Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, November 9, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Pacers	17%	105	83	83.0	100	104.8
	14	Warriors	83%	117	114	112.9	101	96.6

Scoring Opportunities

IND

+21

-20

101

GSW

+16

-10

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

0.82 41.1%

GSW

1.07 53.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jarace Walker #5 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 22	31.6	12	43%	2	0	0	1	6	3	0	2	1-1	100%	1-8	13%	3-6	50%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 26	29.7	14	41%	2	9	2	0	2	3	0	2	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	2-9	22%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 24	26.9	3	15%	4	0	0	0	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-6	17%
Jay Huff #32 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 28	21.6	12	50%	11	2	0	3	1	5	2	9	0-2	0%	3-5	60%	2-6	33%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	21.0	12	67%	6	1	0	1	2	2	4	2	0-0	-	6-9	67%	0-0	-

Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #25 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	32.0	9	38%	12	1	2	0	1	1	4	8	3-4	75%	3-8	38%	0-3	0%
Cody Martin #11 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 30	27.7	2	20%	6	2	3	0	4	3	1	5	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Monté Morris #3 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 30	20.3	8	80%	2	4	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 28	16.3	6	43%	6	1	0	1	0	1	2	4	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
RayJ Dennis #10 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	6.4	5	63%	1	0	0	0	3	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	6.4	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Forearm; Contusion
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	DND – Rest \| Rest
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Sprain
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Stress Fracture
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Stress Reaction
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	83	41%	53	21	7	6	20	25	14	39	8-11	73%	21-55	38%	11-39	28%

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29 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jarace Walker #5 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 22	31.6	12	43%	2	0	0	1	6	3	0	2	1-1	100%	1-8	13%	3-6	50%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 26	29.7	14	41%	2	9	2	0	2	3	0	2	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	2-9	22%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 24	26.9	3	15%	4	0	0	0	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-6	17%
Jay Huff #32 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 28	21.6	12	50%	11	2	0	3	1	5	2	9	0-2	0%	3-5	60%	2-6	33%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	21.0	12	67%	6	1	0	1	2	2	4	2	0-0	-	6-9	67%	0-0	-

Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #25 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	32.0	9	38%	12	1	2	0	1	1	4	8	3-4	75%	3-8	38%	0-3	0%
Cody Martin #11 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 30	27.7	2	20%	6	2	3	0	4	3	1	5	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Monté Morris #3 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 30	20.3	8	80%	2	4	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 28	16.3	6	43%	6	1	0	1	0	1	2	4	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
RayJ Dennis #10 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	6.4	5	63%	1	0	0	0	3	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	6.4	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Forearm; Contusion
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	DND – Rest \| Rest
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Sprain
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Stress Fracture
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Stress Reaction
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	83	41%	53	21	7	6	20	25	14	39	8-11	73%	21-55	38%	11-39	28%

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14 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 23	31.7	14	54%	6	1	2	0	2	3	0	6	5-6	83%	3-5	60%	1-6	17%
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 36	30.1	21	66%	9	7	2	1	1	1	3	6	1-4	25%	10-15	67%	0-0	-
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	24.6	3	50%	2	3	0	0	4	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	24.1	14	58%	8	2	1	0	0	0	2	6	4-5	80%	2-3	67%	2-7	29%
Jonathan Kuminga #1 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23	20.4	5	21%	8	2	0	0	1	0	2	6	3-6	50%	1-4	25%	0-5	0%

Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 23	23.0	13	54%	3	1	2	1	0	4	1	2	2-3	67%	1-2	50%	3-9	33%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	19.8	8	50%	4	2	1	0	0	2	1	3	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	19.5	15	63%	3	1	1	0	0	1	1	2	7-8	88%	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 39	18.0	12	100%	4	1	0	3	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-6	67%
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 29	16.2	2	25%	0	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	5.0	4	100%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-1	0%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	3.9	0	0%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 23	3.9	3	50%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Alex Toohey #22 · PF · 6'8" 223 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jackson Rowe #44 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 29	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| General; Illness
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left ACL; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	53%	50	22	11	6	10	16	11	39	26-37	70%	26-44	59%	12-44	27%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	GSW
Clock	Team	Event	IND	GSW

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND

0.82 41.1%

GSW

1.07 53.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

47%

GSW

63%

Midrange

IND

28%

GSW

53%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

16.5

28%

42%

GSW

18.0

27%

41%

Free Throws

IND

73%

GSW

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Nembhard	14	41%	7.0 / 17
J. Walker	12	43%	6.0 / 14
J. Huff	12	50%	6.0 / 12
I. Jackson	12	67%	6.0 / 9
J. Robinson-Earl	9	38%	4.5 / 12
M. Morris	8	80%	4.0 / 5
T. Bradley	6	43%	3.0 / 7
R. Dennis	5	63%	2.5 / 4
B. Sheppard	3	15%	1.5 / 10
C. Martin	2	20%	1.0 / 5
T. Peter	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Butler	21	66%	10.5 / 16
W. Richard	15	63%	7.5 / 12
B. Podziemski	14	54%	7.0 / 13
Q. Post	14	58%	7.0 / 12
M. Moody	13	54%	6.5 / 12
A. Horford	12	100%	6.0 / 6
B. Hield	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Kuminga	5	21%	2.5 / 12
T. Jackson-Davis	4	100%	2.0 / 2
D. Green	3	50%	1.5 / 3
G. Santos	3	50%	1.5 / 3
P. Spencer	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	28 110.1 19 114.0	IND 83.0 GSW 112.9 +29.9
Pace	10 101.4 18 99.9	IND 104.8 +8.2 GSW 96.6
Avg. Poss. Time	25 13.9 10 14.7	IND 13.7 −1.2 GSW 14.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 53.3% 13 55.0%	IND 39.9% GSW 50.0% +10.1%
TO %	14 13.6% 28 14.9%	IND 18.2% GSW 8.8% −9.4%
ORB %	29 21.7% 14 25.8%	IND 26.4% +4.4% GSW 22.0%
FTrt	20 25.2 24 23.8	IND 11.7 GSW 42.0 +30.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 67.8% 1 70.6%	IND 65.6% +7.7% GSW 57.9%
STL %	28 7.2% 3 9.6%	IND 7.0% GSW 10.9% +3.9%
BLK %	26 8.1% 27 8.0%	IND 13.6% +2.7% GSW 10.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 55.4% 11 57.1%	IND 41.1% GSW 53.3% +12.2%
Rim FG%	25 62.9% 5 66.7%	IND 46.7% GSW 63.0% +16.3%
Mid FG%	19 42.7% 22 42.1%	IND 28.0% GSW 52.9% +24.9%
3P %	18 35.6% 20 35.6%	IND 28.2% +0.9% GSW 27.3%
FT %	17 77.6% 6 80.7%	IND 72.7% +2.4% GSW 70.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	23 30.3% 24 29.5%	IND 31.9% +1.2% GSW 30.7%
Mid Att. %	18 27.5% 3 20.8%	IND 26.6% GSW 19.3% −7.3%
3P Att. %	14 42.2% 1 49.7%	IND 41.5% GSW 50.0% +8.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	GSW
Possessions	100	101
Possession Minutes	22.9	25.1
Points	83	114
Rebounds	53	50
Assists	21	22
Steals	7	11
Blocks	6	6
Turnovers (Team)	20 (2)	10 (0)
Fouls	25	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (7)	11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (2)	39 (4)
Field Goals	32-94	38-88
At-the-Rim FG	14-30	17-27
Midrange FG	7-25	9-17
2-Point FG	21-55	26-44
3-Point FG	11-39	12-44
Free Throws	8-11	26-37
Fast Break Pts	10	12
2nd Chance Pts	12	21
Points in Paint	40	42
Pts off Turnovers	14	28
Bench Points	30	57
Biggest Lead	1	33

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg