Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, October 29, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Pacers	49%	116	105	99.1	106	107.2
	23	Mavericks	51%	117	107	101.9	105	103.7

Scoring Opportunities

IND

+27

-12

121

DAL

+10

-19

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

0.86 43.0%

DAL

1.11 55.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

18 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	36.9	5	16%	3	1	0	1	1	2	2	1	0-2	0%	1-7	14%	1-9	11%
Pascal Siakam #43 · SF · 6'8" 245 · 32	36.9	27	48%	13	3	2	0	3	4	3	10	7-12	58%	7-18	39%	2-5	40%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	35.7	20	45%	6	5	3	1	1	3	0	6	6-7	86%	1-9	11%	4-10	40%
Ben Sheppard #26 · PG · 6'6" 190 · 24	25.1	4	25%	8	2	0	0	2	3	5	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-4	0%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	11.4	6	60%	2	0	0	0	3	4	1	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-

RayJ Dennis #10 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	30.0	17	61%	5	5	0	0	1	3	3	2	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	4-7	57%
Jay Huff #32 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 28	21.1	5	42%	2	2	0	4	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-5	20%
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	17.6	8	57%	3	0	1	0	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-2	0%
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 28	12.8	6	60%	8	1	0	0	0	3	4	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Mac McClung #3 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 27	12.5	7	58%	2	1	2	1	0	3	0	2	2-3	67%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Stress Reaction
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Sprain
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Torn
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left foot; Bone Bruise
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Strain
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Stress Reaction
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	43%	52	20	8	7	12	29	19	33	18-28	64%	24-61	39%	13-45	29%

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18 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	36.9	5	16%	3	1	0	1	1	2	2	1	0-2	0%	1-7	14%	1-9	11%
Pascal Siakam #43 · SF · 6'8" 245 · 32	36.9	27	48%	13	3	2	0	3	4	3	10	7-12	58%	7-18	39%	2-5	40%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	35.7	20	45%	6	5	3	1	1	3	0	6	6-7	86%	1-9	11%	4-10	40%
Ben Sheppard #26 · PG · 6'6" 190 · 24	25.1	4	25%	8	2	0	0	2	3	5	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-4	0%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	11.4	6	60%	2	0	0	0	3	4	1	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-

RayJ Dennis #10 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	30.0	17	61%	5	5	0	0	1	3	3	2	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	4-7	57%
Jay Huff #32 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 28	21.1	5	42%	2	2	0	4	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-5	20%
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	17.6	8	57%	3	0	1	0	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-2	0%
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 28	12.8	6	60%	8	1	0	0	0	3	4	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Mac McClung #3 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 27	12.5	7	58%	2	1	2	1	0	3	0	2	2-3	67%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Stress Reaction
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Sprain
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Torn
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left foot; Bone Bruise
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Strain
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Stress Reaction
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	43%	52	20	8	7	12	29	19	33	18-28	64%	24-61	39%	13-45	29%

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23 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cooper Flagg #32 · PG · 6'9" 205 · 19	35.0	15	63%	10	4	0	1	2	2	1	9	3-3	100%	6-11	55%	0-0	-
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	33.3	10	63%	2	4	0	1	2	3	0	2	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 27	28.7	9	38%	11	2	0	2	3	5	2	9	5-8	63%	2-6	33%	0-2	0%
Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	21.7	5	25%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-6	17%
Anthony Davis #3 · C · 6'10" 253 · 33	6.6	4	50%	4	0	1	0	2	0	1	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 34	29.3	18	82%	6	0	1	2	1	4	1	5	10-12	83%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Naji Marshall #13 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 28	22.5	3	38%	2	2	0	0	1	3	0	2	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	22.3	20	67%	7	2	0	1	2	3	1	6	2-2	100%	9-12	75%	0-2	0%
D'Angelo Russell #5 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	19.8	14	58%	2	5	1	0	4	1	0	2	3-3	100%	4-6	67%	1-5	20%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 30	13.0	6	75%	1	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 23	7.9	3	50%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Miles Kelly #14 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	56%	47	21	4	7	19	22	7	40	30-37	81%	31-55	56%	5-24	21%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	DAL
Clock	Team	Event	IND	DAL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

IND

0.86 43.0%

DAL

1.11 55.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

47%

DAL

65%

Midrange

IND

32%

DAL

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

19.5

29%

43%

DAL

7.5

21%

31%

Free Throws

IND

64%

DAL

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Siakam	27	48%	13.5 / 28
J. Walker	20	45%	10.0 / 22
R. Dennis	17	61%	8.5 / 14
Q. Jackson	8	57%	4.0 / 7
M. McClung	7	58%	3.5 / 6
I. Jackson	6	60%	3.0 / 5
T. Bradley	6	60%	3.0 / 5
A. Nesmith	5	16%	2.5 / 16
J. Huff	5	42%	2.5 / 6
B. Sheppard	4	25%	2.0 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Williams	20	67%	10.0 / 15
D. Powell	18	82%	9.0 / 11
C. Flagg	15	63%	7.5 / 12
D. Russell	14	58%	7.0 / 12
M. Christie	10	63%	5.0 / 8
P. Washington	9	38%	4.5 / 12
C. Martin	6	75%	3.0 / 4
K. Thompson	5	25%	2.5 / 10
A. Davis	4	50%	2.0 / 4
N. Marshall	3	38%	1.5 / 4
J. Hardy	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	28 110.1 27 110.4	IND 99.1 DAL 101.9 +2.8
Pace	10 101.4 6 102.5	IND 107.2 +3.5 DAL 103.7
Avg. Poss. Time	25 13.9 24 14.0	IND 13.4 −0.5 DAL 13.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 53.3% 28 52.7%	IND 41.0% DAL 48.7% +7.7%
TO %	14 13.6% 13 13.5%	IND 10.6% −6.0% DAL 16.6%
ORB %	29 21.7% 26 23.2%	IND 32.2% +14.7% DAL 17.5%
FTrt	20 25.2 6 28.7	IND 26.4 DAL 46.8 +20.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 67.8% 22 60.4%	IND 54.1% DAL 58.3% +4.2%
STL %	28 7.2% 27 7.3%	IND 7.5% +3.7% DAL 3.8%
BLK %	26 8.1% 16 9.0%	IND 12.7% +1.2% DAL 11.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 55.4% 28 55.2%	IND 43.0% DAL 55.7% +12.7%
Rim FG%	25 62.9% 22 63.2%	IND 46.7% DAL 64.7% +18.0%
Mid FG%	19 42.7% 18 43.1%	IND 32.3% DAL 42.9% +10.6%
3P %	18 35.6% 26 34.4%	IND 28.9% +8.1% DAL 20.8%
FT %	17 77.6% 28 75.5%	IND 64.3% DAL 81.1% +16.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	23 30.3% 12 32.8%	IND 28.3% DAL 43.0% +14.7%
Mid Att. %	18 27.5% 28 31.7%	IND 29.2% DAL 26.6% −2.7%
3P Att. %	14 42.2% 26 35.5%	IND 42.5% +12.1% DAL 30.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	DAL
Possessions	106	105
Possession Minutes	23.7	24.3
Points	105	107
Rebounds	52	47
Assists	20	21
Steals	8	4
Blocks	7	7
Turnovers (Team)	12 (2)	19 (0)
Fouls	29	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	19 (8)	7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (2)	40 (7)
Field Goals	37-106	36-79
At-the-Rim FG	14-30	22-34
Midrange FG	10-31	9-21
2-Point FG	24-61	31-55
3-Point FG	13-45	5-24
Free Throws	18-28	30-37
Fast Break Pts	23	15
2nd Chance Pts	20	8
Points in Paint	42	56
Pts off Turnovers	19	15
Bench Points	43	64
Biggest Lead	14	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg