Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, October 29, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	9	Blazers	62%	119	136	124.8	109	109.7
	25	Jazz	38%	115	134	121.8	110	109.3

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+20

-16

113

UTA

+21

-21

110

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.20 60.2%

UTA

1.23 61.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

9 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jrue Holiday #5 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 35	35.5	27	75%	5	8	2	0	4	4	3	2	4-4	100%	7-8	88%	3-8	38%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 25	34.0	19	56%	9	5	1	1	6	3	2	7	7-10	70%	6-7	86%	0-5	0%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25	31.4	17	57%	4	5	2	0	2	4	3	1	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	3-8	38%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	27.7	5	36%	7	4	1	3	0	4	4	3	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	24.3	18	60%	4	0	0	0	1	4	0	4	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	4-8	50%

Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 32	24.8	18	60%	3	1	2	0	1	5	2	1	7-7	100%	1-5	20%	3-7	43%
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	19.9	10	71%	2	3	2	1	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 21	13.7	3	75%	3	1	2	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 29	12.2	9	64%	1	2	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-6	50%
Caleb Love #2 · SG · 6'3" 212 · 24	8.1	5	63%	1	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	4.7	3	150%	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 20	3.8	2	100%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tear
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	NWT - Not With Team
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 28	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Javonte Cooke #18 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	136	60%	39	34	14	5	16	33	14	25	23-27	85%	25-41	61%	21-55	38%

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9 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jrue Holiday #5 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 35	35.5	27	75%	5	8	2	0	4	4	3	2	4-4	100%	7-8	88%	3-8	38%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 25	34.0	19	56%	9	5	1	1	6	3	2	7	7-10	70%	6-7	86%	0-5	0%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25	31.4	17	57%	4	5	2	0	2	4	3	1	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	3-8	38%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	27.7	5	36%	7	4	1	3	0	4	4	3	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	24.3	18	60%	4	0	0	0	1	4	0	4	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	4-8	50%

Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 32	24.8	18	60%	3	1	2	0	1	5	2	1	7-7	100%	1-5	20%	3-7	43%
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	19.9	10	71%	2	3	2	1	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 21	13.7	3	75%	3	1	2	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 29	12.2	9	64%	1	2	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-6	50%
Caleb Love #2 · SG · 6'3" 212 · 24	8.1	5	63%	1	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	4.7	3	150%	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 20	3.8	2	100%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tear
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	NWT - Not With Team
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 28	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Javonte Cooke #18 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	136	60%	39	34	14	5	16	33	14	25	23-27	85%	25-41	61%	21-55	38%

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25 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Lauri Markkanen #23 · SF · 7'1" 240 · 28	37.9	32	67%	5	2	3	3	1	2	1	4	10-12	83%	8-12	67%	2-7	29%
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	32.0	29	69%	2	8	1	0	6	3	1	1	15-15	100%	4-9	44%	2-5	40%
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 24	31.8	18	69%	12	4	1	1	3	4	7	5	1-3	33%	4-8	50%	3-4	75%
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 28	23.0	7	70%	2	1	1	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 22	15.6	8	80%	4	3	1	0	0	2	1	3	3-5	60%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%

Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	16.3	13	54%	4	4	1	0	5	3	1	3	4-4	100%	3-7	43%	1-3	33%
Walter Clayton Jr. #13 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	16.0	4	40%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Ace Bailey #19 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 19	15.4	8	67%	3	2	0	1	1	2	1	2	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	14.7	5	42%	4	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 22	13.6	5	63%	5	1	0	1	0	1	0	5	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Cody Williams #5 · SG · 6'8" 190 · 21	11.9	4	100%	1	2	0	0	2	5	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	11.9	1	25%	3	1	2	0	0	1	1	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Kyle Anderson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
John Tonje #17 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Georges Niang #31 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fourth Metatarsal Stress Reaction
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	134	62%	46	30	10	7	21	24	16	30	41-49	84%	30-49	61%	11-35	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	POR	UTA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.20 60.2%

UTA

1.23 61.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

72%

UTA

67%

Midrange

POR

44%

UTA

57%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

31.5

38%

57%

UTA

16.5

31%

47%

Free Throws

POR

85%

UTA

84%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Holiday	27	75%	13.5 / 18
D. Avdija	19	56%	9.5 / 17
S. Sharpe	18	60%	9.0 / 15
J. Grant	18	60%	9.0 / 15
T. Camara	17	57%	8.5 / 15
B. Wesley	10	71%	5.0 / 7
D. Reath	9	64%	4.5 / 7
D. Clingan	5	36%	2.5 / 7
C. Love	5	63%	2.5 / 4
R. Rupert	3	75%	1.5 / 2
M. Thybulle	3	150%	1.5 / 1
Y. Hansen	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Markkanen	32	67%	16.0 / 24
K. George	29	69%	14.5 / 21
W. Kessler	18	69%	9.0 / 13
J. Nurkić	13	54%	6.5 / 12
K. Filipowski	8	80%	4.0 / 5
A. Bailey	8	67%	4.0 / 6
S. Mykhailiuk	7	70%	3.5 / 5
T. Hendricks	5	42%	2.5 / 6
B. Sensabaugh	5	63%	2.5 / 4
W. Clayton	4	40%	2.0 / 5
C. Williams	4	100%	2.0 / 2
E. Harkless	1	25%	0.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 113.1 22 112.9	POR 124.8 +3.0 UTA 121.8
Pace	8 101.6 2 103.4	POR 109.7 +0.4 UTA 109.3
Avg. Poss. Time	16 14.2 27 13.8	POR 13.1 −0.0 UTA 13.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	22 53.3% 20 53.6%	POR 58.9% +3.5% UTA 55.4%
TO %	30 16.1% 23 14.4%	POR 14.3% −2.9% UTA 17.2%
ORB %	2 31.3% 12 26.2%	POR 31.8% UTA 39.0% +7.2%
FTrt	9 28.0 10 27.7	POR 28.1 UTA 58.3 +30.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	18 61.6% 2 69.6%	POR 73.9% +0.7% UTA 73.2%
STL %	20 8.1% 14 8.5%	POR 12.8% +3.7% UTA 9.1%
BLK %	8 10.1% 30 7.5%	POR 10.2% UTA 17.1% +6.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 55.6% 18 56.4%	POR 60.2% UTA 61.5% +1.3%
Rim FG%	19 63.9% 17 64.5%	POR 72.0% +5.3% UTA 66.7%
Mid FG%	29 37.4% 8 44.4%	POR 43.8% UTA 57.1% +13.3%
3P %	28 34.2% 25 34.5%	POR 38.2% +6.8% UTA 31.4%
FT %	24 76.5% 13 78.6%	POR 85.2% +1.5% UTA 83.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 35.6% 17 31.3%	POR 26.0% +1.0% UTA 25.0%
Mid Att. %	2 17.6% 23 28.4%	POR 16.7% −16.7% UTA 33.3%
3P Att. %	3 46.8% 21 40.3%	POR 57.3% +15.6% UTA 41.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.26 and 2.26.

Game Totals	POR	UTA
Possessions	109	110
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	136	134
Rebounds	39	46
Assists	34	30
Steals	14	10
Blocks	5	7
Turnovers (Team)	16 (2)	21 (1)
Fouls	33	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (6)	16 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (4)	30 (1)
Field Goals	46-96	41-84
At-the-Rim FG	18-25	14-21
Midrange FG	7-16	16-28
2-Point FG	25-41	30-49
3-Point FG	21-55	11-35
Free Throws	23-27	41-49
Fast Break Pts	25	15
2nd Chance Pts	17	24
Points in Paint	48	50
Pts off Turnovers	27	29
Bench Points	50	40
Biggest Lead	22	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg