Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	13	Heat	28%	116	112	105.7	106	126.3
	2	Nuggets	72%	123	122	115.1	106	91.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	31.7	22	85%	4	5	2	1	0	4	0	4	1-2	50%	6-9	67%	3-4	75%
Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 27	31.3	10	71%	3	9	0	0	3	3	0	3	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 32	30.5	23	61%	2	0	1	0	3	0	0	2	9-9	100%	1-7	14%	4-8	50%
Pelle Larsson #9 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	23.5	6	50%	3	3	0	0	1	1	0	3	4-4	100%	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 28	8.2	2	20%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%

Kel'el Ware #7 · C · 7'0" 250 · 22	27.2	13	93%	13	0	4	1	1	4	2	11	3-4	75%	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 25	26.4	21	70%	3	2	1	0	1	2	0	3	2-2	100%	8-9	89%	1-5	20%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	19.6	5	36%	3	3	0	0	3	2	0	3	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Dru Smith #12 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 28	16.7	5	42%	2	2	3	1	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Simone Fontecchio #0 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 30	15.6	5	36%	2	2	1	1	1	1	2	0	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-2	50%
Keshad Johnson #16 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	9.3	0	0%	2	0	1	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Kasparas Jakučionis #25 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 19	DNP – Coach's Decision
Myron Gardner #15 · SF · 6'5" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jahmir Young #17 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vladislav Goldin #50 · C · 7'0" 255 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 32	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	55%	38	26	13	4	14	20	5	33	22-25	88%	24-45	53%	14-41	34%

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13 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	31.7	22	85%	4	5	2	1	0	4	0	4	1-2	50%	6-9	67%	3-4	75%
Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 27	31.3	10	71%	3	9	0	0	3	3	0	3	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 32	30.5	23	61%	2	0	1	0	3	0	0	2	9-9	100%	1-7	14%	4-8	50%
Pelle Larsson #9 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	23.5	6	50%	3	3	0	0	1	1	0	3	4-4	100%	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 28	8.2	2	20%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%

Kel'el Ware #7 · C · 7'0" 250 · 22	27.2	13	93%	13	0	4	1	1	4	2	11	3-4	75%	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 25	26.4	21	70%	3	2	1	0	1	2	0	3	2-2	100%	8-9	89%	1-5	20%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	19.6	5	36%	3	3	0	0	3	2	0	3	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Dru Smith #12 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 28	16.7	5	42%	2	2	3	1	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Simone Fontecchio #0 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 30	15.6	5	36%	2	2	1	1	1	1	2	0	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-2	50%
Keshad Johnson #16 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	9.3	0	0%	2	0	1	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Kasparas Jakučionis #25 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 19	DNP – Coach's Decision
Myron Gardner #15 · SF · 6'5" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jahmir Young #17 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vladislav Goldin #50 · C · 7'0" 255 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 32	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	55%	38	26	13	4	14	20	5	33	22-25	88%	24-45	53%	14-41	34%

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2 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	36.6	33	75%	15	16	3	0	3	1	5	10	7-8	88%	10-13	77%	2-5	40%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	35.3	11	39%	8	7	2	1	0	2	4	4	1-1	100%	5-11	45%	0-3	0%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	33.6	14	41%	8	3	2	1	2	2	2	6	5-5	100%	3-7	43%	1-8	13%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	30.8	24	71%	6	1	1	0	3	1	1	5	5-6	83%	8-11	73%	1-5	20%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	23.0	9	41%	2	1	0	0	0	3	1	1	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	2-5	40%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	27.6	5	36%	3	2	2	0	3	3	2	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	24.4	18	75%	3	0	0	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	4-9	44%
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	17.7	2	20%	10	3	0	2	2	1	2	8	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	10.9	6	43%	6	0	0	0	2	1	3	3	4-4	100%	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	53%	61	33	10	4	16	16	21	40	25-28	89%	32-61	52%	11-40	28%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.11 55.4%

DEN

1.06 53.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

14

23

61%

DEN

26

38

68%

Midrange

MIA

10

22

45%

DEN

6

23

26%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

14

21.0

41

34%

51%

DEN

11

16.5

40

28%

41%

Free Throws

MIA

22

25

88%

DEN

25

28

89%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Powell	23	61%	11.5 / 19
A. Wiggins	22	85%	11.0 / 13
J. Jaquez	21	70%	10.5 / 15
K. Ware	13	93%	6.5 / 7
D. Mitchell	10	71%	5.0 / 7
P. Larsson	6	50%	3.0 / 6
N. Jović	5	36%	2.5 / 7
D. Smith	5	42%	2.5 / 6
S. Fontecchio	5	36%	2.5 / 7
B. Adebayo	2	20%	1.0 / 5
K. Johnson	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	33	75%	16.5 / 22
A. Gordon	24	71%	12.0 / 17
T. Hardaway	18	75%	9.0 / 12
J. Murray	14	41%	7.0 / 17
C. Braun	11	39%	5.5 / 14
C. Johnson	9	41%	4.5 / 11
J. Valančiūnas	6	43%	3.0 / 7
B. Brown	5	36%	2.5 / 7
P. Watson	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 115.8 1 121.3	MIA 105.7 DEN 115.1 +9.4
Pace	1 104.3 19 99.4	MIA 126.3 +35.0 DEN 91.3
Avg. Poss. Time	30 13.1 9 14.7	MIA 11.4 −4.4 DEN 15.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	18 54.2% 1 57.7%	MIA 52.3% +4.3% DEN 48.0%
TO %	5 12.6% 3 12.1%	MIA 13.4% DEN 13.0% −0.4%
ORB %	17 25.4% 24 23.6%	MIA 11.1% DEN 38.9% +27.8%
FTrt	14 26.8 4 29.4	MIA 29.1 +1.4 DEN 27.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	10 66.3% 9 66.5%	MIA 68.4% DEN 76.7% +8.3%
STL %	17 8.3% 30 6.8%	MIA 12.3% +2.9% DEN 9.4%
BLK %	28 7.9% 29 7.6%	MIA 6.6% DEN 8.9% +2.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 56.8% 1 60.1%	MIA 55.4% +2.4% DEN 53.0%
Rim FG%	20 63.6% 12 65.1%	MIA 60.9% DEN 68.4% +7.5%
Mid FG%	21 42.4% 2 47.0%	MIA 45.5% +19.4% DEN 26.1%
3P %	11 36.1% 1 39.6%	MIA 34.1% +6.6% DEN 27.5%
FT %	11 79.2% 5 80.8%	MIA 88.0% DEN 89.3% +1.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 32.9% 19 31.1%	MIA 26.7% DEN 37.6% +10.9%
Mid Att. %	17 26.5% 21 28.1%	MIA 25.6% DEN 22.8% −2.8%
3P Att. %	18 40.6% 17 40.8%	MIA 47.7% +8.1% DEN 39.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Game Totals	MIA	DEN
Possessions	106	106
Possession Minutes	20.1	27.9
Points	112	122
Rebounds	38	61
Assists	26	33
Steals	13	10
Blocks	4	4
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	16 (1)
Fouls	20	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (3)	21 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (2)	40 (2)
Field Goals	38-86	43-101
At-the-Rim FG	14-23	26-38
Midrange FG	10-22	6-23
2-Point FG	24-45	32-61
3-Point FG	14-41	11-40
Free Throws	22-25	25-28
Fast Break Pts	18	12
2nd Chance Pts	8	22
Points in Paint	42	62
Pts off Turnovers	22	13
Bench Points	49	31
Biggest Lead	7	17

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg