Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, October 25, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Pacers	55%	121	103	101.0	102	102.7
	21	Grizzlies	45%	120	128	126.7	101	100.4

Scoring Opportunities

IND

+13

-13

102

MEM

+18

-4

115

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.01 50.5%

MEM

1.12 56.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

20 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26	31.2	15	63%	1	1	0	1	0	2	0	1	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	4-6	67%
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	27.7	26	81%	3	4	0	0	1	0	0	3	8-9	89%	6-10	60%	2-2	100%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	25.8	13	50%	6	6	0	1	2	3	1	5	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	2-7	29%
Ben Sheppard #26 · PG · 6'6" 190 · 24	24.3	9	56%	5	3	1	0	0	2	0	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
James Wiseman #11 · C · 6'11" 240 · 25	19.9	4	67%	4	0	0	1	3	2	4	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-

RayJ Dennis #10 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	27.9	7	32%	2	6	0	0	2	5	0	2	4-4	100%	0-3	0%	1-6	17%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	26.7	6	23%	7	3	0	1	1	0	1	6	0-0	-	0-5	0%	2-8	25%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	25.6	13	54%	9	2	0	0	3	4	1	8	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	2-6	33%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	12.0	3	38%	5	0	0	1	0	1	3	2	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	9.9	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 28	7.0	5	50%	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	1-4	25%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	2.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Torn
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Stress Reaction
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Sore
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Strain
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	51%	44	25	2	5	13	21	11	33	17-23	74%	22-49	45%	14-40	35%

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20 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26	31.2	15	63%	1	1	0	1	0	2	0	1	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	4-6	67%
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	27.7	26	81%	3	4	0	0	1	0	0	3	8-9	89%	6-10	60%	2-2	100%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	25.8	13	50%	6	6	0	1	2	3	1	5	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	2-7	29%
Ben Sheppard #26 · PG · 6'6" 190 · 24	24.3	9	56%	5	3	1	0	0	2	0	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
James Wiseman #11 · C · 6'11" 240 · 25	19.9	4	67%	4	0	0	1	3	2	4	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-

RayJ Dennis #10 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	27.9	7	32%	2	6	0	0	2	5	0	2	4-4	100%	0-3	0%	1-6	17%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	26.7	6	23%	7	3	0	1	1	0	1	6	0-0	-	0-5	0%	2-8	25%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	25.6	13	54%	9	2	0	0	3	4	1	8	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	2-6	33%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	12.0	3	38%	5	0	0	1	0	1	3	2	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	9.9	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 28	7.0	5	50%	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	1-4	25%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	2.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Torn
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Stress Reaction
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Sore
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Strain
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	51%	44	25	2	5	13	21	11	33	17-23	74%	22-49	45%	14-40	35%

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21 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	27.2	19	53%	3	8	1	0	0	3	0	3	9-9	100%	5-12	42%	0-2	0%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 22	27.2	5	23%	3	0	0	0	1	2	0	3	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-7	0%
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	25.9	8	44%	8	1	0	0	0	3	4	4	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #8 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 26	25.1	17	65%	2	1	0	0	1	3	0	2	4-6	67%	5-8	63%	1-3	33%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SF · 6'5" 204 · 33	23.3	10	38%	4	5	1	0	1	1	0	4	3-4	75%	2-6	33%	1-5	20%

John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	24.6	9	75%	5	2	3	2	0	2	1	4	1-1	100%	4-4	100%	0-2	0%
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	23.6	27	90%	6	4	1	0	0	1	2	4	3-4	75%	3-7	43%	6-6	100%
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	20.8	16	114%	2	6	0	0	0	3	0	2	3-4	75%	2-2	100%	3-4	75%
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	15.5	8	50%	6	3	0	0	0	2	0	6	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 23	1.9	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
PJ Hall #16 · C · 6'8" 245 · 24	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery Recovery
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Impingement
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery Recovery
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	56%	49	31	6	4	4	22	10	39	25-32	78%	29-58	50%	15-39	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	MEM
Clock	Team	Event	IND	MEM

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.01 50.5%

MEM

1.12 56.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

56%

MEM

52%

Midrange

IND

32%

MEM

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

21.0

35%

53%

MEM

22.5

38%

58%

Free Throws

IND

74%

MEM

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Mathurin	26	81%	13.0 / 16
A. Nesmith	15	63%	7.5 / 12
P. Siakam	13	50%	6.5 / 13
O. Toppin	13	54%	6.5 / 12
B. Sheppard	9	56%	4.5 / 8
R. Dennis	7	32%	3.5 / 11
J. Walker	6	23%	3.0 / 13
T. Bradley	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. Wiseman	4	67%	2.0 / 3
I. Jackson	3	38%	1.5 / 4
J. Huff	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Coward	27	90%	13.5 / 15
J. Morant	19	53%	9.5 / 18
J. Jackson	17	65%	8.5 / 13
J. Small	16	114%	8.0 / 7
K. Caldwell-Pope	10	38%	5.0 / 13
J. Konchar	9	75%	4.5 / 6
S. Aldama	9	50%	4.5 / 9
J. Landale	8	44%	4.0 / 9
C. Spencer	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Wells	5	23%	2.5 / 11
O. Prosper	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	28 110.1 23 112.4	IND 101.0 MEM 126.7 +25.8
Pace	10 101.4 7 101.8	IND 102.7 +2.3 MEM 100.4
Avg. Poss. Time	25 13.9 26 13.8	IND 14.0 −0.3 MEM 14.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 53.3% 24 53.3%	IND 48.3% MEM 53.1% +4.8%
TO %	14 13.6% 22 14.3%	IND 11.6% MEM 5.1% −6.5%
ORB %	29 21.7% 19 24.7%	IND 22.0% MEM 23.3% +1.3%
FTrt	20 25.2 21 25.1	IND 25.8 MEM 33.0 +7.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 67.8% 6 67.4%	IND 69.4% MEM 70.5% +1.1%
STL %	28 7.2% 11 8.7%	IND 2.0% MEM 5.9% +3.9%
BLK %	26 8.1% 14 9.1%	IND 8.6% +0.4% MEM 8.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 55.4% 22 55.8%	IND 50.5% MEM 56.1% +5.6%
Rim FG%	25 62.9% 26 62.8%	IND 55.6% +4.1% MEM 51.5%
Mid FG%	19 42.7% 11 44.2%	IND 31.8% MEM 48.0% +16.2%
3P %	18 35.6% 22 35.3%	IND 35.0% MEM 38.5% +3.5%
FT %	17 77.6% 9 79.3%	IND 73.9% MEM 78.1% +4.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	23 30.3% 26 28.6%	IND 30.3% MEM 34.0% +3.7%
Mid Att. %	18 27.5% 19 27.8%	IND 24.7% −1.1% MEM 25.8%
3P Att. %	14 42.2% 10 43.6%	IND 44.9% +4.7% MEM 40.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	MEM
Possessions	102	101
Possession Minutes	23.8	24.2
Points	103	128
Rebounds	44	49
Assists	25	31
Steals	2	6
Blocks	5	4
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	4 (2)
Fouls	21	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (2)	10 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (4)	39 (4)
Field Goals	36-89	44-97
At-the-Rim FG	15-27	17-33
Midrange FG	7-22	12-25
2-Point FG	22-49	29-58
3-Point FG	14-40	15-39
Free Throws	17-23	25-32
Fast Break Pts	17	19
2nd Chance Pts	10	19
Points in Paint	36	56
Pts off Turnovers	5	12
Bench Points	36	69
Biggest Lead	2	30

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg