Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Cavaliers	66%	123	138	122.1	113	96.1
	20	Heat	34%	118	140	121.7	115	111.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 29	40.9	28	45%	15	8	1	0	1	4	5	10	5-6	83%	7-12	58%	3-16	19%
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 24	38.7	21	62%	10	5	0	1	2	3	8	2	2-7	29%	5-11	45%	3-4	75%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	35.3	23	57%	4	4	1	0	1	5	0	4	3-3	100%	7-11	64%	2-8	25%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	20.9	14	70%	7	2	0	1	3	0	3	4	2-3	67%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 26	18.9	11	46%	5	2	2	0	0	3	1	4	6-6	100%	1-6	17%	1-3	33%

Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29	32.6	12	38%	2	2	0	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-16	25%
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	31.1	9	41%	9	1	3	1	0	3	5	4	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	2-6	33%
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 29	21.6	9	90%	3	0	0	1	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-4	75%
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 28	19.5	9	64%	4	2	1	0	0	3	2	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-7	43%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	5.4	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Luke Travers #33 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Chris Livingston #8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Contusion
Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery - Jones Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	138	50%	60	26	8	4	7	27	26	34	19-27	70%	28-55	51%	21-65	32%

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2 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 29	40.9	28	45%	15	8	1	0	1	4	5	10	5-6	83%	7-12	58%	3-16	19%
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 24	38.7	21	62%	10	5	0	1	2	3	8	2	2-7	29%	5-11	45%	3-4	75%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	35.3	23	57%	4	4	1	0	1	5	0	4	3-3	100%	7-11	64%	2-8	25%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	20.9	14	70%	7	2	0	1	3	0	3	4	2-3	67%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 26	18.9	11	46%	5	2	2	0	0	3	1	4	6-6	100%	1-6	17%	1-3	33%

Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29	32.6	12	38%	2	2	0	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-16	25%
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	31.1	9	41%	9	1	3	1	0	3	5	4	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	2-6	33%
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 29	21.6	9	90%	3	0	0	1	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-4	75%
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 28	19.5	9	64%	4	2	1	0	0	3	2	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-7	43%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	5.4	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Luke Travers #33 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Chris Livingston #8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Contusion
Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery - Jones Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	138	50%	60	26	8	4	7	27	26	34	19-27	70%	28-55	51%	21-65	32%

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20 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 32	38.6	33	66%	2	2	1	1	1	4	0	2	13-14	93%	4-10	40%	4-9	44%
Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 27	38.2	11	55%	2	8	1	0	5	5	0	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	37.4	23	72%	2	5	1	0	2	2	1	1	5-6	83%	6-8	75%	2-5	40%
Kel'el Ware #7 · C · 7'0" 250 · 22	33.6	14	50%	20	1	1	1	0	2	7	13	0-0	-	7-13	54%	0-1	0%
Pelle Larsson #9 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	26.5	10	56%	5	4	0	0	3	3	1	4	2-3	67%	4-6	67%	0-2	0%

Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 25	33.3	22	73%	13	7	1	2	2	2	1	12	8-8	100%	7-11	64%	0-1	0%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	26.3	8	36%	8	4	0	1	1	5	1	7	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	1-5	20%
Simone Fontecchio #0 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 30	16.3	13	65%	4	0	0	1	0	2	1	3	2-3	67%	1-2	50%	3-7	43%
Dru Smith #12 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 28	14.8	6	60%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	3-3	100%	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Kasparas Jakučionis #25 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 19	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keshad Johnson #16 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vladislav Goldin #50 · C · 7'0" 255 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Myron Gardner #15 · SF · 6'5" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jahmir Young #17 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Big Toe; Sprain
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 32	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	140	59%	56	32	5	6	14	27	12	44	36-41	88%	34-62	55%	12-36	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.01 50.4%

MIA

1.19 59.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CLE

15

22

68%

MIA

14

20

70%

Midrange

CLE

13

33

39%

MIA

20

42

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CLE

21

31.5

65

32%

48%

MIA

12

18.0

36

33%

50%

Free Throws

CLE

19

27

70%

MIA

36

41

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell	28	45%	14.0 / 31
D. Hunter	23	57%	11.5 / 20
E. Mobley	21	62%	10.5 / 17
J. Allen	14	70%	7.0 / 10
S. Merrill	12	38%	6.0 / 16
D. Garland	11	46%	5.5 / 12
J. Tyson	9	41%	4.5 / 11
D. Wade	9	90%	4.5 / 5
L. Ball	9	64%	4.5 / 7
C. Porter	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Powell	33	66%	16.5 / 25
A. Wiggins	23	72%	11.5 / 16
J. Jaquez	22	73%	11.0 / 15
K. Ware	14	50%	7.0 / 14
S. Fontecchio	13	65%	6.5 / 10
D. Mitchell	11	55%	5.5 / 10
P. Larsson	10	56%	5.0 / 9
N. Jović	8	36%	4.0 / 11
D. Smith	6	60%	3.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 118.3 12 115.8	CLE 122.1 +0.4 MIA 121.7
Pace	12 100.6 1 104.3	CLE 96.1 MIA 111.2 +15.1
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.1 30 13.1	CLE 15.0 MIA 12.9 −2.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 56.1% 18 54.2%	CLE 49.6% MIA 53.1% +3.5%
TO %	10 13.2% 5 12.6%	CLE 7.0% −3.8% MIA 10.8%
ORB %	9 26.9% 17 25.4%	CLE 37.1% +11.0% MIA 26.1%
FTrt	15 26.5 14 26.8	CLE 22.5 MIA 41.8 +19.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 65.3% 10 66.3%	CLE 53.1% MIA 69.6% +16.5%
STL %	15 8.4% 17 8.3%	CLE 7.1% +2.8% MIA 4.3%
BLK %	11 9.8% 28 7.9%	CLE 6.5% MIA 10.9% +4.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 58.2% 15 56.8%	CLE 50.4% MIA 59.3% +8.9%
Rim FG%	7 66.1% 20 63.6%	CLE 68.2% MIA 70.0% +1.8%
Mid FG%	3 46.8% 21 42.4%	CLE 39.4% MIA 47.6% +8.2%
3P %	13 36.0% 11 36.1%	CLE 32.3% MIA 33.3% +1.0%
FT %	19 77.6% 11 79.2%	CLE 70.4% MIA 87.8% +17.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 31.7% 11 32.9%	CLE 18.3% MIA 20.4% +2.1%
Mid Att. %	8 24.1% 17 26.5%	CLE 27.5% −15.4% MIA 42.9%
3P Att. %	9 44.2% 18 40.6%	CLE 54.2% +17.4% MIA 36.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CLE	MIA
Possessions	113	115
Possession Minutes	28.2	24.8
Points	138	140
Rebounds	60	56
Assists	26	32
Steals	8	5
Blocks	4	6
Turnovers (Team)	7 (3)	14 (0)
Fouls	27	27
Off. Rebounds (Team)	26 (4)	12 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (1)	44 (2)
Field Goals	49-120	46-98
At-the-Rim FG	15-22	14-20
Midrange FG	13-33	20-42
2-Point FG	28-55	34-62
3-Point FG	21-65	12-36
Free Throws	19-27	36-41
Fast Break Pts	11	23
2nd Chance Pts	29	20
Points in Paint	50	66
Pts off Turnovers	20	13
Bench Points	41	49
Biggest Lead	10	15

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg