Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, November 11, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Nuggets	76%	126	122	125.8	97	92.5
	24	Kings	24%	117	108	112.5	96	100.9

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+18

-12

103

SAC

+11

-10

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.20 59.8%

SAC

1.11 55.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

3 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	37.1	23	68%	3	8	0	0	3	2	0	3	5-5	100%	3-6	50%	4-9	44%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	32.8	35	88%	15	7	2	0	3	3	5	10	2-3	67%	15-17	88%	1-2	50%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	30.1	17	61%	7	3	0	0	2	2	4	3	5-7	71%	3-7	43%	2-4	50%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	29.7	12	75%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	22.3	5	36%	2	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-3	0%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	27.3	14	78%	7	1	2	0	0	1	2	5	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	2-3	67%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	24.1	6	38%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-6	33%
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	18.3	0	0%	3	0	1	1	1	6	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	15.2	10	45%	7	1	0	1	2	3	3	4	4-6	67%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	3.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	60%	48	24	6	2	12	19	15	33	21-27	78%	31-53	58%	13-33	39%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

3 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	37.1	23	68%	3	8	0	0	3	2	0	3	5-5	100%	3-6	50%	4-9	44%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	32.8	35	88%	15	7	2	0	3	3	5	10	2-3	67%	15-17	88%	1-2	50%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	30.1	17	61%	7	3	0	0	2	2	4	3	5-7	71%	3-7	43%	2-4	50%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	29.7	12	75%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	22.3	5	36%	2	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-3	0%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	27.3	14	78%	7	1	2	0	0	1	2	5	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	2-3	67%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	24.1	6	38%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-6	33%
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	18.3	0	0%	3	0	1	1	1	6	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	15.2	10	45%	7	1	0	1	2	3	3	4	4-6	67%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	3.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	60%	48	24	6	2	12	19	15	33	21-27	78%	31-53	58%	13-33	39%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

24 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	34.5	12	46%	4	3	0	0	1	2	0	4	0-2	0%	3-6	50%	2-6	33%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	31.0	18	56%	1	2	1	1	0	2	1	0	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	2-6	33%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	25.6	19	68%	8	4	0	0	0	6	2	6	2-4	50%	7-9	78%	1-3	33%
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	20.8	0	0%	0	3	0	0	3	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 26	18.0	6	60%	3	3	1	0	1	1	2	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-2	0%

Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	31.0	14	47%	8	11	0	0	2	2	2	6	7-7	100%	2-5	40%	1-7	14%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	28.5	12	50%	1	2	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	3-7	43%	2-5	40%
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	22.3	19	79%	7	1	0	0	1	5	2	5	3-6	50%	8-9	89%	0-0	-
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	14.3	3	150%	0	0	1	2	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	13.9	5	50%	3	2	0	0	1	2	0	3	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #20 · C · 6'10" 225 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; UCL Injury Recovery
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	56%	35	31	4	3	10	23	9	26	16-23	70%	31-52	60%	10-33	30%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	SAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.20 59.8%

SAC

1.11 55.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

63%

SAC

76%

Midrange

DEN

56%

SAC

51%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

19.5

39%

59%

SAC

15.0

30%

45%

Free Throws

DEN

78%

SAC

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	35	88%	17.5 / 20
J. Murray	23	68%	11.5 / 17
A. Gordon	17	61%	8.5 / 14
B. Brown	14	78%	7.0 / 9
C. Braun	12	75%	6.0 / 8
J. Valančiūnas	10	45%	5.0 / 11
T. Hardaway	6	38%	3.0 / 8
C. Johnson	5	36%	2.5 / 7
P. Watson	0	-	0.0 / 3
J. Strawther	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Sabonis	19	68%	9.5 / 14
D. Eubanks	19	79%	9.5 / 12
D. DeRozan	18	56%	9.0 / 16
R. Westbrook	14	47%	7.0 / 15
Z. LaVine	12	46%	6.0 / 13
M. Monk	12	50%	6.0 / 12
P. Achiuwa	6	60%	3.0 / 5
N. Clifford	5	50%	2.5 / 5
K. Ellis	3	150%	1.5 / 1
D. Schröder	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	1 121.3 26 110.6	DEN 125.8 +13.3 SAC 112.5
Pace	19 99.4 17 100.0	DEN 92.5 SAC 100.9 +8.4
Avg. Poss. Time	9 14.7 14 14.5	DEN 15.6 SAC 14.3 −1.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.7% 29 52.5%	DEN 58.7% +4.6% SAC 54.1%
TO %	3 12.1% 15 13.7%	DEN 11.7% SAC 9.5% −2.2%
ORB %	24 23.6% 13 25.9%	DEN 36.6% +15.2% SAC 21.4%
FTrt	4 29.4 19 25.6	DEN 31.4 +4.3 SAC 27.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 66.5% 20 61.5%	DEN 54.5% SAC 75.6% +21.1%
STL %	30 6.8% 21 8.0%	DEN 6.2% +2.0% SAC 4.2%
BLK %	29 7.6% 19 8.6%	DEN 3.8% SAC 5.7% +1.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 60.1% 29 54.7%	DEN 59.8% +4.1% SAC 55.7%
Rim FG%	12 65.1% 8 65.9%	DEN 63.2% SAC 76.5% +13.3%
Mid FG%	2 47.0% 13 43.8%	DEN 55.9% +4.5% SAC 51.4%
3P %	1 39.6% 29 34.1%	DEN 39.4% +9.1% SAC 30.3%
FT %	5 80.8% 21 77.2%	DEN 77.8% +8.2% SAC 69.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 31.1% 28 28.0%	DEN 22.1% +2.1% SAC 20.0%
Mid Att. %	21 28.1% 30 38.1%	DEN 39.5% −1.6% SAC 41.2%
3P Att. %	17 40.8% 30 33.9%	DEN 38.4% SAC 38.8% +0.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Game Totals	DEN	SAC
Possessions	97	96
Possession Minutes	25.2	22.8
Points	122	108
Rebounds	48	35
Assists	24	31
Steals	6	4
Blocks	2	3
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	10 (0)
Fouls	19	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (3)	9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (2)	26 (2)
Field Goals	44-86	41-85
At-the-Rim FG	12-19	13-17
Midrange FG	19-34	18-35
2-Point FG	31-53	31-52
3-Point FG	13-33	10-33
Free Throws	21-27	16-23
Fast Break Pts	11	18
2nd Chance Pts	23	13
Points in Paint	52	50
Pts off Turnovers	12	16
Bench Points	30	53
Biggest Lead	17	3

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg