Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, October 22, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	22	Spurs	41%	112	125	125.0	100	98.2
	15	Mavericks	59%	115	92	91.1	101	102.9

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+14

-14

100

DAL

+13

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.26 63.1%

DAL

0.95 47.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

22 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 25	30.9	13	46%	3	4	2	0	0	0	1	2	0-1	0%	5-10	50%	1-4	25%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	30.3	7	50%	2	1	0	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	29.7	40	80%	15	1	1	3	0	4	1	14	9-11	82%	14-19	74%	1-2	50%
Stephon Castle #5 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 21	28.5	22	69%	7	6	2	0	5	2	2	5	5-10	50%	7-9	78%	1-3	33%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	25.4	5	63%	4	2	1	0	0	1	1	3	2-3	67%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%

Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	24.6	11	92%	5	2	1	0	0	2	2	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-1	100%
Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20	22.7	15	50%	4	2	0	0	4	5	1	3	0-2	0%	6-12	50%	1-2	50%
Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 30	15.8	2	33%	4	3	0	2	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	9.3	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #0 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 30	8.1	2	50%	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	4.9	0	0%	1	0	2	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 23	4.1	3	150%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
David Jones Garcia #25 · SF · 6'4" 210 · 24	4.1	5	125%	1	2	0	0	0	2	1	0	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	1.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Heel; Surgery
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Wrist; Sprain
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Eye; Procedure
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	63%	50	24	10	5	14	24	11	39	17-28	61%	42-67	63%	8-20	40%

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22 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 25	30.9	13	46%	3	4	2	0	0	0	1	2	0-1	0%	5-10	50%	1-4	25%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	30.3	7	50%	2	1	0	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	29.7	40	80%	15	1	1	3	0	4	1	14	9-11	82%	14-19	74%	1-2	50%
Stephon Castle #5 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 21	28.5	22	69%	7	6	2	0	5	2	2	5	5-10	50%	7-9	78%	1-3	33%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	25.4	5	63%	4	2	1	0	0	1	1	3	2-3	67%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%

Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	24.6	11	92%	5	2	1	0	0	2	2	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-1	100%
Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20	22.7	15	50%	4	2	0	0	4	5	1	3	0-2	0%	6-12	50%	1-2	50%
Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 30	15.8	2	33%	4	3	0	2	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	9.3	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #0 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 30	8.1	2	50%	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	4.9	0	0%	1	0	2	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 23	4.1	3	150%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
David Jones Garcia #25 · SF · 6'4" 210 · 24	4.1	5	125%	1	2	0	0	0	2	1	0	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	1.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Heel; Surgery
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Wrist; Sprain
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Eye; Procedure
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	63%	50	24	10	5	14	24	11	39	17-28	61%	42-67	63%	8-20	40%

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15 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	32.5	22	46%	13	1	2	1	0	4	4	9	6-6	100%	5-18	28%	2-4	50%
Cooper Flagg #32 · PG · 6'9" 205 · 19	31.5	10	36%	10	0	1	0	3	3	1	9	2-2	100%	4-12	33%	0-1	0%
P.J. Washington #25 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 27	29.4	17	77%	5	1	0	1	2	4	1	4	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	2-3	67%
Klay Thompson #31 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 36	22.3	10	38%	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	1-1	100%	3-8	38%	1-5	20%
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	10.3	4	67%	2	3	0	0	1	5	1	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	25.9	9	113%	0	1	0	1	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-4	75%
Naji Marshall #13 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 28	22.6	3	38%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	3-4	75%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	15.5	8	67%	0	5	0	0	3	0	0	0	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
D'Angelo Russell #5 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	15.1	6	33%	2	3	0	0	1	2	0	2	4-6	67%	1-5	20%	0-1	0%
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	11.6	0	0%	0	2	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 34	7.9	0	0%	0	1	1	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 23	7.3	3	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 30	4.1	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 23	4.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Miles Kelly #14 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	47%	37	20	5	3	16	24	9	28	21-26	81%	22-62	35%	9-21	43%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	DAL
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	DAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.26 63.1%

DAL

0.95 47.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

74%

DAL

26%

Midrange

SAS

48%

DAL

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

12.0

40%

60%

DAL

13.5

43%

64%

Free Throws

SAS

61%

DAL

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Wembanyama	40	80%	20.0 / 25
S. Castle	22	69%	11.0 / 16
D. Harper	15	50%	7.5 / 15
D. Vassell	13	46%	6.5 / 14
K. Johnson	11	92%	5.5 / 6
H. Barnes	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. Champagnie	5	63%	2.5 / 4
D. Jones Garcia	5	125%	2.5 / 2
H. Ingram	3	150%	1.5 / 1
L. Kornet	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. McLaughlin	2	50%	1.0 / 2
C. Bryant	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Davis	22	46%	11.0 / 24
P. Washington	17	77%	8.5 / 11
C. Flagg	10	36%	5.0 / 14
K. Thompson	10	38%	5.0 / 13
M. Christie	9	113%	4.5 / 4
R. Nembhard	8	67%	4.0 / 6
D. Russell	6	33%	3.0 / 9
D. Lively	4	67%	2.0 / 3
N. Marshall	3	38%	1.5 / 4
J. Hardy	3	50%	1.5 / 3
B. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 2
C. Martin	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	3 118.9 27 110.4	SAS 125.0 +33.9 DAL 91.1
Pace	13 100.5 6 102.5	SAS 98.2 DAL 102.9 +4.6
Avg. Poss. Time	18 14.2 24 14.0	SAS 14.7 DAL 14.0 −0.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 55.9% 28 52.7%	SAS 62.1% +19.3% DAL 42.8%
TO %	4 12.5% 13 13.5%	SAS 13.1% −1.4% DAL 14.5%
ORB %	10 26.2% 26 23.2%	SAS 28.2% +9.4% DAL 18.8%
FTrt	12 27.3 6 28.7	SAS 32.2 +0.9 DAL 31.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 64.6% 22 60.4%	SAS 48.0% DAL 64.5% +16.5%
STL %	24 7.5% 27 7.3%	SAS 10.0% +5.0% DAL 5.0%
BLK %	10 10.0% 16 9.0%	SAS 8.1% +3.6% DAL 4.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 58.1% 28 55.2%	SAS 63.1% +15.7% DAL 47.4%
Rim FG%	9 65.8% 22 63.2%	SAS 73.7% +47.6% DAL 26.1%
Mid FG%	5 45.1% 18 43.1%	SAS 48.3% +7.3% DAL 41.0%
3P %	15 35.9% 26 34.4%	SAS 40.0% DAL 42.9% +2.9%
FT %	12 78.7% 28 75.5%	SAS 60.7% DAL 80.8% +20.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 34.4% 12 32.8%	SAS 43.7% +16.0% DAL 27.7%
Mid Att. %	7 23.4% 28 31.7%	SAS 33.3% −13.7% DAL 47.0%
3P Att. %	15 42.2% 26 35.5%	SAS 23.0% DAL 25.3% +2.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	DAL
Possessions	100	101
Possession Minutes	24.4	23.6
Points	125	92
Rebounds	50	37
Assists	24	20
Steals	10	5
Blocks	5	3
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	16 (0)
Fouls	24	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (3)	9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (3)	28 (3)
Field Goals	50-87	31-83
At-the-Rim FG	28-38	6-23
Midrange FG	14-29	16-39
2-Point FG	42-67	22-62
3-Point FG	8-20	9-21
Free Throws	17-28	21-26
Fast Break Pts	31	8
2nd Chance Pts	14	10
Points in Paint	68	26
Pts off Turnovers	19	19
Bench Points	38	29
Biggest Lead	33	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg