Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, October 22, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Wizards	26%	110	120	112.1	107	112.1
	18	Bucks	74%	118	133	125.5	106	101.4

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+16

-13

110

MIL

-8

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.10 55.0%

MIL

1.25 62.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyshawn George #18 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 22	32.1	21	55%	9	4	1	2	2	4	1	8	4-8	50%	4-9	44%	3-6	50%
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 34	29.1	9	32%	6	3	0	0	0	1	2	4	1-1	100%	4-8	50%	0-6	0%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	29.0	11	61%	5	2	1	0	1	3	0	5	0-0	-	1-5	20%	3-4	75%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 34	28.5	23	77%	6	3	0	0	2	4	1	5	2-3	67%	6-9	67%	3-5	60%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	25.5	10	45%	11	3	0	0	1	1	1	10	0-2	0%	5-10	50%	0-0	-

Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	26.2	16	67%	5	2	1	1	4	1	2	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	4-8	50%
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 21	19.4	14	58%	5	1	0	0	0	1	2	3	1-1	100%	5-7	71%	1-5	20%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	18.0	11	69%	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-7	43%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	14.9	1	50%	3	1	1	0	1	2	1	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	5.8	0	0%	3	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	4.5	2	100%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
AJ Johnson #4 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	1.7	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	1.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	1.7	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 24	1.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Malaki Branham #8 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	55%	56	23	5	4	13	19	13	43	11-19	58%	29-56	52%	17-42	40%

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30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyshawn George #18 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 22	32.1	21	55%	9	4	1	2	2	4	1	8	4-8	50%	4-9	44%	3-6	50%
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 34	29.1	9	32%	6	3	0	0	0	1	2	4	1-1	100%	4-8	50%	0-6	0%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	29.0	11	61%	5	2	1	0	1	3	0	5	0-0	-	1-5	20%	3-4	75%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 34	28.5	23	77%	6	3	0	0	2	4	1	5	2-3	67%	6-9	67%	3-5	60%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	25.5	10	45%	11	3	0	0	1	1	1	10	0-2	0%	5-10	50%	0-0	-

Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	26.2	16	67%	5	2	1	1	4	1	2	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	4-8	50%
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 21	19.4	14	58%	5	1	0	0	0	1	2	3	1-1	100%	5-7	71%	1-5	20%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	18.0	11	69%	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-7	43%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	14.9	1	50%	3	1	1	0	1	2	1	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	5.8	0	0%	3	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	4.5	2	100%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
AJ Johnson #4 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	1.7	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	1.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	1.7	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 24	1.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Malaki Branham #8 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	55%	56	23	5	4	13	19	13	43	11-19	58%	29-56	52%	17-42	40%

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18 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Myles Turner #3 · C · 6'11" 250 · 30	29.1	11	42%	8	5	0	3	1	3	1	7	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	2-8	25%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 26	27.2	11	92%	3	1	0	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 31	26.8	37	69%	14	5	0	0	2	4	2	12	4-7	57%	15-23	65%	1-3	33%
Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SF · 6'5" 204 · 27	24.4	17	71%	4	2	2	0	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	5-11	45%
Kevin Porter Jr. #7 · PG · 6'5" 203 · 25	9.4	10	83%	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-3	67%

Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 23	29.5	9	41%	4	3	2	0	2	3	2	2	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	1-6	17%
Kyle Kuzma #18 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 30	23.3	12	55%	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	4	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	0-2	0%
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 32	21.9	11	110%	1	2	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-4	75%
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	17.3	2	17%	6	1	0	0	0	0	1	5	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-0	-
Amir Coffey #17 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 28	12.5	2	100%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 25	11.9	9	90%	2	5	0	1	1	5	0	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Gary Harris #11 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	1.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 24	1.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 27	1.7	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 33	1.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Mark Sears #19 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Pete Nance #35 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 26	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Alex Antetokounmpo #29 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 24	Inactive - Coaches Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	63%	46	31	8	5	8	22	6	40	15-19	79%	32-54	59%	18-44	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	MIL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.10 55.0%

MIL

1.25 62.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

57%

MIL

74%

Midrange

WAS

46%

MIL

32%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

25.5

40%

61%

MIL

27.0

41%

61%

Free Throws

WAS

58%

MIL

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Middleton	23	77%	11.5 / 15
K. George	21	55%	10.5 / 19
T. Johnson	16	67%	8.0 / 12
C. Whitmore	14	58%	7.0 / 12
B. Carrington	11	61%	5.5 / 9
C. Kispert	11	69%	5.5 / 8
A. Sarr	10	45%	5.0 / 11
C. McCollum	9	32%	4.5 / 14
W. Riley	2	100%	1.0 / 1
A. Gill	2	100%	1.0 / 1
M. Bagley	1	50%	0.5 / 1
J. Champagnie	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	37	69%	18.5 / 27
G. Trent	17	71%	8.5 / 12
K. Kuzma	12	55%	6.0 / 11
M. Turner	11	42%	5.5 / 13
A. Green	11	92%	5.5 / 6
T. Prince	11	110%	5.5 / 5
K. Porter	10	83%	5.0 / 6
R. Rollins	9	41%	4.5 / 11
C. Anthony	9	90%	4.5 / 5
B. Portis	2	17%	1.0 / 6
A. Coffey	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Sims	2	100%	1.0 / 1
T. Antetokounmpo	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 109.7 24 112.3	WAS 112.1 MIL 125.5 +13.3
Pace	5 102.5 24 98.1	WAS 112.1 +10.7 MIL 101.4
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 7 14.8	WAS 12.8 −1.4 MIL 14.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 53.5% 3 56.5%	WAS 55.6% MIL 60.2% +4.6%
TO %	26 14.7% 24 14.7%	WAS 10.9% MIL 7.0% −3.9%
ORB %	21 24.0% 30 21.1%	WAS 24.5% +12.3% MIL 12.2%
FTrt	26 23.5 29 22.3	WAS 19.4 MIL 19.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	24 59.9% 17 63.3%	WAS 50.0% MIL 62.0% +12.0%
STL %	22 7.8% 23 7.5%	WAS 4.7% MIL 7.5% +2.8%
BLK %	9 10.0% 25 8.2%	WAS 7.4% MIL 8.9% +1.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 55.4% 9 57.5%	WAS 55.0% MIL 62.7% +7.7%
Rim FG%	15 64.7% 4 67.1%	WAS 56.7% MIL 74.3% +17.6%
Mid FG%	26 41.3% 20 42.6%	WAS 46.2% +14.6% MIL 31.6%
3P %	16 35.9% 2 38.7%	WAS 40.5% MIL 40.9% +0.4%
FT %	23 76.6% 30 73.0%	WAS 57.9% MIL 78.9% +21.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 30.6% 27 28.2%	WAS 30.6% MIL 35.7% +5.1%
Mid Att. %	25 29.1% 16 26.1%	WAS 26.5% MIL 19.4% −7.1%
3P Att. %	20 40.3% 5 45.7%	WAS 42.9% MIL 44.9% +2.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Game Totals	WAS	MIL
Possessions	107	106
Possession Minutes	22.9	25.1
Points	120	133
Rebounds	56	46
Assists	23	31
Steals	5	8
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	8 (0)
Fouls	19	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (3)	6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	43 (1)	40 (2)
Field Goals	46-98	50-98
At-the-Rim FG	17-30	26-35
Midrange FG	12-26	6-19
2-Point FG	29-56	32-54
3-Point FG	17-42	18-44
Free Throws	11-19	15-19
Fast Break Pts	18	22
2nd Chance Pts	10	8
Points in Paint	44	60
Pts off Turnovers	1	17
Bench Points	46	47
Biggest Lead	0	22

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg