Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, November 9, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Thunder	72%	117	114	114.0	100	99.8
	16	Grizzlies	28%	109	100	101.0	99	99.2

Scoring Opportunities

OKC

+14

-6

108

MEM

+14

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.05 52.3%

MEM

1.01 50.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	35.3	35	67%	7	6	2	0	1	0	1	6	10-11	91%	8-13	62%	3-9	33%
Cason Wallace #22 · SF · 6'3" 195 · 22	34.2	6	30%	4	1	2	0	0	1	1	3	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	1-7	14%
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	31.9	21	62%	6	4	3	0	0	2	0	6	3-4	75%	6-12	50%	2-3	67%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	30.3	18	69%	13	2	0	1	3	5	4	9	2-4	50%	8-11	73%	0-0	-
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 24	30.1	21	66%	7	2	1	0	0	4	0	7	4-4	100%	7-10	70%	1-4	25%

Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	21.4	8	40%	2	0	0	1	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-7	29%
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 32	21.0	5	36%	4	2	1	0	2	0	1	3	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-6	17%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	16.8	0	0%	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-5	0%
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 22	7.2	0	0%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Brooks Barnhizer #23 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 24	7.0	0	0%	4	1	0	1	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Chris Youngblood #3 · SG · 6'4" 221 · 24	4.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Upper Trap; Strain
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Surgical Recovery
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Jalen Williams #8 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Surgical Recovery
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgical Recovery
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgical Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	52%	51	19	10	3	6	17	9	42	22-26	85%	31-52	60%	10-43	23%

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1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	35.3	35	67%	7	6	2	0	1	0	1	6	10-11	91%	8-13	62%	3-9	33%
Cason Wallace #22 · SF · 6'3" 195 · 22	34.2	6	30%	4	1	2	0	0	1	1	3	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	1-7	14%
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	31.9	21	62%	6	4	3	0	0	2	0	6	3-4	75%	6-12	50%	2-3	67%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	30.3	18	69%	13	2	0	1	3	5	4	9	2-4	50%	8-11	73%	0-0	-
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 24	30.1	21	66%	7	2	1	0	0	4	0	7	4-4	100%	7-10	70%	1-4	25%

Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	21.4	8	40%	2	0	0	1	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-7	29%
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 32	21.0	5	36%	4	2	1	0	2	0	1	3	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-6	17%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	16.8	0	0%	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-5	0%
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 22	7.2	0	0%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Brooks Barnhizer #23 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 24	7.0	0	0%	4	1	0	1	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Chris Youngblood #3 · SG · 6'4" 221 · 24	4.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Upper Trap; Strain
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Surgical Recovery
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Jalen Williams #8 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Surgical Recovery
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgical Recovery
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgical Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	52%	51	19	10	3	6	17	9	42	22-26	85%	31-52	60%	10-43	23%

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16 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	33.6	11	28%	3	8	1	0	3	5	0	3	3-4	75%	1-11	9%	2-7	29%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #8 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 26	28.6	17	50%	7	2	0	2	1	3	2	5	2-5	40%	3-9	33%	3-7	43%
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	27.6	10	71%	5	3	0	0	0	3	2	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SF · 6'5" 204 · 33	23.1	9	56%	4	3	1	1	1	4	0	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 22	22.9	12	60%	1	2	0	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-4	50%

Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	29.6	12	60%	9	4	1	2	4	3	1	8	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	1-4	25%
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	28.9	13	50%	10	4	0	0	0	2	4	6	2-2	100%	1-6	17%	3-6	50%
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	20.1	9	56%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	14.4	3	50%	6	0	0	1	1	2	1	5	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	8.9	3	150%	3	3	0	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 23	1.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	1.0	1	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
PJ Hall #16 · C · 6'8" 245 · 24	0.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery Recovery
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Soreness
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	51%	50	30	3	6	14	25	11	39	13-18	72%	18-47	38%	17-44	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	MEM
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	MEM

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.05 52.3%

MEM

1.01 50.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

OKC

62%

MEM

65%

Midrange

OKC

57%

MEM

23%

3PT | Effective 3PT

OKC

15.0

23%

35%

MEM

25.5

39%

58%

Free Throws

OKC

85%

MEM

72%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	35	67%	17.5 / 26
A. Mitchell	21	62%	10.5 / 17
C. Holmgren	21	66%	10.5 / 16
I. Hartenstein	18	69%	9.0 / 13
I. Joe	8	40%	4.0 / 10
C. Wallace	6	30%	3.0 / 10
A. Caruso	5	36%	2.5 / 7
J. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 5
O. Dieng	0	-	0.0 / 1
B. Barnhizer	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Jackson	17	50%	8.5 / 17
C. Coward	13	50%	6.5 / 13
J. Wells	12	60%	6.0 / 10
S. Aldama	12	60%	6.0 / 10
J. Morant	11	28%	5.5 / 20
J. Landale	10	71%	5.0 / 7
K. Caldwell-Pope	9	56%	4.5 / 8
C. Spencer	9	56%	4.5 / 8
V. Williams	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Konchar	3	150%	1.5 / 1
G. Jackson	1	50%	0.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 117.6 23 112.4	OKC 114.0 +13.0 MEM 101.0
Pace	15 100.3 7 101.8	OKC 99.8 +0.6 MEM 99.2
Avg. Poss. Time	20 14.1 26 13.8	OKC 14.4 −0.1 MEM 14.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	4 56.1% 24 53.3%	OKC 48.4% +0.6% MEM 47.8%
TO %	1 11.8% 22 14.3%	OKC 5.3% −7.1% MEM 12.4%
ORB %	28 22.3% 19 24.7%	OKC 18.8% MEM 20.8% +2.0%
FTrt	17 26.1 21 25.1	OKC 27.4 +7.6 MEM 19.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	25 59.8% 6 67.4%	OKC 46.3% MEM 85.7% +39.4%
STL %	4 9.6% 11 8.7%	OKC 10.0% +7.0% MEM 3.0%
BLK %	2 11.0% 14 9.1%	OKC 6.4% MEM 11.5% +5.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	4 58.5% 22 55.8%	OKC 52.3% +1.8% MEM 50.5%
Rim FG%	11 65.2% 26 62.8%	OKC 62.1% MEM 64.7% +2.6%
Mid FG%	1 47.6% 11 44.2%	OKC 56.5% +33.2% MEM 23.3%
3P %	9 36.5% 22 35.3%	OKC 23.3% MEM 38.6% +15.3%
FT %	3 81.7% 9 79.3%	OKC 84.6% +12.4% MEM 72.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	16 31.3% 26 28.6%	OKC 30.5% +11.8% MEM 18.7%
Mid Att. %	15 26.1% 19 27.8%	OKC 24.2% −8.8% MEM 33.0%
3P Att. %	13 42.6% 10 43.6%	OKC 45.3% MEM 48.4% +3.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	OKC	MEM
Possessions	100	99
Possession Minutes	24.1	24.0
Points	114	100
Rebounds	51	50
Assists	19	30
Steals	10	3
Blocks	3	6
Turnovers (Team)	6 (0)	14 (0)
Fouls	17	25
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (5)	11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	42 (1)	39 (3)
Field Goals	41-95	35-91
At-the-Rim FG	18-29	11-17
Midrange FG	13-23	7-30
2-Point FG	31-52	18-47
3-Point FG	10-43	17-44
Free Throws	22-26	13-18
Fast Break Pts	7	6
2nd Chance Pts	12	14
Points in Paint	56	32
Pts off Turnovers	17	9
Bench Points	13	41
Biggest Lead	16	19

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg