Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, October 27, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Nuggets	62%	118	127	123.3	103	102.4
	9	Timberwolves	38%	114	114	112.9	101	101.6

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+16

-12

107

MIN

+11

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.21 60.5%

MIN

1.16 58.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

3 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	37.2	43	65%	6	3	0	0	2	2	0	6	6-7	86%	11-20	55%	5-9	56%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	36.1	25	96%	19	10	2	1	3	4	6	13	7-7	100%	9-10	90%	0-0	-
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	32.8	9	41%	3	3	0	0	2	3	0	3	3-3	100%	3-8	38%	0-2	0%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	27.5	7	39%	3	2	2	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	18.9	5	50%	2	2	0	0	2	5	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%

Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	31.6	20	83%	1	3	0	0	0	2	0	1	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	4-6	67%
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	24.7	12	86%	2	1	1	2	1	0	0	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-2	100%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	13.4	2	25%	5	0	0	0	1	3	2	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	10.3	4	40%	4	0	0	1	1	3	1	3	2-4	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	1.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	0.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	61%	46	24	5	4	12	24	10	36	22-25	88%	33-62	53%	13-26	50%

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3 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	37.2	43	65%	6	3	0	0	2	2	0	6	6-7	86%	11-20	55%	5-9	56%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	36.1	25	96%	19	10	2	1	3	4	6	13	7-7	100%	9-10	90%	0-0	-
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	32.8	9	41%	3	3	0	0	2	3	0	3	3-3	100%	3-8	38%	0-2	0%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	27.5	7	39%	3	2	2	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	18.9	5	50%	2	2	0	0	2	5	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%

Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	31.6	20	83%	1	3	0	0	0	2	0	1	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	4-6	67%
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	24.7	12	86%	2	1	1	2	1	0	0	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-2	100%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	13.4	2	25%	5	0	0	0	1	3	2	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	10.3	4	40%	4	0	0	1	1	3	1	3	2-4	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	1.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	0.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	61%	46	24	5	4	12	24	10	36	22-25	88%	33-62	53%	13-26	50%

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9 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 25	35.4	25	69%	3	1	0	4	2	1	0	3	4-4	100%	9-13	69%	1-3	33%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	34.5	24	67%	7	3	2	1	2	4	1	6	7-8	88%	7-11	64%	1-4	25%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 29	29.9	12	60%	3	4	1	0	1	2	0	3	3-3	100%	0-2	0%	3-8	38%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 33	26.4	8	50%	5	1	1	2	1	4	2	3	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 38	25.6	10	56%	3	4	1	1	0	0	1	2	3-3	100%	2-5	40%	1-3	33%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	27.4	18	64%	7	2	1	1	2	4	2	5	2-4	50%	5-6	83%	2-6	33%
Terrence Shannon Jr. #1 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	25.2	9	50%	3	1	1	0	1	2	1	2	2-3	67%	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Bones Hyland #8 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 25	15.6	4	29%	2	1	0	0	2	2	0	2	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	1-5	20%
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	12.1	4	100%	0	2	1	0	3	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	2.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Johnny Juzang #9 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 25	2.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Joan Beringer #19 · PF · 6'11" 230 · 19	2.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Tightness
Enrique Freeman #25 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Rocco Zikarsky #44 · C · 7'3" 227 · 19	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	58%	33	19	8	9	14	22	7	26	24-29	83%	30-53	57%	10-32	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MIN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.21 60.5%

MIN

1.16 58.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

51%

MIN

72%

Midrange

DEN

56%

MIN

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

19.5

50%

75%

MIN

15.0

31%

47%

Free Throws

DEN

88%

MIN

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	43	65%	21.5 / 33
N. Jokić	25	96%	12.5 / 13
T. Hardaway	20	83%	10.0 / 12
P. Watson	12	86%	6.0 / 7
A. Gordon	9	41%	4.5 / 11
C. Braun	7	39%	3.5 / 9
C. Johnson	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. Valančiūnas	4	40%	2.0 / 5
B. Brown	2	25%	1.0 / 4
Z. Nnaji	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. McDaniels	25	69%	12.5 / 18
J. Randle	24	67%	12.0 / 18
N. Reid	18	64%	9.0 / 14
D. DiVincenzo	12	60%	6.0 / 10
M. Conley	10	56%	5.0 / 9
T. Shannon	9	50%	4.5 / 9
R. Gobert	8	50%	4.0 / 8
B. Hyland	4	29%	2.0 / 7
R. Dillingham	4	100%	2.0 / 2
J. Juzang	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	1 121.3 13 115.7	DEN 123.3 +10.4 MIN 112.9
Pace	19 99.4 9 101.4	DEN 102.4 +0.7 MIN 101.6
Avg. Poss. Time	9 14.7 15 14.4	DEN 14.1 −0.1 MIN 14.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.7% 6 55.9%	DEN 59.7% +6.8% MIN 52.9%
TO %	3 12.1% 18 13.9%	DEN 12.4% −0.9% MIN 13.3%
ORB %	24 23.6% 15 25.7%	DEN 27.8% +11.5% MIN 16.3%
FTrt	4 29.4 7 28.5	DEN 28.4 MIN 34.1 +5.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 66.5% 21 61.2%	DEN 52.2% +4.7% MIN 47.5%
STL %	30 6.8% 13 8.6%	DEN 4.9% MIN 7.9% +3.0%
BLK %	29 7.6% 6 10.4%	DEN 7.5% MIN 14.5% +7.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 60.1% 8 57.6%	DEN 60.5% +2.3% MIN 58.2%
Rim FG%	12 65.1% 10 65.7%	DEN 51.4% MIN 72.4% +21.0%
Mid FG%	2 47.0% 14 43.7%	DEN 55.6% +18.1% MIN 37.5%
3P %	1 39.6% 6 37.0%	DEN 50.0% +18.7% MIN 31.3%
FT %	5 80.8% 29 75.2%	DEN 88.0% +5.2% MIN 82.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 31.1% 9 33.0%	DEN 39.8% +5.7% MIN 34.1%
Mid Att. %	21 28.1% 10 25.0%	DEN 30.7% MIN 28.2% −2.4%
3P Att. %	17 40.8% 16 42.0%	DEN 29.5% MIN 37.6% +8.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Game Totals	DEN	MIN
Possessions	103	101
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.9
Points	127	114
Rebounds	46	33
Assists	24	19
Steals	5	8
Blocks	4	9
Turnovers (Team)	12 (2)	14 (1)
Fouls	24	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (6)	7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (0)	26 (3)
Field Goals	46-88	40-85
At-the-Rim FG	18-35	21-29
Midrange FG	15-27	9-24
2-Point FG	33-62	30-53
3-Point FG	13-26	10-32
Free Throws	22-25	24-29
Fast Break Pts	10	8
2nd Chance Pts	15	12
Points in Paint	56	56
Pts off Turnovers	24	6
Bench Points	38	35
Biggest Lead	15	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg