Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, December 13, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Clippers	38%	113	98	93.3	105	103.5
	12	Nuggets	62%	117	120	112.1	107	108.6

Scoring Opportunities

LAC

-19

DEN

+10

-21

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAC

1.08 53.8%

DEN

1.25 62.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

18 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 28	31.9	13	54%	13	4	1	0	2	0	4	9	1-3	33%	6-12	50%	0-0	-
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 35	31.5	15	50%	5	6	2	0	9	1	0	5	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	2-6	33%
Norman Powell #24 · SF · 6'4" 215 · 32	30.0	16	53%	3	4	0	0	1	3	0	3	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	3-10	30%
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 36	22.2	6	100%	1	0	3	0	1	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Kris Dunn #8 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 31	20.6	7	58%	1	1	4	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-4	25%

Amir Coffey #7 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 27	29.2	8	40%	2	1	2	0	0	3	0	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-6	17%
Kevin Porter Jr. #77 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 25	24.0	16	57%	3	4	2	0	1	4	0	3	2-4	50%	4-8	50%	2-4	50%
Bones Hyland #5 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 24	21.1	13	72%	0	1	1	2	3	2	0	0	2-3	67%	1-2	50%	3-6	50%
Jordan Miller #11 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 25	15.0	0	0%	0	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Mo Bamba #4 · C · 7'0" 231 · 27	9.8	2	33%	2	0	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Kai Jones #23 · C · 6'11" 221 · 24	4.7	2	100%	1	1	2	0	1	1	1	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 19	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Trentyn Flowers #9 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Recovery
Kobe Brown #21 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Injury Management
Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Middle Finger; Fracture
P.J. Tucker #17 · SF · 6'6" 245 · 40	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	54%	31	24	18	2	19	22	5	26	10-18	56%	23-42	55%	14-41	34%

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18 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 28	31.9	13	54%	13	4	1	0	2	0	4	9	1-3	33%	6-12	50%	0-0	-
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 35	31.5	15	50%	5	6	2	0	9	1	0	5	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	2-6	33%
Norman Powell #24 · SF · 6'4" 215 · 32	30.0	16	53%	3	4	0	0	1	3	0	3	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	3-10	30%
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 36	22.2	6	100%	1	0	3	0	1	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Kris Dunn #8 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 31	20.6	7	58%	1	1	4	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-4	25%

Amir Coffey #7 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 27	29.2	8	40%	2	1	2	0	0	3	0	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-6	17%
Kevin Porter Jr. #77 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 25	24.0	16	57%	3	4	2	0	1	4	0	3	2-4	50%	4-8	50%	2-4	50%
Bones Hyland #5 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 24	21.1	13	72%	0	1	1	2	3	2	0	0	2-3	67%	1-2	50%	3-6	50%
Jordan Miller #11 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 25	15.0	0	0%	0	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Mo Bamba #4 · C · 7'0" 231 · 27	9.8	2	33%	2	0	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Kai Jones #23 · C · 6'11" 221 · 24	4.7	2	100%	1	1	2	0	1	1	1	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 19	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Trentyn Flowers #9 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Recovery
Kobe Brown #21 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Injury Management
Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Middle Finger; Fracture
P.J. Tucker #17 · SF · 6'6" 245 · 40	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	54%	31	24	18	2	19	22	5	26	10-18	56%	23-42	55%	14-41	34%

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12 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	31.6	20	59%	5	3	4	1	6	2	0	5	2-2	100%	6-11	55%	2-5	40%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	29.9	16	73%	7	2	2	0	5	2	0	7	2-4	50%	4-7	57%	2-2	100%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	28.7	17	61%	5	4	1	0	1	3	1	4	5-6	83%	3-4	75%	2-7	29%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	23.6	8	50%	3	1	2	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-4	0%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	23.4	14	78%	6	2	0	0	1	2	0	6	5-5	100%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%

Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	26.1	14	88%	5	0	2	0	0	0	2	3	3-4	75%	4-4	100%	1-2	50%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	25.6	12	67%	4	2	0	0	1	1	0	4	6-7	86%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	24.3	5	25%	1	5	3	0	4	2	0	1	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	0-3	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	14.4	4	100%	9	2	1	1	0	1	1	8	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	4.7	5	125%	1	0	0	0	2	1	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	4.2	3	150%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	3.6	2	100%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Rehabilitation
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	63%	46	23	15	2	21	16	5	41	26-32	81%	32-48	67%	10-29	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	LAC	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	LAC	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

LAC

1.08 53.8%

DEN

1.25 62.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

LAC

60%

DEN

83%

Midrange

LAC

47%

DEN

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

LAC

21.0

34%

51%

DEN

15.0

34%

52%

Free Throws

LAC

56%

DEN

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Powell	16	53%	8.0 / 15
K. Porter	16	57%	8.0 / 14
J. Harden	15	50%	7.5 / 15
I. Zubac	13	54%	6.5 / 12
B. Hyland	13	72%	6.5 / 9
A. Coffey	8	40%	4.0 / 10
K. Dunn	7	58%	3.5 / 6
N. Batum	6	100%	3.0 / 3
M. Bamba	2	33%	1.0 / 3
K. Jones	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Miller	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	20	59%	10.0 / 17
M. Porter	17	61%	8.5 / 14
N. Jokić	16	73%	8.0 / 11
A. Gordon	14	78%	7.0 / 9
P. Watson	14	88%	7.0 / 8
J. Strawther	12	67%	6.0 / 9
C. Braun	8	50%	4.0 / 8
R. Westbrook	5	25%	2.5 / 10
H. Tyson	5	125%	2.5 / 2
D. Jordan	4	100%	2.0 / 2
J. Pickett	3	150%	1.5 / 1
Z. Nnaji	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	15 114.3 4 118.9	LAC 93.3 DEN 112.1 +18.8
Pace	24 98.1 8 100.6	LAC 103.5 DEN 108.6 +5.1
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.1 22 14.2	LAC 13.9 DEN 13.3 −0.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 55.4% 2 57.3%	LAC 53.0% DEN 61.0% +8.0%
TO %	22 14.0% 15 13.3%	LAC 17.3% −2.2% DEN 19.5%
ORB %	19 24.4% 7 26.7%	LAC 10.9% DEN 16.1% +5.2%
FTrt	9 25.1 5 25.9	LAC 21.7 DEN 41.6 +19.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	24 60.5% 4 68.3%	LAC 64.9% +10.1% DEN 54.8%
STL %	2 9.5% 19 7.9%	LAC 17.1% +3.1% DEN 14.0%
BLK %	16 9.3% 21 9.0%	LAC 4.2% DEN 4.8% +0.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 57.5% 2 58.8%	LAC 53.8% DEN 62.5% +8.7%
Rim FG%	13 64.2% 7 66.2%	LAC 60.0% DEN 83.3% +23.3%
Mid FG%	10 45.3% 8 45.5%	LAC 47.1% +8.2% DEN 38.9%
3P %	7 37.3% 5 37.6%	LAC 34.1% DEN 34.5% +0.4%
FT %	7 79.7% 23 77.0%	LAC 55.6% DEN 81.3% +25.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 31.6% 1 38.3%	LAC 30.1% DEN 39.0% +8.8%
Mid Att. %	28 29.7% 13 26.1%	LAC 20.5% −2.9% DEN 23.4%
3P Att. %	25 38.7% 30 35.6%	LAC 49.4% +11.7% DEN 37.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Game Totals	LAC	DEN
Possessions	105	107
Possession Minutes	24.3	23.7
Points	98	120
Rebounds	31	46
Assists	24	23
Steals	18	15
Blocks	2	2
Turnovers (Team)	19 (0)	21 (1)
Fouls	22	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (0)	5 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (2)	41 (2)
Field Goals	37-83	42-77
At-the-Rim FG	15-25	25-30
Midrange FG	8-17	7-18
2-Point FG	23-42	32-48
3-Point FG	14-41	10-29
Free Throws	10-18	26-32
Fast Break Pts	25	36
2nd Chance Pts	5	13
Points in Paint	42	58
Pts off Turnovers	31	24
Bench Points	41	45
Biggest Lead	6	25

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg