point putback layup47
43.7%
40
56.3%
Q2 - 7:38HeatKeshad Johnson offensive rebound47
46.0%
38
54.0%
Q2 - 7:39HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot47
47.9%
38
52.1%
Q2 - 7:47HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound47
46.0%
38
54.0%
Q2 - 7:49WizardsJosh Christopher blocks Colby Jones's two point turnaround jump shot47
46.8%
38
53.2%
Q2 - 7:58HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 247
48.8%
38
51.2%
Q2 - 7:58HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 247
49.3%
37
50.7%
Q2 - 7:58WizardsTristan Vukcevic shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)47
47.3%
37
52.7%
Q2 - 8:11WizardsTristan Vukcevic makes regular free throw 2 of 247
47.9%
37
52.1%
Q2 - 8:11WizardsTristan Vukcevic makes regular free throw 1 of 246
47.4%
37
52.6%
Q2 - 8:11HeatKeshad Johnson shooting foul (Tristan Vukcevic draws the foul)45
46.7%
37
53.3%
Q2 - 8:19HeatKyle Anderson makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot45
45.7%
37
54.3%
Q2 - 8:34WizardsColby Jones makes two point running reverse layup (Alex Sarr assists)45
47.9%
35
52.1%
Q2 - 8:38WizardsAlex Sarr defensive rebound43
45.7%
35
54.3%
Q2 - 8:40HeatJosh Christopher misses two point driving finger roll layup43
44.9%
35
55.1%
Q2 - 8:55WizardsTristan Vukcevic makes regular free throw 1 of 143
42.9%
35
57.1%
Q2 - 8:55HeatKyle Anderson shooting foul (Tristan Vukcevic draws the foul)42
42.4%
35
57.6%
Q2 - 9:12HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Kyle Anderson assists)40
38.1%
35
61.9%
Q2 - 9:24WizardsTristan Vukcevic makes two point floating jump shot (AJ Johnson assists)40
42.8%
32
57.2%
Q2 - 9:37HeatKyle Anderson makes regular free throw 2 of 238
40.5%
32
59.5%
Q2 - 9:37HeatKyle Anderson makes regular free throw 1 of 238
41.0%
31
59.0%
Q2 - 9:37WizardsBub Carrington shooting foul (Kyle Anderson draws the foul)38
41.7%
30
58.3%
Q2 - 9:47WizardsAlex Sarr makes three point jump shot (AJ Johnson assists)38
42.8%
30
57.2%
Q2 - 10:05HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot35
37.7%
30
62.3%
Q2 - 10:18WizardsBub Carrington makes three point jump shot (Alex Sarr assists)35
39.9%
28
60.1%
Q2 - 10:30HeatTerry Rozier turnover (back court violation)32
35.5%
28
64.5%
Q2 - 10:44WizardsColby Jones turnover (bad pass) (Keshad Johnson steals)32
33.2%
28
66.8%
Q2 - 10:50WizardsAlex Sarr offensive rebound32
35.5%
28
64.5%
Q2 - 10:53WizardsColby Jones misses three point jump shot32
33.9%
28
66.1%
Q2 - 11:07WizardsColby Jones defensive rebound32
34.7%
28
65.3%
Q2 - 11:07HeatKyle Anderson misses two point driving floating bank jump shot32
34.1%
28
65.9%
Q2 - 11:24WizardsTristan Vukcevic makes two point running alley-oop dunk (AJ Johnson assists)32
32.5%
28
67.5%
Q2 - 11:26WizardsAlex Sarr defensive rebound30
30.6%
28
69.4%
Q2 - 11:30HeatTerry Rozier misses two point running reverse layup30
30.0%
28
70.0%
Q2 - 11:35WizardsTristan Vukcevic turnover (bad pass) (Josh Christopher steals)30
28.5%
28
71.5%
Q2 - 11:43WizardsTristan Vukcevic defensive rebound30
30.6%
28
69.4%
Q2 - 11:46HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving bank jump shot30
30.0%
28
70.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.30
28.6%
28
71.4%
Q1 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound30
28.0%
28
72.0%
Q1 - 0:01.4HeatKyle Anderson misses two point jump shot30
29.4%
28
70.6%
Q1 - 0:04.8WizardsColby Jones personal foul (Kyle Anderson draws the foul)30
28.0%
28
72.0%
Q1 - 0:20.5HeatKeshad Johnson defensive rebound30
28.1%
28
71.9%
Q1 - 0:22.9WizardsJustin Champagnie misses regular free throw 2 of 230
28.3%
28
71.7%
Q1 - 0:22.9WizardsJustin Champagnie misses regular free throw 1 of 230
29.5%
28
70.5%
Q1 - 0:22.9HeatKeshad Johnson shooting foul (Justin Champagnie draws the foul)30
31.0%
28
69.0%
Q1 - 0:37.9HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup (Kyle Anderson assists)30
30.0%
28
70.0%
Q1 - 0:48.9HeatKeshad Johnson defensive rebound30
32.0%
26
68.0%
Q1 - 0:50.8WizardsBub Carrington misses three point stepback jump shot30
32.6%
26
67.4%
Q1 - 0:58.5WizardsJustin Champagnie defensive rebound30
34.1%
26
65.9%
Q1 - 1:01HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot30
33.2%
26
66.8%
Q1 - 1:17WizardsJustin Champagnie makes three point jump shot (Tristan Vukcevic assists)30
31.8%
26
68.2%
Q1 - 1:35HeatKeshad Johnson makes two point tip layup27
27.9%
26
72.1%
Q1 - 1:36HeatKeshad Johnson offensive rebound27
29.9%
24
70.1%
Q1 - 1:37HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving floating jump shot27
31.2%
24
68.8%
Q1 - 1:40HeatTerry Rozier offensive rebound27
29.9%
24
70.1%
Q1 - 1:43HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot27
31.2%
24
68.8%
Q1 - 1:58WizardsBub Carrington makes three point running pullup jump shot27
29.9%
24
70.1%
Q1 - 2:01WizardsBub Carrington defensive rebound24
26.2%
24
73.8%
Q1 - 2:03HeatJosh Christopher misses three point stepback jump shot24
25.5%
24
74.5%
Q1 - 2:23WizardsJustin Champagnie makes two point floating jump shot24
24.2%
24
75.8%
Q1 - 2:25WizardsJustin Champagnie offensive rebound22
22.9%
24
77.1%
Q1 - 2:26WizardsKyle Anderson blocks Colby Jones's two point driving layup22
21.6%
24
78.4%
Q1 - 2:38WizardsTristan Vukcevic defensive rebound22
22.9%
24
77.1%
Q1 - 2:40HeatKyle Anderson misses two point jump shot22
22.3%
24
77.7%
Q1 - 2:57WizardsTristan Vukcevic personal foul (Loose ball) (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)22
21.1%
24
78.9%
Q1 - 2:57HeatHeat defensive rebound22
21.1%
24
78.9%
Q1 - 2:57WizardsAJ Johnson misses two point driving layup22
21.7%
24
78.3%
Q1 - 3:09WizardsTristan Vukcevic defensive rebound22
22.9%
24
77.1%
Q1 - 3:13HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot22
22.3%
24
77.7%
Q1 - 3:30WizardsTristan Vukcevic makes three point jump shot (Colby Jones assists)22
21.0%
24
79.0%
Q1 - 3:40WizardsTristan Vukcevic defensive rebound19
18.6%
24
81.4%
Q1 - 3:42HeatTerry Rozier misses two point turnaround fadeaway bank jump shot19
18.1%
24
81.9%
Q1 - 3:48HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound19
17.0%
24
83.0%
Q1 - 3:52WizardsTristan Vukcevic misses three point jump shot19
17.5%
24
82.5%
Q1 - 4:04WizardsTristan Vukcevic defensive rebound19
19.3%
24
80.7%
Q1 - 4:04HeatKel'el Ware misses two point turnaround hook shot19
18.8%
24
81.2%
Q1 - 4:17WizardsTristan Vukcevic makes two point jump shot (Bub Carrington assists)19
18.0%
24
82.0%
Q1 - 4:20HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Tristan Vukcevic draws the foul)17
17.1%
24
82.9%
Q1 - 4:27WizardsWizards defensive rebound17
17.1%
24
82.9%
Q1 - 4:28HeatKel'el Ware misses two point driving floating bank jump shot17
16.8%
24
83.2%
Q1 - 4:38HeatTerry Rozier offensive rebound17
16.0%
24
84.0%
Q1 - 4:38HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot17
16.8%
24
83.2%
Q1 - 4:40HeatTerry Rozier offensive rebound17
16.0%
24
84.0%
Q1 - 4:43HeatKel'el Ware misses three point jump shot17
16.9%
24
83.1%
Q1 - 4:50HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound17
16.1%
24
83.9%
Q1 - 4:53WizardsJustin Champagnie misses three point jump shot17
16.5%
24
83.5%
Q1 - 5:04HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)17
17.5%
24
82.5%
Q1 - 5:26WizardsTristan Vukcevic makes two point jump shot (Bub Carrington assists)17
19.5%
21
80.5%
Q1 - 5:36HeatDavion Mitchell turnover (out of bounds bad pass)15
18.7%
21
81.3%
Q1 - 5:48HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound15
17.7%
21
82.3%
Q1 - 5:51WizardsKel'el Ware blocks Bub Carrington's two point driving layup15
18.0%
21
82.0%
Q1 - 6:10HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point reverse dunk (Kel'el Ware assists)15
18.9%
21
81.1%
Q1 - 6:25WizardsJustin Champagnie makes three point jump shot (AJ Johnson assists)15
19.9%
19
80.1%
Q1 - 6:40HeatKel'el Ware makes two point running dunk (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)12
18.2%
19
81.8%
Q1 - 6:44HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound12
19.1%
17
80.9%
Q1 - 6:45WizardsBub Carrington misses two point tip layup12
19.4%
17
80.6%
Q1 - 6:46WizardsBub Carrington offensive rebound12
20.2%
17
79.8%
Q1 - 6:47WizardsKyshawn George misses two point fadeaway jump shot12
19.5%
17
80.5%
Q1 - 7:02HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 112
20.3%
17
79.7%
Q1 - 7:02WizardsAlex Sarr shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)12
20.4%
16
79.6%
Q1 - 7:23WizardsAlex Sarr makes regular free throw 2 of 212
22.3%
14
77.7%
Q1 - 7:23WizardsAlex Sarr makes regular free throw 1 of 211
22.0%
14
78.0%
Q1 - 7:23HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (Alex Sarr draws the foul)10
21.7%
14
78.3%
Q1 - 7:45HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point stepback jump shot10
21.6%
14
78.4%
Q1 - 7:56WizardsAJ Johnson makes two point driving layup10
22.6%
12
77.4%
Q1 - 8:13HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)8
22.0%
12
78.0%
Q1 - 8:24HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound8
23.7%
9
76.3%
Q1 - 8:27WizardsAlex Sarr misses two point jump shot8
24.1%
9
75.9%
Q1 - 8:43HeatKel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop dunk (Davion Mitchell assists)8
24.9%
9
75.1%
Q1 - 8:54HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound8
25.8%
7
74.2%
Q1 - 8:58HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot8
26.5%
7
73.5%
Q1 - 9:13WizardsAlex Sarr makes regular free throw 2 of 28
25.8%
7
74.2%
Q1 - 9:13WizardsAlex Sarr misses regular free throw 1 of 27
25.6%
7
74.4%
Q1 - 9:13HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Alex Sarr draws the foul)7
26.2%
7
73.8%
Q1 - 9:17WizardsAlex Sarr defensive rebound7
26.0%
7
74.0%
Q1 - 9:19HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point floating jump shot7
25.7%
7
74.3%
Q1 - 9:39WizardsJustin Champagnie makes three point jump shot (Kyshawn George assists)7
25.3%
7
74.7%
Q1 - 9:43WizardsAlex Sarr defensive rebound4
24.1%
7
75.9%
Q1 - 9:47HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot4
24.0%
7
76.0%
Q1 - 9:59WizardsAlex Sarr makes two point fadeaway jump shot4
23.8%
7
76.2%
Q1 - 10:10HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (out of bounds bad pass)2
23.6%
7
76.4%
Q1 - 10:17HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound2
23.3%
7
76.7%
Q1 - 10:20WizardsAJ Johnson misses three point pullup jump shot2
23.6%
7
76.4%
Q1 - 10:34HeatKel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop dunk (Davion Mitchell assists)2
24.3%
7
75.7%
Q1 - 10:42HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound2
24.9%
5
75.1%
Q1 - 10:45WizardsBub Carrington misses three point jump shot2
25.1%
5
74.9%
Q1 - 11:03HeatKel'el Ware makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)2
25.9%
5
74.1%
Q1 - 11:19WizardsBub Carrington makes two point cutting layup (Alex Sarr assists)2
26.8%
2
73.2%
Q1 - 11:28HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul (Loose ball) (Justin Champagnie draws the foul)0
26.9%
2
73.1%
Q1 - 11:28WizardsWizards offensive rebound0
26.9%
2
73.1%
Q1 - 11:29WizardsKyshawn George misses three point pullup jump shot0
26.8%
2
73.2%
Q1 - 11:45HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point running layup0
27.4%
2
72.6%
Q1 - 11:50WizardsAJ Johnson turnover (bad pass) (Davion Mitchell steals)0
27.6%
0
72.4%
Q1 - 12:00Alex Sarr vs. Kel'el Ware (Bub Carrington gains possession)0
27.9%
0
72.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.19 59.5%
MIA
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
WAS
19
26
73%
MIA
34
47
72%
Midrange
WAS
11
27
41%
MIA
5
19
26%
3PT | Effective 3PT
WAS
16
24.0
37
43%
65%
MIA
10
15.0
32
31%
47%
Free Throws
WAS
11
17
65%
MIA
10
12
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Vukcevic2893%14.0 / 15
J. Champagnie2779%13.5 / 17
C. Jones2050%10.0 / 20
B. Carrington1542%7.5 / 18
A. Johnson1444%7.0 / 16
A. Sarr1063%5.0 / 8
K. George563%2.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Jaquez4173%20.5 / 28
J. Christopher1750%8.5 / 17
K. Johnson1794%8.5 / 9
K. Ware1354%6.5 / 12
H. Highsmith1260%6.0 / 10
D. Robinson650%3.0 / 6
K. Anderson638%3.0 / 8
D. Mitchell450%2.0 / 4
T. Rozier211%1.0 / 9
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS
92
+8
-10
100
MIA
95
+11
-8
106
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.19 59.5%
MIA
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.8
112.4
WAS 116.7 +2.1
MIA 114.6
Pace
101.8
97.2
WAS 100.8
MIA 105.5 +4.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.0
14.9
WAS 14.3
MIA 13.7 +0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
54.4%
WAS 60.0% +4.9%
MIA 55.1%
TO %
14.6%
12.8%
WAS 10.1%
MIA 7.2% +2.9%
ORB %
22.7%
22.3%
WAS 14.0%
MIA 19.6% +5.6%
FTrt
22.9
23.2
WAS 18.9 +6.7
MIA 12.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.7%
65.3%
WAS 71.7% +14.6%
MIA 57.1%
STL %
7.4%
8.3%
WAS 3.9%
MIA 7.8% +3.9%
BLK %
9.6%
7.6%
WAS 4.5%
MIA 11.3% +6.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.2%
56.0%
WAS 59.5% +3.8%
MIA 55.7%
Rim FG%
63.7%
62.5%
WAS 73.1% +0.8%
MIA 72.3%
Mid FG%
38.0%
44.4%
WAS 40.7% +14.4%
MIA 26.3%
3P %
33.5%
36.7%
WAS 43.2% +11.9%
MIA 31.3%
FT %
77.8%
79.1%
WAS 64.7%
MIA 83.3% +18.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.5%
29.6%
WAS 28.9%
MIA 48.0% +19.1%
Mid Att. %
25.9%
27.5%
WAS 30.0%
MIA 19.4% +10.6%
3P Att. %
43.6%
42.9%
WAS 41.1% +8.5%
MIA 32.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsWASMIA
Possessions102103
Possession Minutes24.323.4
Points119118
Rebounds4346
Assists3328
Steals48
Blocks36
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)8 (0)
Fouls1412
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (2)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (1)37 (1)
Field Goals46-9049-98
At-the-Rim FG19-2634-47
Midrange FG11-275-19
2-Point FG30-5339-66
3-Point FG16-3710-32
Free Throws11-1710-12
Fast Break Pts1125
2nd Chance Pts68
Points in Paint4676
Pts off Turnovers1113
Bench Points4842
Biggest Lead127

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#5 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20
48.0
14
44%
1
8
1
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-11
36%
2-5
40%
#8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20
40.8
15
42%
7
9
1
0
1
3
1
6
0-0
-
3-9
33%
3-9
33%
#9 · PF · 6'6" 206 · 24
39.4
27
79%
4
2
1
2
1
1
2
2
0-2
0%
6-7
86%
5-9
56%
#20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20
15.5
10
63%
8
4
1
0
0
2
1
7
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
#18 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21
15.5
5
63%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
#1 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23
42.1
20
50%
10
4
0
0
2
2
1
9
2-4
50%
9-14
64%
0-4
0%
#00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22
38.7
28
93%
11
5
0
1
4
4
1
10
6-7
86%
5-6
83%
4-6
67%
#36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31
DNP – Coach's Decision
#32 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 34
INACTIVE
#24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Thumb; Surgery
#22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31
DND - Injury/Illness | Right Shoulder; Contusion
#15 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle; Sprain
#4 · SF · 6'6" 216 · 21
INACTIVE
#13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Elbow; Contusion
#0 · SF · 6'8" 195 · 21
DND - Injury/Illness | Right Hamstring; Strain
#14 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Surgery
#16 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 32
DND - Injury/Illness | Right Hamstring; Strain
#21 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 23
DND - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
119
60%
43
33
4
3
10
14
6
37
11-17
65%
30-53
57%
16-37
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.