Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, November 5, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Warriors	51%	113	116	110.5	105	107.5
	25	Kings	49%	112	121	113.1	107	104.3

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+13

-18

100

SAC

+11

-16

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.16 58.0%

SAC

1.19 59.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

21 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Moses Moody #4 · PG · 6'5" 211 · 23	38.5	28	93%	3	3	2	4	3	3	1	2	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	6-11	55%
Jonathan Kuminga #1 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	35.6	24	57%	9	3	0	0	5	5	2	7	6-8	75%	6-14	43%	2-5	40%
Will Richard #3 · SF · 6'3" 206 · 23	34.5	30	83%	7	3	1	0	1	3	5	2	5-7	71%	5-7	71%	5-8	63%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	31.0	14	64%	9	9	0	0	4	3	1	8	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	15.7	0	0%	4	1	2	2	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-3	0%

Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 39	26.5	0	0%	7	2	2	0	1	2	1	6	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-7	0%
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 29	17.0	6	43%	1	1	0	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	13.8	9	75%	1	2	1	0	1	3	0	1	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	11.4	3	150%	2	3	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	9.0	2	50%	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 23	7.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jackson Rowe #44 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Low Back; Strain
Alex Toohey #22 · PF · 6'8" 223 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Recovery
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| General; Illness
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left ACL; Surgery
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Rib; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	58%	44	28	10	6	18	26	10	34	19-23	83%	23-46	50%	17-43	40%

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21 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Moses Moody #4 · PG · 6'5" 211 · 23	38.5	28	93%	3	3	2	4	3	3	1	2	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	6-11	55%
Jonathan Kuminga #1 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	35.6	24	57%	9	3	0	0	5	5	2	7	6-8	75%	6-14	43%	2-5	40%
Will Richard #3 · SF · 6'3" 206 · 23	34.5	30	83%	7	3	1	0	1	3	5	2	5-7	71%	5-7	71%	5-8	63%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	31.0	14	64%	9	9	0	0	4	3	1	8	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	15.7	0	0%	4	1	2	2	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-3	0%

Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 39	26.5	0	0%	7	2	2	0	1	2	1	6	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-7	0%
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 29	17.0	6	43%	1	1	0	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	13.8	9	75%	1	2	1	0	1	3	0	1	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	11.4	3	150%	2	3	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	9.0	2	50%	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 23	7.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jackson Rowe #44 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Low Back; Strain
Alex Toohey #22 · PF · 6'8" 223 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Recovery
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| General; Illness
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left ACL; Surgery
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Rib; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	58%	44	28	10	6	18	26	10	34	19-23	83%	23-46	50%	17-43	40%

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25 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	35.7	25	54%	2	2	1	0	1	1	0	2	9-9	100%	8-19	42%	0-1	0%
Russell Westbrook #18 · PF · 6'4" 200 · 37	35.4	23	82%	16	10	1	0	3	1	4	12	2-2	100%	6-9	67%	3-4	75%
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	32.9	12	67%	3	3	1	0	1	2	0	3	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	3-6	50%
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	32.3	18	47%	7	7	0	1	3	4	0	7	3-4	75%	3-12	25%	3-5	60%
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	32.2	12	75%	6	0	1	2	3	3	1	5	2-4	50%	5-6	83%	0-0	-

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	25.3	21	66%	4	2	0	0	2	2	1	3	7-8	88%	4-7	57%	2-5	40%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	17.1	0	0%	2	2	2	0	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	15.1	6	60%	3	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · C · 6'8" 243 · 26	9.3	4	100%	3	0	0	1	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	4.8	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #20 · C · 6'10" 225 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Soreness
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; UCL Injury Recovery
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ribcage; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	59%	47	27	7	5	16	18	8	39	28-33	85%	30-60	50%	11-23	48%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	SAC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.16 58.0%

SAC

1.19 59.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

72%

SAC

72%

Midrange

GSW

24%

SAC

34%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

25.5

40%

59%

SAC

16.5

48%

72%

Free Throws

GSW

83%

SAC

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
W. Richard	30	83%	15.0 / 18
M. Moody	28	93%	14.0 / 15
J. Kuminga	24	57%	12.0 / 21
B. Podziemski	14	64%	7.0 / 11
B. Hield	9	75%	4.5 / 6
P. Spencer	6	43%	3.0 / 7
G. Payton	3	150%	1.5 / 1
T. Jackson-Davis	2	50%	1.0 / 2
Q. Post	0	-	0.0 / 5
A. Horford	0	-	0.0 / 8
G. Santos	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	25	54%	12.5 / 23
R. Westbrook	23	82%	11.5 / 14
M. Monk	21	66%	10.5 / 16
D. Schröder	18	47%	9.0 / 19
N. Clifford	12	67%	6.0 / 9
D. Eubanks	12	75%	6.0 / 8
M. Raynaud	6	60%	3.0 / 5
P. Achiuwa	4	100%	2.0 / 2
K. Ellis	0	-	0.0 / 1
D. Carter	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 114.0 26 110.6	GSW 110.5 SAC 113.1 +2.6
Pace	18 99.9 17 100.0	GSW 107.5 +3.3 SAC 104.3
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.7 14 14.5	GSW 13.4 −0.4 SAC 13.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.0% 29 52.5%	GSW 54.5% SAC 56.0% +1.5%
TO %	28 14.9% 15 13.7%	GSW 16.1% SAC 14.1% −2.0%
ORB %	14 25.8% 13 25.9%	GSW 20.4% +1.4% SAC 19.0%
FTrt	24 23.8 19 25.6	GSW 25.8 SAC 39.8 +14.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 70.6% 20 61.5%	GSW 70.0% +4.1% SAC 65.9%
STL %	3 9.6% 21 8.0%	GSW 9.5% +3.0% SAC 6.5%
BLK %	27 8.0% 19 8.6%	GSW 10.0% SAC 10.9% +0.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.1% 29 54.7%	GSW 58.0% SAC 59.3% +1.3%
Rim FG%	5 66.7% 8 65.9%	GSW 72.0% SAC 72.0%
Mid FG%	22 42.1% 13 43.8%	GSW 23.8% SAC 34.3% +10.5%
3P %	20 35.6% 29 34.1%	GSW 39.5% SAC 47.8% +8.3%
FT %	6 80.7% 21 77.2%	GSW 82.6% SAC 84.8% +2.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 29.5% 28 28.0%	GSW 28.1% SAC 30.1% +2.0%
Mid Att. %	3 20.8% 30 38.1%	GSW 23.6% −18.6% SAC 42.2%
3P Att. %	1 49.7% 30 33.9%	GSW 48.3% +20.6% SAC 27.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.66 and 2.66.

Game Totals	GSW	SAC
Possessions	105	107
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.6
Points	116	121
Rebounds	44	47
Assists	28	27
Steals	10	7
Blocks	6	5
Turnovers (Team)	18 (1)	16 (0)
Fouls	26	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (1)	39 (0)
Field Goals	40-89	41-83
At-the-Rim FG	18-25	18-25
Midrange FG	5-21	12-35
2-Point FG	23-46	30-60
3-Point FG	17-43	11-23
Free Throws	19-23	28-33
Fast Break Pts	20	17
2nd Chance Pts	20	11
Points in Paint	40	54
Pts off Turnovers	11	30
Bench Points	20	31
Biggest Lead	13	11

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg