Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Rockets	67%	115	110	111.1	99	93.2
	20	Spurs	33%	109	121	122.2	99	105.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Amen Thompson #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23	38.5	14	50%	7	3	1	1	3	3	3	4	4-4	100%	2-8	25%	2-4	50%
Kevin Durant #7 · SF · 6'11" 240 · 37	36.5	24	57%	1	2	1	0	8	5	0	1	7-7	100%	7-16	44%	1-2	50%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 23	36.0	25	54%	9	8	1	1	3	5	3	6	4-5	80%	9-16	56%	1-6	17%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 22	26.7	5	36%	8	2	0	1	1	1	2	6	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Josh Okogie #20 · PG · 6'4" 213 · 27	24.8	12	75%	3	0	5	0	3	5	2	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-3	67%

Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 21	26.4	16	80%	0	6	1	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	4-7	57%
Tari Eason #17 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	24.9	11	92%	2	2	2	0	4	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-4	75%
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	20.1	3	38%	8	1	1	0	0	2	3	5	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Clint Capela #30 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	6.0	0	0%	3	1	0	1	0	0	3	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 30	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
JD Davison #4 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevon Harris #00 · SG · 6'5" 216 · 28	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Crawford #27 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Repair
Dorian Finney-Smith #2 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	57%	41	25	12	4	23	24	17	24	19-21	90%	26-58	45%	13-27	48%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

2 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Amen Thompson #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23	38.5	14	50%	7	3	1	1	3	3	3	4	4-4	100%	2-8	25%	2-4	50%
Kevin Durant #7 · SF · 6'11" 240 · 37	36.5	24	57%	1	2	1	0	8	5	0	1	7-7	100%	7-16	44%	1-2	50%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 23	36.0	25	54%	9	8	1	1	3	5	3	6	4-5	80%	9-16	56%	1-6	17%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 22	26.7	5	36%	8	2	0	1	1	1	2	6	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Josh Okogie #20 · PG · 6'4" 213 · 27	24.8	12	75%	3	0	5	0	3	5	2	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-3	67%

Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 21	26.4	16	80%	0	6	1	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	4-7	57%
Tari Eason #17 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	24.9	11	92%	2	2	2	0	4	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-4	75%
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	20.1	3	38%	8	1	1	0	0	2	3	5	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Clint Capela #30 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	6.0	0	0%	3	1	0	1	0	0	3	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 30	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
JD Davison #4 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevon Harris #00 · SG · 6'5" 216 · 28	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Crawford #27 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Repair
Dorian Finney-Smith #2 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	57%	41	25	12	4	23	24	17	24	19-21	90%	26-58	45%	13-27	48%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

20 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	38.8	24	100%	5	2	2	0	3	4	1	4	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	6-9	67%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	37.2	22	58%	8	4	1	2	4	5	1	7	6-6	100%	8-14	57%	0-2	0%
Stephon Castle #5 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 21	36.4	14	50%	6	13	2	1	5	3	2	4	4-5	80%	5-8	63%	0-4	0%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 25	33.0	15	58%	3	3	4	0	1	2	2	1	3-4	75%	0-2	0%	4-10	40%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	31.2	22	69%	7	1	4	1	2	0	1	6	4-4	100%	0-1	0%	6-13	46%

Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	27.1	8	44%	6	4	1	0	2	2	5	1	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22
Jordan McLaughlin #0 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 30	9.3	9	75%	1	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-1	100%
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	6.0	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 35
Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
David Jones Garcia #25 · SF · 6'4" 210 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	61%	40	30	15	3	20	19	15	25	23-25	92%	22-42	52%	18-45	40%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.15 57.3%

SAS

1.21 60.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

19

29

66%

SAS

18

30

60%

Midrange

HOU

7

29

24%

SAS

4

12

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

13

19.5

27

48%

72%

SAS

18

27.0

45

40%

60%

Free Throws

HOU

19

21

90%

SAS

23

25

92%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Sengun	25	54%	12.5 / 23
K. Durant	24	57%	12.0 / 21
R. Sheppard	16	80%	8.0 / 10
A. Thompson	14	50%	7.0 / 14
J. Okogie	12	75%	6.0 / 8
T. Eason	11	92%	5.5 / 6
J. Smith	5	36%	2.5 / 7
S. Adams	3	38%	1.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
H. Barnes	24	100%	12.0 / 12
V. Wembanyama	22	58%	11.0 / 19
J. Champagnie	22	69%	11.0 / 16
D. Vassell	15	58%	7.5 / 13
S. Castle	14	50%	7.0 / 14
J. McLaughlin	9	75%	4.5 / 6
K. Johnson	8	44%	4.0 / 9
L. Waters	3	75%	1.5 / 2
J. Sochan	2	20%	1.0 / 5
K. Olynyk	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 117.5 3 118.9	HOU 111.1 SAS 122.2 +11.1
Pace	29 96.9 13 100.5	HOU 93.2 SAS 105.6 +12.5
Avg. Poss. Time	1 15.8 18 14.2	HOU 15.5 SAS 13.6 −1.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 54.2% 7 55.9%	HOU 53.5% SAS 56.3% +2.8%
TO %	25 14.7% 4 12.5%	HOU 20.3% SAS 17.6% −2.7%
ORB %	1 34.8% 10 26.2%	HOU 40.5% +2.0% SAS 38.5%
FTrt	18 26.0 12 27.3	HOU 24.7 SAS 28.7 +4.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	27 59.1% 13 64.6%	HOU 64.1% SAS 75.0% +10.9%
STL %	9 8.7% 24 7.5%	HOU 12.1% SAS 15.2% +3.1%
BLK %	4 10.9% 10 10.0%	HOU 9.5% +4.3% SAS 5.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.81 and 2.81.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	20 56.1% 6 58.1%	HOU 57.3% SAS 60.5% +3.2%
Rim FG%	13 64.8% 9 65.8%	HOU 65.5% +5.5% SAS 60.0%
Mid FG%	9 44.3% 5 45.1%	HOU 24.1% SAS 33.3% +9.2%
3P %	10 36.4% 15 35.9%	HOU 48.1% +8.1% SAS 40.0%
FT %	25 76.3% 12 78.7%	HOU 90.5% SAS 92.0% +1.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 30.7% 7 34.4%	HOU 34.1% SAS 34.5% +0.4%
Mid Att. %	29 34.2% 7 23.4%	HOU 34.1% SAS 13.8% −20.3%
3P Att. %	28 35.0% 15 42.2%	HOU 31.8% SAS 51.7% +20.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	HOU	SAS
Possessions	99	99
Possession Minutes	25.5	22.5
Points	110	121
Rebounds	41	40
Assists	25	30
Steals	12	15
Blocks	4	3
Turnovers (Team)	23 (1)	20 (1)
Fouls	24	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	17 (3)	15 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	24 (4)	25 (3)
Field Goals	39-85	40-87
At-the-Rim FG	19-29	18-30
Midrange FG	7-29	4-12
2-Point FG	26-58	22-42
3-Point FG	13-27	18-45
Free Throws	19-21	23-25
Fast Break Pts	11	11
2nd Chance Pts	21	33
Points in Paint	44	38
Pts off Turnovers	29	33
Bench Points	30	24
Biggest Lead	11	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg