Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Heat	25%	109	120	115.4	104	110.2
	5	Clippers	75%	118	119	116.7	102	96.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 27	34.4	8	44%	5	9	3	0	0	2	2	3	0-1	0%	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	31.8	17	71%	2	2	1	1	2	3	1	1	0-0	-	4-7	57%	3-5	60%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 28	30.2	25	63%	10	4	2	0	2	1	0	10	3-5	60%	8-14	57%	2-4	50%
Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 32	28.4	21	81%	2	2	1	0	5	2	0	2	7-7	100%	4-7	57%	2-3	67%
Pelle Larsson #9 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	23.8	7	58%	1	3	3	0	1	1	0	1	2-4	50%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%

Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 25	25.8	6	33%	6	5	1	0	0	1	1	5	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Kel'el Ware #7 · C · 7'0" 250 · 22	17.8	16	89%	5	0	0	2	1	1	1	4	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	2-2	100%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	17.6	7	50%	4	4	0	0	1	2	1	3	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Simone Fontecchio #0 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 30	16.7	11	92%	1	0	1	0	3	1	0	1	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Dru Smith #12 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 28	13.7	2	50%	1	4	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Keshad Johnson #16 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jahmir Young #17 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Myron Gardner #15 · SF · 6'5" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vladislav Goldin #50 · C · 7'0" 255 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kasparas Jakučionis #25 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 32	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	63%	37	33	12	3	16	15	6	31	18-24	75%	33-58	57%	12-25	48%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

16 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 27	34.4	8	44%	5	9	3	0	0	2	2	3	0-1	0%	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	31.8	17	71%	2	2	1	1	2	3	1	1	0-0	-	4-7	57%	3-5	60%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 28	30.2	25	63%	10	4	2	0	2	1	0	10	3-5	60%	8-14	57%	2-4	50%
Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 32	28.4	21	81%	2	2	1	0	5	2	0	2	7-7	100%	4-7	57%	2-3	67%
Pelle Larsson #9 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	23.8	7	58%	1	3	3	0	1	1	0	1	2-4	50%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%

Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 25	25.8	6	33%	6	5	1	0	0	1	1	5	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Kel'el Ware #7 · C · 7'0" 250 · 22	17.8	16	89%	5	0	0	2	1	1	1	4	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	2-2	100%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	17.6	7	50%	4	4	0	0	1	2	1	3	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Simone Fontecchio #0 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 30	16.7	11	92%	1	0	1	0	3	1	0	1	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Dru Smith #12 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 28	13.7	2	50%	1	4	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Keshad Johnson #16 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jahmir Young #17 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Myron Gardner #15 · SF · 6'5" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vladislav Goldin #50 · C · 7'0" 255 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kasparas Jakučionis #25 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 32	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	63%	37	33	12	3	16	15	6	31	18-24	75%	33-58	57%	12-25	48%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

5 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 36	38.8	29	81%	7	8	1	0	7	4	0	7	7-7	100%	2-5	40%	6-10	60%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 34	37.1	27	59%	4	4	4	2	2	1	2	2	5-5	100%	8-13	62%	2-8	25%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	33.4	9	45%	18	3	1	1	3	5	5	13	1-2	50%	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 29	27.2	12	100%	3	0	1	1	1	2	0	3	1-2	50%	4-4	100%	1-2	50%
Bradley Beal #0 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 32	20.1	12	67%	1	2	1	0	3	3	1	0	0-2	0%	3-4	75%	2-4	50%

John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 28	25.1	12	55%	3	0	0	0	1	3	0	3	0-1	0%	3-6	50%	2-5	40%
Kris Dunn #8 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 32	23.0	10	83%	3	4	3	0	1	3	2	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-2	100%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 38	14.6	5	36%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-6	17%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	13.8	3	30%	4	4	1	0	2	2	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 37	6.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bogdan Bogdanović #10 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser #14 · C · 6'11" 242 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kobe Brown #24 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jahmyl Telfort #19 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kobe Sanders #4 · SG · 6'8" 207 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Jordan Miller #22 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	61%	44	25	13	4	20	24	11	33	14-19	74%	27-47	57%	17-41	41%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	LAC
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	LAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.25 62.5%

LAC

1.23 61.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

24

29

83%

LAC

17

25

68%

Midrange

MIA

9

29

31%

LAC

10

22

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

12

18.0

25

48%

72%

LAC

17

25.5

41

41%

62%

Free Throws

MIA

18

24

75%

LAC

14

19

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo	25	63%	12.5 / 20
N. Powell	21	81%	10.5 / 13
A. Wiggins	17	71%	8.5 / 12
K. Ware	16	89%	8.0 / 9
S. Fontecchio	11	92%	5.5 / 6
D. Mitchell	8	44%	4.0 / 9
P. Larsson	7	58%	3.5 / 6
N. Jović	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. Jaquez	6	33%	3.0 / 9
D. Smith	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Harden	29	81%	14.5 / 18
K. Leonard	27	59%	13.5 / 23
D. Jones	12	100%	6.0 / 6
B. Beal	12	67%	6.0 / 9
J. Collins	12	55%	6.0 / 11
K. Dunn	10	83%	5.0 / 6
I. Zubac	9	45%	4.5 / 10
B. Lopez	5	36%	2.5 / 7
C. Paul	3	30%	1.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 115.8 11 116.4	MIA 115.4 LAC 116.7 +1.3
Pace	1 104.3 28 97.3	MIA 110.2 +13.6 LAC 96.6
Avg. Poss. Time	30 13.1 5 15.0	MIA 13.1 −1.8 LAC 14.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	18 54.2% 8 55.9%	MIA 61.4% +1.7% LAC 59.7%
TO %	5 12.6% 17 13.9%	MIA 14.6% −3.3% LAC 17.9%
ORB %	17 25.4% 23 23.7%	MIA 15.4% LAC 26.2% +10.8%
FTrt	14 26.8 3 29.5	MIA 28.9 +7.3 LAC 21.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	10 66.3% 29 58.6%	MIA 73.3% +16.5% LAC 56.8%
STL %	17 8.3% 5 9.2%	MIA 11.5% LAC 12.7% +1.2%
BLK %	28 7.9% 13 9.5%	MIA 6.4% LAC 6.9% +0.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 56.8% 3 58.7%	MIA 62.5% +1.2% LAC 61.3%
Rim FG%	20 63.6% 3 67.1%	MIA 82.8% +14.8% LAC 68.0%
Mid FG%	21 42.4% 10 44.2%	MIA 31.0% LAC 45.5% +14.5%
3P %	11 36.1% 7 36.8%	MIA 48.0% +6.5% LAC 41.5%
FT %	11 79.2% 1 82.3%	MIA 75.0% +1.3% LAC 73.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 32.9% 15 31.6%	MIA 34.9% +6.5% LAC 28.4%
Mid Att. %	17 26.5% 20 27.9%	MIA 34.9% LAC 25.0% −9.9%
3P Att. %	18 40.6% 19 40.4%	MIA 30.1% LAC 46.6% +16.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	LAC
Possessions	104	102
Possession Minutes	22.6	25.4
Points	120	119
Rebounds	37	44
Assists	33	25
Steals	12	13
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	20 (1)
Fouls	15	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (2)	11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (1)	33 (1)
Field Goals	45-83	44-88
At-the-Rim FG	24-29	17-25
Midrange FG	9-29	10-22
2-Point FG	33-58	27-47
3-Point FG	12-25	17-41
Free Throws	18-24	14-19
Fast Break Pts	11	14
2nd Chance Pts	7	18
Points in Paint	58	48
Pts off Turnovers	37	25
Bench Points	42	30
Biggest Lead	13	11

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg