Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, November 5, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Wizards	13%	109	107	107.0	100	95.7
	6	Celtics	87%	123	136	138.8	98	102.6

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+15

-19

BOS

+13

-5

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.14 56.9%

BOS

1.28 64.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	29.0	31	70%	8	2	0	3	2	0	3	5	3-4	75%	8-15	53%	4-5	80%
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	28.5	9	41%	2	3	0	0	3	5	0	2	3-5	60%	3-6	50%	0-3	0%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	19.1	12	120%	6	0	1	0	1	2	3	3	2-3	67%	2-2	100%	2-2	100%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	17.6	3	15%	1	4	0	0	0	3	0	1	1-1	100%	1-6	17%	0-4	0%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · PF · 6'7" 195 · 21	16.5	1	8%	2	3	0	0	2	2	1	1	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-3	0%

Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	30.6	3	75%	5	6	0	0	3	1	0	5	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	24.2	7	58%	1	1	0	0	3	3	0	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Malaki Branham #8 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	16.7	10	71%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4-4	100%	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	12.7	8	80%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	12.7	11	92%	5	2	0	1	2	2	2	3	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	12.0	4	67%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 21	8.0	2	33%	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	6.3	5	83%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
AJ Johnson #4 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	6.3	1	50%	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	57%	40	25	2	5	19	18	11	29	20-27	74%	30-53	57%	9-27	33%

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30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	29.0	31	70%	8	2	0	3	2	0	3	5	3-4	75%	8-15	53%	4-5	80%
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	28.5	9	41%	2	3	0	0	3	5	0	2	3-5	60%	3-6	50%	0-3	0%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	19.1	12	120%	6	0	1	0	1	2	3	3	2-3	67%	2-2	100%	2-2	100%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	17.6	3	15%	1	4	0	0	0	3	0	1	1-1	100%	1-6	17%	0-4	0%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · PF · 6'7" 195 · 21	16.5	1	8%	2	3	0	0	2	2	1	1	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-3	0%

Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	30.6	3	75%	5	6	0	0	3	1	0	5	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	24.2	7	58%	1	1	0	0	3	3	0	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Malaki Branham #8 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	16.7	10	71%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4-4	100%	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	12.7	8	80%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	12.7	11	92%	5	2	0	1	2	2	2	3	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	12.0	4	67%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 21	8.0	2	33%	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	6.3	5	83%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
AJ Johnson #4 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	6.3	1	50%	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	57%	40	25	2	5	19	18	11	29	20-27	74%	30-53	57%	9-27	33%

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6 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Josh Minott #8 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 23	33.7	21	81%	5	0	3	0	1	3	1	4	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	3-6	50%
Derrick White #9 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 31	28.8	12	67%	3	8	3	2	0	0	0	3	2-4	50%	2-3	67%	2-5	40%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 29	25.9	35	70%	5	5	1	0	1	2	1	4	7-9	78%	11-17	65%	2-4	50%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 26	24.2	15	94%	12	5	1	1	0	4	4	8	1-2	50%	7-7	100%	0-0	-
Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 28	23.9	18	69%	2	5	0	0	2	2	1	1	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	2-6	33%

Anfernee Simons #4 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	29.8	18	56%	0	2	1	0	1	4	0	0	0-0	-	3-6	50%	4-10	40%
Jordan Walsh #27 · PF · 6'6" 205 · 22	23.9	7	88%	7	1	2	0	0	4	2	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 28	22.3	3	19%	2	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-6	17%
Hugo González #28 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 20	16.6	5	63%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Luka Garza #52 · C · 6'10" 243 · 27	7.1	2	33%	2	1	1	0	0	2	2	0	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Baylor Scheierman #55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25	3.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Chris Boucher #99 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Xavier Tillman #26 · C · 6'8" 245 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Amari Williams #77 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ron Harper Jr. #13 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Max Shulga #44 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	136	64%	40	31	12	3	5	24	12	28	16-21	76%	36-54	67%	16-41	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	BOS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.14 56.9%

BOS

1.28 64.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

80%

BOS

89%

Midrange

WAS

47%

BOS

54%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

13.5

33%

50%

BOS

24.0

39%

59%

Free Throws

WAS

74%

BOS

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Sarr	31	70%	15.5 / 22
J. Champagnie	12	120%	6.0 / 5
M. Bagley	11	92%	5.5 / 6
M. Branham	10	71%	5.0 / 7
K. George	9	41%	4.5 / 11
C. Kispert	8	80%	4.0 / 5
T. Johnson	7	58%	3.5 / 6
T. Vukcevic	5	83%	2.5 / 3
W. Riley	4	67%	2.0 / 3
C. McCollum	3	15%	1.5 / 10
B. Carrington	3	75%	1.5 / 2
C. Whitmore	2	33%	1.0 / 3
B. Coulibaly	1	8%	0.5 / 6
A. Johnson	1	50%	0.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Brown	35	70%	17.5 / 25
J. Minott	21	81%	10.5 / 13
P. Pritchard	18	69%	9.0 / 13
A. Simons	18	56%	9.0 / 16
N. Queta	15	94%	7.5 / 8
D. White	12	67%	6.0 / 9
J. Walsh	7	88%	3.5 / 4
H. González	5	63%	2.5 / 4
S. Hauser	3	19%	1.5 / 8
L. Garza	2	33%	1.0 / 3
B. Scheierman	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 109.7 2 120.0	WAS 107.0 BOS 138.8 +31.8
Pace	5 102.5 30 95.5	WAS 95.7 BOS 102.6 +6.8
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 2 15.7	WAS 15.0 BOS 14.0 −1.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 53.5% 11 55.3%	WAS 54.4% BOS 63.2% +8.8%
TO %	26 14.7% 2 12.0%	WAS 17.1% BOS 6.3% −10.8%
ORB %	21 24.0% 6 29.2%	WAS 28.2% BOS 29.3% +1.1%
FTrt	26 23.5 30 20.7	WAS 33.8 +11.7 BOS 22.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	24 59.9% 30 58.5%	WAS 64.1% +4.5% BOS 59.6%
STL %	22 7.8% 25 7.4%	WAS 2.0% BOS 12.2% +10.2%
BLK %	9 10.0% 5 10.4%	WAS 9.3% +3.6% BOS 5.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.21 and 2.21.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 55.4% 13 56.9%	WAS 56.9% BOS 64.2% +7.3%
Rim FG%	15 64.7% 2 68.9%	WAS 80.0% BOS 89.5% +9.5%
Mid FG%	26 41.3% 12 44.2%	WAS 47.4% BOS 54.3% +6.9%
3P %	16 35.9% 8 36.7%	WAS 33.3% BOS 39.0% +5.7%
FT %	23 76.6% 7 80.7%	WAS 74.1% BOS 76.2% +2.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 30.6% 30 24.4%	WAS 18.8% BOS 20.0% +1.3%
Mid Att. %	25 29.1% 24 28.9%	WAS 47.5% BOS 36.8% −10.7%
3P Att. %	20 40.3% 4 46.7%	WAS 33.8% BOS 43.2% +9.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.03 and 2.03.

Game Totals	WAS	BOS
Possessions	100	98
Possession Minutes	25.1	22.9
Points	107	136
Rebounds	40	40
Assists	25	31
Steals	2	12
Blocks	5	3
Turnovers (Team)	19 (0)	5 (2)
Fouls	18	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (4)	12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (2)	28 (4)
Field Goals	39-80	52-95
At-the-Rim FG	12-15	17-19
Midrange FG	18-38	19-35
2-Point FG	30-53	36-54
3-Point FG	9-27	16-41
Free Throws	20-27	16-21
Fast Break Pts	8	8
2nd Chance Pts	20	19
Points in Paint	52	52
Pts off Turnovers	3	30
Bench Points	51	35
Biggest Lead	12	33

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg