Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, November 4, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Thunder	67%	111	126	127.3	99	108.6
	8	Clippers	33%	105	107	109.2	98	90.0

Scoring Opportunities

OKC

+10

-10

LAC

+14

-19

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.27 63.6%

LAC

1.15 57.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 24	30.1	11	55%	5	3	1	3	3	4	0	5	3-4	75%	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	29.1	30	88%	4	12	0	3	2	2	0	4	8-9	89%	5-9	56%	4-5	80%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	24.9	12	67%	3	1	1	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	23.5	10	71%	7	3	4	0	1	2	2	5	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 27	14.8	6	60%	3	0	0	0	0	4	0	3	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%

Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	25.9	12	60%	2	2	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-1	0%	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 32	23.7	8	67%	1	3	2	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	21.4	22	85%	3	0	0	0	1	2	1	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	6-10	60%
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	13.6	3	50%	5	0	0	0	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 22	5.8	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	3.8	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Chris Youngblood #3 · SG · 6'4" 221 · 24	3.8	2	33%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Brooks Barnhizer #23 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Surgical Recovery
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgical Recovery
Jalen Williams #8 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Surgical Recovery
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgical Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	64%	40	28	12	6	10	23	8	32	18-22	82%	27-48	56%	18-38	47%

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1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 24	30.1	11	55%	5	3	1	3	3	4	0	5	3-4	75%	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	29.1	30	88%	4	12	0	3	2	2	0	4	8-9	89%	5-9	56%	4-5	80%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	24.9	12	67%	3	1	1	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	23.5	10	71%	7	3	4	0	1	2	2	5	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 27	14.8	6	60%	3	0	0	0	0	4	0	3	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%

Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	25.9	12	60%	2	2	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-1	0%	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 32	23.7	8	67%	1	3	2	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	21.4	22	85%	3	0	0	0	1	2	1	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	6-10	60%
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	13.6	3	50%	5	0	0	0	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 22	5.8	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	3.8	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Chris Youngblood #3 · SG · 6'4" 221 · 24	3.8	2	33%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Brooks Barnhizer #23 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Surgical Recovery
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgical Recovery
Jalen Williams #8 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Surgical Recovery
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgical Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	64%	40	28	12	6	10	23	8	32	18-22	82%	27-48	56%	18-38	47%

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8 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kris Dunn #8 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 32	30.1	6	60%	5	3	2	1	3	2	0	5	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 36	30.1	25	66%	6	6	1	0	2	2	0	6	6-6	100%	2-8	25%	5-9	56%
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 29	28.4	16	62%	4	2	1	1	1	2	2	2	3-3	100%	2-5	40%	3-7	43%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	25.6	7	39%	7	2	2	0	2	2	4	3	1-2	50%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Nicolas Batum #33 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 37	17.8	3	30%	1	3	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-5	20%

Bogdan Bogdanović #10 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 33	29.6	11	55%	6	4	2	0	1	1	0	6	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	2-6	33%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 28	24.9	17	77%	4	1	1	0	5	3	1	3	6-6	100%	4-6	67%	1-2	50%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 38	15.8	12	86%	2	0	0	0	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	4-4	100%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	11.3	0	0%	1	3	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	6.6	5	63%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser #14 · C · 6'11" 242 · 23	6.6	5	63%	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Kobe Brown #24 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 26	6.6	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Jahmyl Telfort #19 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 25	6.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jordan Miller #22 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Bradley Beal #0 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Kobe Sanders #4 · SG · 6'8" 207 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	57%	42	26	9	2	19	20	10	32	23-27	85%	15-37	41%	18-43	42%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	LAC
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	LAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.27 63.6%

LAC

1.15 57.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

OKC

83%

LAC

55%

Midrange

OKC

29%

LAC

24%

3PT | Effective 3PT

OKC

27.0

47%

71%

LAC

27.0

42%

63%

Free Throws

OKC

82%

LAC

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	30	88%	15.0 / 17
I. Joe	22	85%	11.0 / 13
C. Wallace	12	67%	6.0 / 9
A. Wiggins	12	60%	6.0 / 10
C. Holmgren	11	55%	5.5 / 10
I. Hartenstein	10	71%	5.0 / 7
A. Caruso	8	67%	4.0 / 6
A. Mitchell	8	40%	4.0 / 10
L. Dort	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Williams	3	50%	1.5 / 3
B. Carlson	2	50%	1.0 / 2
C. Youngblood	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Harden	25	66%	12.5 / 19
J. Collins	17	77%	8.5 / 11
D. Jones	16	62%	8.0 / 13
B. Lopez	12	86%	6.0 / 7
B. Bogdanović	11	55%	5.5 / 10
I. Zubac	7	39%	3.5 / 9
K. Dunn	6	60%	3.0 / 5
C. Christie	5	63%	2.5 / 4
Y. Niederhäuser	5	63%	2.5 / 4
N. Batum	3	30%	1.5 / 5
C. Paul	0	-	0.0 / 1
K. Brown	0	-	0.0 / 3
J. Telfort	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 117.6 11 116.4	OKC 127.3 +18.1 LAC 109.2
Pace	15 100.3 28 97.3	OKC 108.6 +18.6 LAC 90.0
Avg. Poss. Time	20 14.1 5 15.0	OKC 13.3 −2.7 LAC 16.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	4 56.1% 8 55.9%	OKC 62.8% +10.3% LAC 52.5%
TO %	1 11.8% 17 13.9%	OKC 10.3% −6.8% LAC 17.1%
ORB %	28 22.3% 23 23.7%	OKC 20.0% LAC 23.8% +3.8%
FTrt	17 26.1 3 29.5	OKC 25.6 LAC 33.8 +8.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	25 59.8% 29 58.6%	OKC 62.2% LAC 78.8% +16.6%
STL %	4 9.6% 5 9.2%	OKC 12.1% +2.9% LAC 9.2%
BLK %	2 11.0% 13 9.5%	OKC 16.2% +12.0% LAC 4.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	4 58.5% 3 58.7%	OKC 63.6% +6.1% LAC 57.5%
Rim FG%	11 65.2% 3 67.1%	OKC 83.3% +28.3% LAC 55.0%
Mid FG%	1 47.6% 10 44.2%	OKC 29.2% +5.7% LAC 23.5%
3P %	9 36.5% 7 36.8%	OKC 47.4% +5.5% LAC 41.9%
FT %	3 81.7% 1 82.3%	OKC 81.8% LAC 85.2% +3.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	16 31.3% 15 31.6%	OKC 27.9% +2.9% LAC 25.0%
Mid Att. %	15 26.1% 20 27.9%	OKC 27.9% LAC 21.3% −6.7%
3P Att. %	13 42.6% 19 40.4%	OKC 44.2% LAC 53.8% +9.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	OKC	LAC
Possessions	99	98
Possession Minutes	21.9	26.1
Points	126	107
Rebounds	40	42
Assists	28	26
Steals	12	9
Blocks	6	2
Turnovers (Team)	10 (1)	19 (0)
Fouls	23	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (2)	10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (1)	32 (2)
Field Goals	45-86	33-80
At-the-Rim FG	20-24	11-20
Midrange FG	7-24	4-17
2-Point FG	27-48	15-37
3-Point FG	18-38	18-43
Free Throws	18-22	23-27
Fast Break Pts	28	6
2nd Chance Pts	12	17
Points in Paint	50	30
Pts off Turnovers	34	12
Bench Points	57	50
Biggest Lead	25	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg