Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Warriors	52%	114	119	119.0	100	99.9
	9	Lakers	48%	113	109	106.9	102	102.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	34.7	31	74%	5	4	1	0	1	4	2	3	16-16	100%	6-12	50%	1-2	50%
Jonathan Kuminga #1 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	32.9	17	71%	9	6	1	0	2	3	3	6	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	4-6	67%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	32.5	7	50%	7	2	1	0	1	2	1	6	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	32.1	23	68%	1	4	3	1	2	3	0	1	8-8	100%	3-5	60%	3-9	33%
Draymond Green #23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 36	28.4	8	57%	7	9	1	2	4	5	1	6	1-3	33%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%

Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	22.3	17	77%	1	0	1	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	5-10	50%
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 39	20.3	5	36%	5	1	0	0	2	4	0	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	13.6	5	125%	1	1	1	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	12.1	6	50%	2	1	1	1	3	3	1	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Quinten Post #21 · PF · 7'0" 238 · 26	8.6	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 23	2.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jackson Rowe #44 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 29	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alex Toohey #22 · PF · 6'8" 223 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Patellofemoral Pain
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Soleus; Strain
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left ACL; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	65%	40	29	10	4	18	27	9	31	26-29	90%	21-38	55%	17-40	43%

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4 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	34.7	31	74%	5	4	1	0	1	4	2	3	16-16	100%	6-12	50%	1-2	50%
Jonathan Kuminga #1 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	32.9	17	71%	9	6	1	0	2	3	3	6	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	4-6	67%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	32.5	7	50%	7	2	1	0	1	2	1	6	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	32.1	23	68%	1	4	3	1	2	3	0	1	8-8	100%	3-5	60%	3-9	33%
Draymond Green #23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 36	28.4	8	57%	7	9	1	2	4	5	1	6	1-3	33%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%

Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	22.3	17	77%	1	0	1	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	5-10	50%
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 39	20.3	5	36%	5	1	0	0	2	4	0	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	13.6	5	125%	1	1	1	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	12.1	6	50%	2	1	1	1	3	3	1	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Quinten Post #21 · PF · 7'0" 238 · 26	8.6	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 23	2.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jackson Rowe #44 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 29	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alex Toohey #22 · PF · 6'8" 223 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Patellofemoral Pain
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Soleus; Strain
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left ACL; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	65%	40	29	10	4	18	27	9	31	26-29	90%	21-38	55%	17-40	43%

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9 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 27	41.0	43	72%	12	9	2	1	3	1	0	12	7-10	70%	15-17	88%	2-10	20%
Austin Reaves #15 · SF · 6'5" 197 · 27	36.3	26	65%	5	9	2	0	5	5	1	4	7-10	70%	8-11	73%	1-5	20%
Rui Hachimura #28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 28	35.4	9	75%	4	3	0	0	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-6	50%
Deandre Ayton #5 · C · 7'0" 252 · 27	33.9	10	63%	6	0	0	1	4	3	2	4	0-2	0%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Gabe Vincent #7 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 29	28.7	3	38%	0	1	1	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%

Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 32	22.8	9	56%	0	0	1	0	3	4	0	0	3-4	75%	3-3	100%	0-3	0%
Jake LaRavia #12 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 24	15.8	5	50%	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 25	14.1	4	67%	6	1	0	0	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 27	11.9	0	0%	3	0	1	0	2	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Dalton Knecht #4 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bronny James #9 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Christian Koloko #10 · C · 6'11" 225 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nick Smith Jr. #20 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Chris Mañon #30 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Maxi Kleber #14 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Oblique; Strain
Adou Thiero #1 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Recovery
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 41	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Sciatica;
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	59%	39	23	7	2	19	21	7	32	17-28	61%	34-45	76%	8-32	25%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	LAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.31 65.4%

LAL

1.17 58.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

18

26

69%

LAL

18

24

75%

Midrange

GSW

3

12

25%

LAL

16

21

76%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

17

25.5

40

43%

64%

LAL

8

12.0

32

25%

38%

Free Throws

GSW

26

29

90%

LAL

17

28

61%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Butler	31	74%	15.5 / 21
S. Curry	23	68%	11.5 / 17
J. Kuminga	17	71%	8.5 / 12
B. Hield	17	77%	8.5 / 11
D. Green	8	57%	4.0 / 7
B. Podziemski	7	50%	3.5 / 7
G. Payton	6	50%	3.0 / 6
A. Horford	5	36%	2.5 / 7
W. Richard	5	125%	2.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Dončić	43	72%	21.5 / 30
A. Reaves	26	65%	13.0 / 20
D. Ayton	10	63%	5.0 / 8
R. Hachimura	9	75%	4.5 / 6
M. Smart	9	56%	4.5 / 8
J. LaRavia	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. Hayes	4	67%	2.0 / 3
G. Vincent	3	38%	1.5 / 4
J. Vanderbilt	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 114.0 10 117.1	GSW 119.0 +12.1 LAL 106.9
Pace	18 99.9 21 99.2	GSW 99.9 LAL 102.1 +2.2
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.7 6 14.8	GSW 14.4 LAL 14.1 −0.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.0% 2 57.3%	GSW 59.6% LAL 59.7% +0.1%
TO %	28 14.9% 19 13.9%	GSW 17.3% −1.0% LAL 18.3%
ORB %	14 25.8% 22 23.9%	GSW 22.0% +3.6% LAL 18.4%
FTrt	24 23.8 1 32.0	GSW 37.2 +0.8 LAL 36.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 70.6% 19 61.5%	GSW 76.3% +21.5% LAL 54.8%
STL %	3 9.6% 12 8.6%	GSW 10.0% +3.1% LAL 6.9%
BLK %	27 8.0% 23 8.3%	GSW 8.9% +3.6% LAL 5.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.1% 2 59.4%	GSW 65.4% +6.8% LAL 58.6%
Rim FG%	5 66.7% 1 72.0%	GSW 69.2% LAL 75.0% +5.8%
Mid FG%	22 42.1% 4 46.8%	GSW 25.0% LAL 76.2% +51.2%
3P %	20 35.6% 14 35.9%	GSW 42.5% +17.5% LAL 25.0%
FT %	6 80.7% 26 76.3%	GSW 89.7% +29.0% LAL 60.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 29.5% 21 30.7%	GSW 33.3% +2.2% LAL 31.2%
Mid Att. %	3 20.8% 26 30.0%	GSW 15.4% −11.9% LAL 27.3%
3P Att. %	1 49.7% 22 39.4%	GSW 51.3% +9.7% LAL 41.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.16 and 3.16.

Game Totals	GSW	LAL
Possessions	100	102
Possession Minutes	24.0	24.0
Points	119	109
Rebounds	40	39
Assists	29	23
Steals	10	7
Blocks	4	2
Turnovers (Team)	18 (1)	19 (1)
Fouls	27	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (0)	7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (1)	32 (2)
Field Goals	38-78	42-77
At-the-Rim FG	18-26	18-24
Midrange FG	3-12	16-21
2-Point FG	21-38	34-45
3-Point FG	17-40	8-32
Free Throws	26-29	17-28
Fast Break Pts	13	6
2nd Chance Pts	10	9
Points in Paint	36	62
Pts off Turnovers	22	23
Bench Points	33	18
Biggest Lead	17	2

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg