Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, October 27, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	13	Blazers	44%	115	122	115.1	106	101.1
	18	Lakers	56%	117	108	100.0	108	113.5

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+24

-18

112

LAL

+18

-23

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.09 54.5%

LAL

1.06 52.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

13 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 25	32.4	25	66%	4	4	1	3	3	2	1	3	4-4	100%	3-9	33%	5-8	63%
Jrue Holiday #5 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 35	30.4	24	80%	5	6	1	2	2	3	0	5	0-0	-	6-8	75%	4-7	57%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25	30.3	4	29%	4	3	0	1	2	2	3	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	28.7	16	44%	7	2	4	0	5	2	2	5	4-4	100%	6-10	60%	0-6	0%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	26.3	16	67%	14	2	1	2	2	2	7	7	0-0	-	8-9	89%	0-3	0%

Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 32	28.2	22	73%	3	3	3	1	2	1	1	2	5-5	100%	4-6	67%	3-7	43%
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	24.0	2	20%	5	0	2	0	0	2	3	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	16.3	4	50%	1	3	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Caleb Love #2 · SG · 6'3" 212 · 24	11.2	5	25%	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-5	20%
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 20	8.6	1	13%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 29	1.2	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 21	1.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	1.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tear
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Soreness
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 28	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Javonte Cooke #18 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	55%	49	24	12	9	18	17	19	30	14-15	93%	33-60	55%	14-43	33%

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13 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 25	32.4	25	66%	4	4	1	3	3	2	1	3	4-4	100%	3-9	33%	5-8	63%
Jrue Holiday #5 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 35	30.4	24	80%	5	6	1	2	2	3	0	5	0-0	-	6-8	75%	4-7	57%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25	30.3	4	29%	4	3	0	1	2	2	3	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	28.7	16	44%	7	2	4	0	5	2	2	5	4-4	100%	6-10	60%	0-6	0%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	26.3	16	67%	14	2	1	2	2	2	7	7	0-0	-	8-9	89%	0-3	0%

Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 32	28.2	22	73%	3	3	3	1	2	1	1	2	5-5	100%	4-6	67%	3-7	43%
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	24.0	2	20%	5	0	2	0	0	2	3	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	16.3	4	50%	1	3	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Caleb Love #2 · SG · 6'3" 212 · 24	11.2	5	25%	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-5	20%
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 20	8.6	1	13%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 29	1.2	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 21	1.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	1.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tear
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Soreness
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 28	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Javonte Cooke #18 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	55%	49	24	12	9	18	17	19	30	14-15	93%	33-60	55%	14-43	33%

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18 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Austin Reaves #15 · PG · 6'5" 197 · 27	39.1	41	76%	4	5	3	0	8	2	0	4	12-14	86%	10-14	71%	3-8	38%
Rui Hachimura #28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 28	36.4	16	57%	6	1	0	1	3	2	1	5	2-4	50%	4-7	57%	2-5	40%
Deandre Ayton #5 · C · 7'0" 252 · 27	35.5	16	53%	8	2	2	1	3	4	5	3	0-0	-	8-15	53%	0-0	-
Jake LaRavia #12 · SG · 6'7" 235 · 24	29.1	3	21%	6	5	0	0	1	2	1	5	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 27	28.0	14	64%	8	3	3	0	1	1	4	4	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	0-1	0%

Dalton Knecht #4 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 25	24.7	16	53%	2	1	2	1	2	1	0	2	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	2-8	25%
Nick Smith Jr. #20 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 22	20.1	2	20%	3	3	0	1	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Bronny James #9 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 21	19.7	0	0%	3	3	1	1	3	3	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Chris Mañon #30 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 24	4.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Christian Koloko #10 · C · 6'11" 225 · 25	3.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellar; Tendinopathy
Maxi Kleber #14 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 34	DND - Injury/Illness \| Abdominal Muscle; Strain
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain; Lower Left Leg Contusion
Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quad; Contusion
Adou Thiero #1 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Recovery
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 41	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Sciatica; -
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	53%	42	23	11	5	23	19	12	30	21-26	81%	33-59	56%	7-27	26%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	POR	LAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.09 54.5%

LAL

1.06 52.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

60%

LAL

54%

Midrange

POR

38%

LAL

58%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

21.0

33%

49%

LAL

10.5

26%

39%

Free Throws

POR

93%

LAL

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Avdija	25	66%	12.5 / 19
J. Holiday	24	80%	12.0 / 15
J. Grant	22	73%	11.0 / 15
S. Sharpe	16	44%	8.0 / 18
D. Clingan	16	67%	8.0 / 12
C. Love	5	25%	2.5 / 10
T. Camara	4	29%	2.0 / 7
B. Wesley	4	50%	2.0 / 4
D. Reath	3	150%	1.5 / 1
K. Murray	2	20%	1.0 / 5
Y. Hansen	1	13%	0.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Reaves	41	76%	20.5 / 27
R. Hachimura	16	57%	8.0 / 14
D. Ayton	16	53%	8.0 / 15
D. Knecht	16	53%	8.0 / 15
J. Vanderbilt	14	64%	7.0 / 11
J. LaRavia	3	21%	1.5 / 7
N. Smith	2	20%	1.0 / 5
B. James	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 113.1 10 117.1	POR 115.1 +15.1 LAL 100.0
Pace	8 101.6 21 99.2	POR 101.1 LAL 113.5 +12.4
Avg. Poss. Time	16 14.2 6 14.8	POR 14.2 LAL 12.7 −1.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	22 53.3% 2 57.3%	POR 52.4% +1.8% LAL 50.6%
TO %	30 16.1% 19 13.9%	POR 14.8% −5.6% LAL 20.4%
ORB %	2 31.3% 22 23.9%	POR 38.8% +10.2% LAL 28.6%
FTrt	9 28.0 1 32.0	POR 14.6 LAL 30.2 +15.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	18 61.6% 19 61.5%	POR 51.1% LAL 57.5% +6.4%
STL %	20 8.1% 12 8.6%	POR 11.3% +1.1% LAL 10.2%
BLK %	8 10.1% 23 8.3%	POR 15.3% +7.0% LAL 8.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 55.6% 2 59.4%	POR 54.5% +1.6% LAL 52.9%
Rim FG%	19 63.9% 1 72.0%	POR 59.6% +6.0% LAL 53.6%
Mid FG%	29 37.4% 4 46.8%	POR 38.5% LAL 58.1% +19.6%
3P %	28 34.2% 14 35.9%	POR 32.6% +6.7% LAL 25.9%
FT %	24 76.5% 26 76.3%	POR 93.3% +12.5% LAL 80.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 35.6% 21 30.7%	POR 45.6% +13.1% LAL 32.6%
Mid Att. %	2 17.6% 26 30.0%	POR 12.6% −23.4% LAL 36.0%
3P Att. %	3 46.8% 22 39.4%	POR 41.7% +10.4% LAL 31.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.16 and 3.16.

Game Totals	POR	LAL
Possessions	106	108
Possession Minutes	25.2	22.8
Points	122	108
Rebounds	49	42
Assists	24	23
Steals	12	11
Blocks	9	5
Turnovers (Team)	18 (1)	23 (2)
Fouls	17	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	19 (5)	12 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (0)	30 (2)
Field Goals	47-103	40-86
At-the-Rim FG	28-47	15-28
Midrange FG	5-13	18-31
2-Point FG	33-60	33-59
3-Point FG	14-43	7-27
Free Throws	14-15	21-26
Fast Break Pts	9	19
2nd Chance Pts	35	16
Points in Paint	62	54
Pts off Turnovers	28	30
Bench Points	37	18
Biggest Lead	18	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg