Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, November 1, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Rockets	53%	111	128	132.0	97	94.4
	6	Celtics	47%	110	101	103.1	98	100.8

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+15

-18

BOS

+21

-10

109

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.36 68.1%

BOS

0.94 46.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

5 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Amen Thompson #1 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 23	32.2	17	61%	9	8	0	0	3	0	3	6	4-6	67%	5-11	45%	1-1	100%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 23	30.6	16	50%	10	9	1	2	4	3	1	9	5-7	71%	4-10	40%	1-3	33%
Kevin Durant #7 · SF · 6'11" 240 · 37	29.6	26	93%	4	1	2	1	2	2	0	4	8-9	89%	6-8	75%	2-3	67%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 22	26.4	12	60%	6	0	1	4	1	0	0	6	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	1-3	33%
Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	21.0	12	86%	0	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	3-4	75%	0-0	-	3-5	60%

Tari Eason #17 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	20.1	12	86%	6	0	0	1	3	2	1	5	0-0	-	0-1	0%	4-6	67%
Clint Capela #30 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	18.1	4	40%	10	1	1	1	1	2	4	6	2-4	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 21	16.8	12	100%	0	3	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	4-5	80%
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	14.4	4	67%	5	3	0	0	1	1	3	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 30	8.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 29	7.5	2	50%	2	2	0	0	2	0	0	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
JD Davison #4 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	7.5	5	83%	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39	7.5	6	150%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Isaiah Crawford #27 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kevon Harris #00 · SG · 6'5" 216 · 28	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Repair
Dorian Finney-Smith #2 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Ankle Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	68%	53	30	6	11	18	14	12	41	25-35	71%	23-48	48%	19-29	66%

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5 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Amen Thompson #1 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 23	32.2	17	61%	9	8	0	0	3	0	3	6	4-6	67%	5-11	45%	1-1	100%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 23	30.6	16	50%	10	9	1	2	4	3	1	9	5-7	71%	4-10	40%	1-3	33%
Kevin Durant #7 · SF · 6'11" 240 · 37	29.6	26	93%	4	1	2	1	2	2	0	4	8-9	89%	6-8	75%	2-3	67%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 22	26.4	12	60%	6	0	1	4	1	0	0	6	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	1-3	33%
Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	21.0	12	86%	0	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	3-4	75%	0-0	-	3-5	60%

Tari Eason #17 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	20.1	12	86%	6	0	0	1	3	2	1	5	0-0	-	0-1	0%	4-6	67%
Clint Capela #30 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	18.1	4	40%	10	1	1	1	1	2	4	6	2-4	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 21	16.8	12	100%	0	3	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	4-5	80%
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	14.4	4	67%	5	3	0	0	1	1	3	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 30	8.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 29	7.5	2	50%	2	2	0	0	2	0	0	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
JD Davison #4 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	7.5	5	83%	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39	7.5	6	150%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Isaiah Crawford #27 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kevon Harris #00 · SG · 6'5" 216 · 28	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Repair
Dorian Finney-Smith #2 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Ankle Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	68%	53	30	6	11	18	14	12	41	25-35	71%	23-48	48%	19-29	66%

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6 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 28	26.3	14	64%	1	4	1	0	1	1	1	0	3-3	100%	4-6	67%	1-4	25%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 29	21.7	12	43%	2	5	1	0	5	3	0	2	0-0	-	6-12	50%	0-2	0%
Josh Minott #8 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 23	19.3	10	42%	6	3	2	0	1	0	3	3	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	2-6	33%
Derrick White #9 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 31	19.1	5	23%	2	2	1	1	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-6	17%	1-5	20%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 26	15.4	9	75%	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	3	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	0-1	0%

Baylor Scheierman #55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25	22.5	17	121%	5	1	2	0	0	1	1	4	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	4-5	80%
Jordan Walsh #27 · PF · 6'6" 205 · 22	18.7	10	50%	4	1	0	0	0	3	3	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-5	40%
Hugo González #28 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 20	16.9	7	44%	1	1	0	0	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 28	16.9	6	75%	2	2	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Anfernee Simons #4 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	16.8	3	25%	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-3	33%
Luka Garza #52 · C · 6'10" 243 · 27	15.5	0	0%	4	0	0	1	0	4	2	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Chris Boucher #99 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 33	12.8	4	33%	0	0	1	0	0	4	0	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Ron Harper Jr. #13 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 26	9.8	2	20%	3	3	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-4	0%
Amari Williams #77 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 24	6.2	2	50%	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Xavier Tillman #26 · C · 6'8" 245 · 27	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Max Shulga #44 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	47%	36	24	9	2	10	25	14	22	7-7	100%	26-59	44%	14-44	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	BOS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.36 68.1%

BOS

0.94 46.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

70%

BOS

55%

Midrange

HOU

32%

BOS

31%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

28.5

66%

98%

BOS

21.0

32%

48%

Free Throws

HOU

71%

BOS

100%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Durant	26	93%	13.0 / 14
A. Thompson	17	61%	8.5 / 14
A. Sengun	16	50%	8.0 / 16
J. Smith	12	60%	6.0 / 10
J. Okogie	12	86%	6.0 / 7
T. Eason	12	86%	6.0 / 7
R. Sheppard	12	100%	6.0 / 6
J. Green	6	150%	3.0 / 2
J. Davison	5	83%	2.5 / 3
C. Capela	4	40%	2.0 / 5
S. Adams	4	67%	2.0 / 3
A. Holiday	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Tate	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Scheierman	17	121%	8.5 / 7
P. Pritchard	14	64%	7.0 / 11
J. Brown	12	43%	6.0 / 14
J. Minott	10	42%	5.0 / 12
J. Walsh	10	50%	5.0 / 10
N. Queta	9	75%	4.5 / 6
H. González	7	44%	3.5 / 8
S. Hauser	6	75%	3.0 / 4
D. White	5	23%	2.5 / 11
C. Boucher	4	33%	2.0 / 6
A. Simons	3	25%	1.5 / 6
R. Harper	2	20%	1.0 / 5
A. Williams	2	50%	1.0 / 2
L. Garza	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 117.5 2 120.0	HOU 132.0 +28.9 BOS 103.1
Pace	29 96.9 30 95.5	HOU 94.4 BOS 100.8 +6.4
Avg. Poss. Time	1 15.8 2 15.7	HOU 15.3 BOS 14.3 −1.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 54.2% 11 55.3%	HOU 66.9% +21.3% BOS 45.6%
TO %	25 14.7% 2 12.0%	HOU 17.8% BOS 8.6% −9.2%
ORB %	1 34.8% 6 29.2%	HOU 35.3% +9.8% BOS 25.5%
FTrt	18 26.0 30 20.7	HOU 45.5 +38.7 BOS 6.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	27 59.1% 30 58.5%	HOU 71.4% +11.4% BOS 60.0%
STL %	9 8.7% 25 7.4%	HOU 6.2% BOS 9.2% +3.0%
BLK %	4 10.9% 5 10.4%	HOU 18.6% +14.4% BOS 4.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.81 and 2.81.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	20 56.1% 13 56.9%	HOU 68.1% +21.3% BOS 46.8%
Rim FG%	13 64.8% 2 68.9%	HOU 70.0% +15.5% BOS 54.5%
Mid FG%	9 44.3% 12 44.2%	HOU 32.1% +1.3% BOS 30.8%
3P %	10 36.4% 8 36.7%	HOU 65.5% +33.7% BOS 31.8%
FT %	25 76.3% 7 80.7%	HOU 71.4% BOS 100.0% +28.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 30.7% 30 24.4%	HOU 26.0% BOS 32.0% +6.1%
Mid Att. %	29 34.2% 24 28.9%	HOU 36.4% BOS 25.2% −11.1%
3P Att. %	28 35.0% 4 46.7%	HOU 37.7% BOS 42.7% +5.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.03 and 2.03.

Game Totals	HOU	BOS
Possessions	97	98
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.3
Points	128	101
Rebounds	53	36
Assists	30	24
Steals	6	9
Blocks	11	2
Turnovers (Team)	18 (2)	10 (0)
Fouls	14	25
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (3)	14 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	41 (2)	22 (2)
Field Goals	42-77	40-103
At-the-Rim FG	14-20	18-33
Midrange FG	9-28	8-26
2-Point FG	23-48	26-59
3-Point FG	19-29	14-44
Free Throws	25-35	7-7
Fast Break Pts	16	13
2nd Chance Pts	15	21
Points in Paint	34	44
Pts off Turnovers	9	23
Bench Points	45	51
Biggest Lead	36	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg