Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Cavaliers	48%	118	130	119.3	109	99.6
	15	Heat	52%	119	116	107.4	108	119.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	28.4	21	70%	6	2	2	0	3	1	1	5	4-5	80%	7-8	88%	1-5	20%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	27.4	30	63%	10	2	0	0	1	0	2	8	6-7	86%	12-19	63%	0-1	0%
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 29	26.2	8	57%	3	2	1	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29	20.6	5	23%	0	3	1	1	0	3	0	0	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-8	13%
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 28	20.5	15	94%	2	8	1	1	3	1	2	0	3-3	100%	0-1	0%	4-7	57%

Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	32.2	19	73%	4	9	3	4	2	2	2	2	2-3	67%	4-9	44%	3-3	100%
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	22.7	12	38%	2	2	0	0	0	4	0	2	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	2-8	25%
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	19.4	3	50%	5	2	2	0	1	4	1	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	17.6	9	45%	6	2	2	1	1	4	4	2	5-6	83%	2-3	67%	0-4	0%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	12.8	4	50%	7	0	0	1	0	1	2	5	0-1	0%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Luke Travers #33 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 24	12.1	4	33%	4	0	1	2	0	1	1	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Chris Livingston #8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Head; Concussion
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Injury Management
Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery - Jones Fracture
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 24	Inactive – Rest
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 29	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	54%	49	32	13	10	12	21	15	34	26-31	84%	31-57	54%	14-47	30%

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18 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	28.4	21	70%	6	2	2	0	3	1	1	5	4-5	80%	7-8	88%	1-5	20%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	27.4	30	63%	10	2	0	0	1	0	2	8	6-7	86%	12-19	63%	0-1	0%
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 29	26.2	8	57%	3	2	1	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29	20.6	5	23%	0	3	1	1	0	3	0	0	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-8	13%
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 28	20.5	15	94%	2	8	1	1	3	1	2	0	3-3	100%	0-1	0%	4-7	57%

Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	32.2	19	73%	4	9	3	4	2	2	2	2	2-3	67%	4-9	44%	3-3	100%
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	22.7	12	38%	2	2	0	0	0	4	0	2	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	2-8	25%
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	19.4	3	50%	5	2	2	0	1	4	1	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	17.6	9	45%	6	2	2	1	1	4	4	2	5-6	83%	2-3	67%	0-4	0%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	12.8	4	50%	7	0	0	1	0	1	2	5	0-1	0%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Luke Travers #33 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 24	12.1	4	33%	4	0	1	2	0	1	1	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Chris Livingston #8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Head; Concussion
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Injury Management
Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery - Jones Fracture
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 24	Inactive – Rest
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 29	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	54%	49	32	13	10	12	21	15	34	26-31	84%	31-57	54%	14-47	30%

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15 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 27	33.9	16	62%	3	4	1	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	5-9	56%	2-4	50%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	33.2	17	61%	9	6	0	2	5	3	2	7	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	2-5	40%
Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 32	32.5	27	75%	2	5	0	0	3	3	0	2	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	5-10	50%
Kel'el Ware #7 · C · 7'0" 250 · 22	27.7	15	94%	13	1	1	1	1	3	4	9	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	1-1	100%
Pelle Larsson #9 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	27.4	9	64%	0	4	0	1	3	3	0	0	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	2-3	67%

Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 25	29.9	11	34%	3	4	0	0	1	4	0	3	3-3	100%	4-11	36%	0-4	0%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	22.1	2	17%	4	3	2	2	4	1	0	4	0-1	0%	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Simone Fontecchio #0 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 30	19.2	13	81%	4	0	1	0	2	4	0	4	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	3-5	60%
Dru Smith #12 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 28	14.1	6	38%	6	2	1	0	1	5	3	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
Kasparas Jakučionis #25 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 19	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keshad Johnson #16 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vladislav Goldin #50 · C · 7'0" 255 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Myron Gardner #15 · SF · 6'5" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jahmir Young #17 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Big Toe; Sprain
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 32	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	58%	44	29	6	6	21	29	9	35	11-13	85%	30-57	53%	15-37	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.08 54.2%

MIA

1.16 58.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CLE

13

20

65%

MIA

10

17

59%

Midrange

CLE

18

37

49%

MIA

20

40

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CLE

14

21.0

47

30%

45%

MIA

15

22.5

37

41%

61%

Free Throws

CLE

26

31

84%

MIA

11

13

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Allen	30	63%	15.0 / 24
D. Hunter	21	70%	10.5 / 15
C. Porter	19	73%	9.5 / 13
L. Ball	15	94%	7.5 / 8
T. Proctor	12	38%	6.0 / 16
N. Tomlin	9	45%	4.5 / 10
D. Wade	8	57%	4.0 / 7
S. Merrill	5	23%	2.5 / 11
T. Bryant	4	50%	2.0 / 4
L. Travers	4	33%	2.0 / 6
L. Nance	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Powell	27	75%	13.5 / 18
A. Wiggins	17	61%	8.5 / 14
D. Mitchell	16	62%	8.0 / 13
K. Ware	15	94%	7.5 / 8
S. Fontecchio	13	81%	6.5 / 8
J. Jaquez	11	34%	5.5 / 16
P. Larsson	9	64%	4.5 / 7
D. Smith	6	38%	3.0 / 8
N. Jović	2	17%	1.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 118.3 12 115.8	CLE 119.3 +11.9 MIA 107.4
Pace	12 100.6 1 104.3	CLE 99.6 MIA 119.2 +19.7
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.1 30 13.1	CLE 14.5 MIA 12.1 −2.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 56.1% 18 54.2%	CLE 50.0% MIA 55.9% +5.9%
TO %	10 13.2% 5 12.6%	CLE 10.0% −7.4% MIA 17.4%
ORB %	9 26.9% 17 25.4%	CLE 30.0% +9.1% MIA 20.9%
FTrt	15 26.5 14 26.8	CLE 29.8 +16.0 MIA 13.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 65.3% 10 66.3%	CLE 71.1% +6.7% MIA 64.4%
STL %	15 8.4% 17 8.3%	CLE 11.9% +6.3% MIA 5.6%
BLK %	11 9.8% 28 7.9%	CLE 17.5% +7.0% MIA 10.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 58.2% 15 56.8%	CLE 54.2% MIA 58.0% +3.8%
Rim FG%	7 66.1% 20 63.6%	CLE 65.0% +6.2% MIA 58.8%
Mid FG%	3 46.8% 21 42.4%	CLE 48.6% MIA 50.0% +1.4%
3P %	13 36.0% 11 36.1%	CLE 29.8% MIA 40.5% +10.7%
FT %	19 77.6% 11 79.2%	CLE 83.9% MIA 84.6% +0.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 31.7% 11 32.9%	CLE 19.2% +1.1% MIA 18.1%
Mid Att. %	8 24.1% 17 26.5%	CLE 35.6% −7.0% MIA 42.6%
3P Att. %	9 44.2% 18 40.6%	CLE 45.2% +5.8% MIA 39.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CLE	MIA
Possessions	109	108
Possession Minutes	26.3	21.7
Points	130	116
Rebounds	49	44
Assists	32	29
Steals	13	6
Blocks	10	6
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	21 (0)
Fouls	21	29
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (8)	9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (3)	35 (4)
Field Goals	45-104	45-94
At-the-Rim FG	13-20	10-17
Midrange FG	18-37	20-40
2-Point FG	31-57	30-57
3-Point FG	14-47	15-37
Free Throws	26-31	11-13
Fast Break Pts	9	16
2nd Chance Pts	26	12
Points in Paint	58	56
Pts off Turnovers	29	16
Bench Points	51	32
Biggest Lead	18	14

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg