Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, October 31, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Nuggets	60%	121	107	108.1	99	96.1
	11	Blazers	40%	118	109	110.1	99	102.1

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+15

-16

POR

+21

-12

108

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.09 54.6%

POR

1.02 50.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

4 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	37.0	21	81%	14	9	1	2	3	1	2	12	5-7	71%	5-7	71%	2-3	67%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	34.4	22	65%	6	3	1	0	2	2	0	6	3-3	100%	8-11	73%	1-4	25%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	31.7	14	54%	5	1	1	0	3	3	2	3	4-4	100%	5-9	56%	0-2	0%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	31.1	9	56%	6	1	0	1	0	2	0	6	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	30.1	5	36%	3	1	0	1	4	5	1	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-3	0%

Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	22.6	10	50%	4	1	2	1	2	2	3	1	4-6	67%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	22.5	11	50%	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	2	3-3	100%	1-4	25%	2-6	33%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	19.6	5	42%	3	0	0	1	0	2	0	3	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	10.9	10	56%	3	1	0	1	2	4	2	1	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	55%	46	19	6	7	16	21	10	36	25-31	81%	32-54	59%	6-25	24%

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4 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	37.0	21	81%	14	9	1	2	3	1	2	12	5-7	71%	5-7	71%	2-3	67%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	34.4	22	65%	6	3	1	0	2	2	0	6	3-3	100%	8-11	73%	1-4	25%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	31.7	14	54%	5	1	1	0	3	3	2	3	4-4	100%	5-9	56%	0-2	0%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	31.1	9	56%	6	1	0	1	0	2	0	6	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	30.1	5	36%	3	1	0	1	4	5	1	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-3	0%

Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	22.6	10	50%	4	1	2	1	2	2	3	1	4-6	67%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	22.5	11	50%	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	2	3-3	100%	1-4	25%	2-6	33%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	19.6	5	42%	3	0	0	1	0	2	0	3	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	10.9	10	56%	3	1	0	1	2	4	2	1	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	55%	46	19	6	7	16	21	10	36	25-31	81%	32-54	59%	6-25	24%

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11 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 25	32.5	23	68%	4	4	0	0	4	5	1	3	7-9	78%	5-9	56%	2-4	50%
Jrue Holiday #5 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 35	32.5	11	42%	3	13	2	0	2	2	0	3	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	2-7	29%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25	30.4	14	54%	2	3	2	2	1	5	0	2	2-4	50%	3-7	43%	2-5	40%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	24.4	5	31%	15	1	0	0	0	2	7	8	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	0-3	0%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	24.1	19	63%	4	1	0	1	1	1	2	2	2-3	67%	4-7	57%	3-7	43%

Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 32	31.8	16	57%	5	0	2	1	2	3	0	5	7-7	100%	3-5	60%	1-6	17%
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	29.5	10	56%	6	1	3	0	2	4	3	3	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 28	11.3	4	200%	4	1	0	1	0	2	3	1	0-1	0%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	9.6	5	42%	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 29	7.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 21	6.5	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tear
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	NWT - Not With Team
Caleb Love #2 · SG · 6'3" 212 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Javonte Cooke #18 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	51%	43	26	11	5	12	24	16	27	22-31	71%	27-52	52%	11-39	28%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	POR
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	POR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.09 54.6%

POR

1.02 50.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

60%

POR

59%

Midrange

DEN

58%

POR

31%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

9.0

24%

36%

POR

16.5

28%

42%

Free Throws

DEN

81%

POR

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	22	65%	11.0 / 17
N. Jokić	21	81%	10.5 / 13
A. Gordon	14	54%	7.0 / 13
T. Hardaway	11	50%	5.5 / 11
P. Watson	10	50%	5.0 / 10
J. Valančiūnas	10	56%	5.0 / 9
C. Johnson	9	56%	4.5 / 8
C. Braun	5	36%	2.5 / 7
B. Brown	5	42%	2.5 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Avdija	23	68%	11.5 / 17
S. Sharpe	19	63%	9.5 / 15
J. Grant	16	57%	8.0 / 14
T. Camara	14	54%	7.0 / 13
J. Holiday	11	42%	5.5 / 13
K. Murray	10	56%	5.0 / 9
D. Clingan	5	31%	2.5 / 8
B. Wesley	5	42%	2.5 / 6
R. Williams	4	200%	2.0 / 1
R. Rupert	2	33%	1.0 / 3
D. Reath	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	1 121.3 21 113.1	DEN 108.1 POR 110.1 +2.0
Pace	19 99.4 8 101.6	DEN 96.1 POR 102.1 +6.0
Avg. Poss. Time	9 14.7 16 14.2	DEN 15.0 POR 14.1 −0.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.7% 22 53.3%	DEN 51.9% +4.1% POR 47.8%
TO %	3 12.1% 30 16.1%	DEN 17.0% POR 11.1% −5.9%
ORB %	24 23.6% 2 31.3%	DEN 27.0% POR 30.8% +3.8%
FTrt	4 29.4 9 28.0	DEN 39.2 +5.1 POR 34.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 66.5% 18 61.6%	DEN 50.0% POR 68.4% +18.4%
STL %	30 6.8% 20 8.1%	DEN 6.1% POR 11.1% +5.0%
BLK %	29 7.6% 8 10.1%	DEN 13.5% +4.2% POR 9.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 60.1% 23 55.6%	DEN 54.6% +3.7% POR 50.9%
Rim FG%	12 65.1% 19 63.9%	DEN 60.0% +1.0% POR 59.0%
Mid FG%	2 47.0% 29 37.4%	DEN 58.3% +27.5% POR 30.8%
3P %	1 39.6% 28 34.2%	DEN 24.0% POR 28.2% +4.2%
FT %	5 80.8% 24 76.5%	DEN 80.6% +9.6% POR 71.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 31.1% 5 35.6%	DEN 38.0% POR 42.9% +4.9%
Mid Att. %	21 28.1% 2 17.6%	DEN 30.4% POR 14.3% −16.1%
3P Att. %	17 40.8% 3 46.8%	DEN 31.6% POR 42.9% +11.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Game Totals	DEN	POR
Possessions	99	99
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.3
Points	107	109
Rebounds	46	43
Assists	19	26
Steals	6	11
Blocks	7	5
Turnovers (Team)	16 (3)	12 (1)
Fouls	21	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (5)	16 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (0)	27 (2)
Field Goals	38-79	38-91
At-the-Rim FG	18-30	23-39
Midrange FG	14-24	4-13
2-Point FG	32-54	27-52
3-Point FG	6-25	11-39
Free Throws	25-31	22-31
Fast Break Pts	25	14
2nd Chance Pts	12	9
Points in Paint	44	50
Pts off Turnovers	10	19
Bench Points	36	37
Biggest Lead	12	2

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg