Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, October 29, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Pelicans	17%	113	88	88.9	99	97.5
	2	Nuggets	83%	125	122	123.2	99	100.6

Scoring Opportunities

NOP

+15

-13

101

DEN

+15

-14

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

0.87 43.6%

DEN

1.23 61.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

27 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 25	31.7	7	35%	7	0	1	0	1	1	1	6	4-4	100%	0-3	0%	1-5	20%
Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 19	30.4	21	66%	1	6	2	0	1	3	1	0	0-2	0%	9-12	75%	1-3	33%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 25	26.2	11	55%	0	2	1	1	3	2	0	0	3-4	75%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Herbert Jones #2 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 27	20.6	5	36%	1	1	0	0	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
DeAndre Jordan #9 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	12.3	2	100%	5	0	0	0	1	0	3	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-

Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 21	23.9	10	63%	4	0	0	2	0	1	1	3	0-5	0%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 26	21.9	9	35%	1	2	0	0	1	2	1	0	4-4	100%	1-4	25%	1-7	14%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	19.1	7	35%	3	2	2	0	0	0	1	2	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	2-6	33%
Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 21	14.4	4	33%	8	0	1	0	3	2	3	5	0-2	0%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 28	13.9	3	30%	2	1	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	7.8	2	17%	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-4	0%
Micah Peavy #14 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 24	7.8	3	38%	1	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	6.1	2	100%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 25	3.7	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Hunter Dickinson #4 · C · 7'1" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Rupture
Kevon Looney #55 · C · 6'9" 222 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	88	44%	36	17	9	3	13	15	13	23	17-29	59%	25-51	49%	7-34	21%

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27 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 25	31.7	7	35%	7	0	1	0	1	1	1	6	4-4	100%	0-3	0%	1-5	20%
Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 19	30.4	21	66%	1	6	2	0	1	3	1	0	0-2	0%	9-12	75%	1-3	33%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 25	26.2	11	55%	0	2	1	1	3	2	0	0	3-4	75%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Herbert Jones #2 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 27	20.6	5	36%	1	1	0	0	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
DeAndre Jordan #9 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	12.3	2	100%	5	0	0	0	1	0	3	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-

Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 21	23.9	10	63%	4	0	0	2	0	1	1	3	0-5	0%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 26	21.9	9	35%	1	2	0	0	1	2	1	0	4-4	100%	1-4	25%	1-7	14%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	19.1	7	35%	3	2	2	0	0	0	1	2	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	2-6	33%
Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 21	14.4	4	33%	8	0	1	0	3	2	3	5	0-2	0%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 28	13.9	3	30%	2	1	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	7.8	2	17%	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-4	0%
Micah Peavy #14 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 24	7.8	3	38%	1	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	6.1	2	100%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 25	3.7	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Hunter Dickinson #4 · C · 7'1" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Rupture
Kevon Looney #55 · C · 6'9" 222 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	88	44%	36	17	9	3	13	15	13	23	17-29	59%	25-51	49%	7-34	21%

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2 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	27.6	21	70%	12	10	2	0	2	4	2	10	0-0	-	9-13	69%	1-2	50%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	27.3	7	70%	1	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	27.1	17	65%	6	4	0	1	1	1	4	2	0-0	-	7-10	70%	1-3	33%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	25.3	17	53%	2	6	1	0	1	0	1	1	4-4	100%	2-6	33%	3-8	38%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	22.5	9	64%	9	3	0	0	2	2	0	9	4-4	100%	1-1	100%	1-4	25%

Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	22.7	5	125%	5	5	1	3	0	0	0	5	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	18.6	5	83%	4	2	2	0	1	2	2	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	14.4	11	92%	1	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	14.3	10	71%	6	3	0	0	2	1	1	5	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	12.0	8	67%	2	3	0	0	1	1	1	1	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	1-4	25%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	10.7	6	38%	2	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	6.1	4	67%	1	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	5.7	2	33%	1	0	0	0	2	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	5.7	0	0%	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	62%	56	40	6	4	14	23	13	43	12-14	86%	34-48	71%	14-42	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

0.87 43.6%

DEN

1.23 61.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NOP

65%

DEN

82%

Midrange

NOP

32%

DEN

55%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NOP

10.5

21%

31%

DEN

21.0

33%

50%

Free Throws

NOP

59%

DEN

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Fears	21	66%	10.5 / 16
Z. Williamson	11	55%	5.5 / 10
Y. Missi	10	63%	5.0 / 8
J. Poole	9	35%	4.5 / 13
T. Murphy	7	35%	3.5 / 10
S. Bey	7	35%	3.5 / 10
H. Jones	5	36%	2.5 / 7
D. Queen	4	33%	2.0 / 6
J. Alvarado	3	30%	1.5 / 5
M. Peavy	3	38%	1.5 / 4
D. Jordan	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Hawkins	2	17%	1.0 / 6
B. McGowens	2	100%	1.0 / 1
K. Matković	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	21	70%	10.5 / 15
C. Braun	17	65%	8.5 / 13
J. Murray	17	53%	8.5 / 16
T. Hardaway	11	92%	5.5 / 6
J. Valančiūnas	10	71%	5.0 / 7
A. Gordon	9	64%	4.5 / 7
J. Pickett	8	67%	4.0 / 6
C. Johnson	7	70%	3.5 / 5
J. Strawther	6	38%	3.0 / 8
P. Watson	5	125%	2.5 / 2
B. Brown	5	83%	2.5 / 3
Z. Nnaji	4	67%	2.0 / 3
S. Jones	2	33%	1.0 / 3
H. Tyson	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 113.3 1 121.3	NOP 88.9 DEN 123.2 +34.3
Pace	11 101.3 19 99.4	NOP 97.5 DEN 100.6 +3.1
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.1 9 14.7	NOP 14.8 DEN 14.3 −0.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 52.7% 1 57.7%	NOP 41.8% DEN 61.1% +19.3%
TO %	11 13.2% 3 12.1%	NOP 12.5% −0.2% DEN 12.7%
ORB %	8 27.0% 24 23.6%	NOP 23.2% DEN 36.1% +12.9%
FTrt	8 28.4 4 29.4	NOP 34.1 +18.5 DEN 15.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 59.6% 9 66.5%	NOP 53.1% DEN 83.3% +30.2%
STL %	10 8.7% 30 6.8%	NOP 9.1% +3.0% DEN 6.1%
BLK %	7 10.1% 29 7.6%	NOP 6.3% DEN 7.8% +1.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 55.4% 1 60.1%	NOP 43.6% DEN 61.6% +18.0%
Rim FG%	29 61.5% 12 65.1%	NOP 65.4% DEN 82.1% +16.7%
Mid FG%	30 36.6% 2 47.0%	NOP 32.0% DEN 55.0% +23.0%
3P %	24 34.7% 1 39.6%	NOP 20.6% DEN 33.3% +12.7%
FT %	14 78.4% 5 80.8%	NOP 58.6% DEN 85.7% +27.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 42.8% 19 31.1%	NOP 30.6% DEN 31.1% +0.5%
Mid Att. %	5 21.7% 21 28.1%	NOP 29.4% DEN 22.2% −7.2%
3P Att. %	27 35.5% 17 40.8%	NOP 40.0% DEN 46.7% +6.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.79 and 2.79.

Game Totals	NOP	DEN
Possessions	99	99
Possession Minutes	24.4	23.6
Points	88	122
Rebounds	36	56
Assists	17	40
Steals	9	6
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	14 (0)
Fouls	15	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (2)	13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	23 (5)	43 (2)
Field Goals	32-85	48-90
At-the-Rim FG	17-26	23-28
Midrange FG	8-25	11-20
2-Point FG	25-51	34-48
3-Point FG	7-34	14-42
Free Throws	17-29	12-14
Fast Break Pts	11	21
2nd Chance Pts	12	11
Points in Paint	44	62
Pts off Turnovers	19	12
Bench Points	42	51
Biggest Lead	0	41

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg