Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, November 11, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Warriors	27%	107	102	101.0	101	103.7
	1	Thunder	73%	115	126	126.0	100	97.3

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+10

-20

OKC

+14

-19

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.13 56.7%

OKC

1.33 66.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

4 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jonathan Kuminga #1 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23	23.7	13	65%	3	4	0	1	5	0	0	3	1-2	50%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 36	22.2	12	100%	3	2	3	0	1	0	1	2	8-8	100%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	21.9	3	38%	2	4	1	0	3	4	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	20.0	11	39%	1	0	1	0	1	5	0	1	2-3	67%	3-8	38%	1-5	20%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	16.6	6	50%	3	2	0	1	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-6	33%

Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	22.3	6	50%	6	1	0	1	6	4	2	4	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	22.0	9	75%	0	1	1	0	0	4	0	0	0-1	0%	0-1	0%	3-5	60%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	20.6	10	71%	4	1	3	0	0	5	0	4	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	2-2	100%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 23	20.1	10	71%	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	15.0	2	33%	6	3	2	0	0	0	0	6	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 29	12.0	12	60%	1	1	1	0	0	2	1	0	4-4	100%	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 23	12.0	4	67%	3	0	1	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	11.7	4	50%	0	4	2	0	2	2	0	0	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Alex Toohey #22 · PF · 6'8" 223 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jackson Rowe #44 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 29	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left ACL; Surgery
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 39	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	57%	32	23	16	4	20	28	6	26	23-29	79%	20-39	51%	13-35	37%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

4 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jonathan Kuminga #1 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23	23.7	13	65%	3	4	0	1	5	0	0	3	1-2	50%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 36	22.2	12	100%	3	2	3	0	1	0	1	2	8-8	100%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	21.9	3	38%	2	4	1	0	3	4	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	20.0	11	39%	1	0	1	0	1	5	0	1	2-3	67%	3-8	38%	1-5	20%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	16.6	6	50%	3	2	0	1	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-6	33%

Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	22.3	6	50%	6	1	0	1	6	4	2	4	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	22.0	9	75%	0	1	1	0	0	4	0	0	0-1	0%	0-1	0%	3-5	60%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	20.6	10	71%	4	1	3	0	0	5	0	4	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	2-2	100%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 23	20.1	10	71%	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	15.0	2	33%	6	3	2	0	0	0	0	6	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 29	12.0	12	60%	1	1	1	0	0	2	1	0	4-4	100%	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 23	12.0	4	67%	3	0	1	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	11.7	4	50%	0	4	2	0	2	2	0	0	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Alex Toohey #22 · PF · 6'8" 223 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jackson Rowe #44 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 29	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left ACL; Surgery
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 39	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	57%	32	23	16	4	20	28	6	26	23-29	79%	20-39	51%	13-35	37%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	30.9	17	61%	3	2	1	1	1	3	0	3	3-4	75%	4-9	44%	2-4	50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	28.5	28	67%	5	11	3	1	2	2	1	4	7-8	88%	6-13	46%	3-6	50%
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 24	24.6	23	115%	11	2	0	1	2	3	1	10	3-3	100%	7-7	100%	2-2	100%
Cason Wallace #22 · SF · 6'3" 195 · 22	20.8	3	30%	1	2	0	0	1	3	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	19.6	8	80%	7	2	0	1	3	2	4	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-

Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	30.1	12	75%	6	5	1	0	2	2	1	5	2-3	67%	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	29.1	18	69%	1	1	0	0	3	4	0	1	7-7	100%	1-2	50%	3-9	33%
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 22	20.3	5	42%	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Brooks Barnhizer #23 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 24	15.6	4	50%	3	0	1	0	0	0	1	2	2-4	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 32	15.3	8	67%	2	3	5	0	3	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Chris Youngblood #3 · SG · 6'4" 221 · 24	5.4	0	0%	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Upper Trap; Strain
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Surgical Recovery
Jalen Williams #8 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Surgical Recovery
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgical Recovery
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgical Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	66%	40	29	12	4	19	21	10	30	26-31	84%	26-47	55%	16-36	44%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	OKC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.13 56.7%

OKC

1.33 66.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

68%

OKC

60%

Midrange

GSW

35%

OKC

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

19.5

37%

56%

OKC

24.0

44%

67%

Free Throws

GSW

79%

OKC

84%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Kuminga	13	65%	6.5 / 10
J. Butler	12	100%	6.0 / 6
P. Spencer	12	60%	6.0 / 10
S. Curry	11	39%	5.5 / 14
B. Podziemski	10	71%	5.0 / 7
M. Moody	10	71%	5.0 / 7
W. Richard	9	75%	4.5 / 6
Q. Post	6	50%	3.0 / 6
T. Jackson-Davis	6	50%	3.0 / 6
G. Santos	4	67%	2.0 / 3
B. Hield	4	50%	2.0 / 4
D. Green	3	38%	1.5 / 4
G. Payton	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	28	67%	14.0 / 21
C. Holmgren	23	115%	11.5 / 10
I. Joe	18	69%	9.0 / 13
A. Mitchell	17	61%	8.5 / 14
J. Williams	12	75%	6.0 / 8
I. Hartenstein	8	80%	4.0 / 5
A. Caruso	8	67%	4.0 / 6
O. Dieng	5	42%	2.5 / 6
B. Barnhizer	4	50%	2.0 / 4
C. Wallace	3	30%	1.5 / 5
C. Youngblood	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 114.0 7 117.6	GSW 101.0 OKC 126.0 +25.0
Pace	18 99.9 15 100.3	GSW 103.7 +6.4 OKC 97.3
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.7 20 14.1	GSW 13.9 −0.9 OKC 14.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.0% 4 56.1%	GSW 53.4% OKC 60.2% +6.8%
TO %	28 14.9% 1 11.8%	GSW 19.5% OKC 17.1% −2.4%
ORB %	14 25.8% 28 22.3%	GSW 16.7% OKC 27.8% +11.1%
FTrt	24 23.8 17 26.1	GSW 39.2 +1.9 OKC 37.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 70.6% 25 59.8%	GSW 69.7% +0.7% OKC 69.0%
STL %	3 9.6% 4 9.6%	GSW 15.8% +3.8% OKC 12.0%
BLK %	27 8.0% 2 11.0%	GSW 8.5% OKC 10.3% +1.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.1% 4 58.5%	GSW 56.7% OKC 66.3% +9.6%
Rim FG%	5 66.7% 11 65.2%	GSW 68.4% +8.4% OKC 60.0%
Mid FG%	22 42.1% 1 47.6%	GSW 35.0% OKC 47.1% +12.1%
3P %	20 35.6% 9 36.5%	GSW 37.1% OKC 44.4% +7.3%
FT %	6 80.7% 3 81.7%	GSW 79.3% OKC 83.9% +4.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 29.5% 16 31.3%	GSW 25.7% OKC 36.1% +10.5%
Mid Att. %	3 20.8% 15 26.1%	GSW 27.0% OKC 20.5% −6.5%
3P Att. %	1 49.7% 13 42.6%	GSW 47.3% +3.9% OKC 43.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	OKC
Possessions	101	100
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.7
Points	102	126
Rebounds	32	40
Assists	23	29
Steals	16	12
Blocks	4	4
Turnovers (Team)	20 (1)	19 (1)
Fouls	28	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (4)	10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (2)	30 (4)
Field Goals	33-74	42-83
At-the-Rim FG	13-19	18-30
Midrange FG	7-20	8-17
2-Point FG	20-39	26-47
3-Point FG	13-35	16-36
Free Throws	23-29	26-31
Fast Break Pts	17	14
2nd Chance Pts	9	16
Points in Paint	38	46
Pts off Turnovers	23	27
Bench Points	57	47
Biggest Lead	2	36

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg