Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, November 12, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Hawks	69%	118	133	122.0	109	111.4
	24	Kings	31%	112	100	92.6	108	105.7

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+11

-19

101

SAC

+13

-18

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.33 66.5%

SAC

0.97 48.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 23	27.0	5	25%	6	8	2	0	2	0	1	5	1-2	50%	2-7	29%	0-2	0%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 24	23.8	24	100%	10	8	1	0	1	2	0	10	4-4	100%	7-7	100%	2-3	67%
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 30	23.3	13	50%	4	6	0	2	1	2	1	3	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	2-5	40%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	22.2	15	94%	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	3	0-1	0%	6-6	100%	1-2	50%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 27	21.7	14	58%	6	4	0	2	4	1	1	5	3-3	100%	4-7	57%	1-4	25%

Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	23.3	4	50%	2	4	4	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 25	20.9	11	92%	3	4	0	0	0	4	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Luke Kennard #3 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	20.8	13	81%	3	2	2	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-6	50%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	20.6	21	95%	3	2	1	0	3	3	1	2	7-8	88%	4-4	100%	2-3	67%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 23	20.4	2	25%	3	2	2	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	8.1	6	60%	1	1	1	0	2	3	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	7.8	5	125%	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-1	100%
N'Faly Dante #12 · C · 6'11" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Eli John Ndiaye #30 · PF · 6'8" 209 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jacob Toppin #0 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee MCL Sprain
Nikola Đurišić #22 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	67%	45	42	14	6	19	20	7	38	18-22	82%	32-45	71%	17-40	43%

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14 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 23	27.0	5	25%	6	8	2	0	2	0	1	5	1-2	50%	2-7	29%	0-2	0%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 24	23.8	24	100%	10	8	1	0	1	2	0	10	4-4	100%	7-7	100%	2-3	67%
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 30	23.3	13	50%	4	6	0	2	1	2	1	3	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	2-5	40%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	22.2	15	94%	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	3	0-1	0%	6-6	100%	1-2	50%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 27	21.7	14	58%	6	4	0	2	4	1	1	5	3-3	100%	4-7	57%	1-4	25%

Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	23.3	4	50%	2	4	4	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 25	20.9	11	92%	3	4	0	0	0	4	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Luke Kennard #3 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	20.8	13	81%	3	2	2	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-6	50%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	20.6	21	95%	3	2	1	0	3	3	1	2	7-8	88%	4-4	100%	2-3	67%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 23	20.4	2	25%	3	2	2	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	8.1	6	60%	1	1	1	0	2	3	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	7.8	5	125%	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-1	100%
N'Faly Dante #12 · C · 6'11" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Eli John Ndiaye #30 · PF · 6'8" 209 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jacob Toppin #0 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee MCL Sprain
Nikola Đurišić #22 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	67%	45	42	14	6	19	20	7	38	18-22	82%	32-45	71%	17-40	43%

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24 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	26.4	12	55%	5	2	2	0	4	2	0	5	4-4	100%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	25.9	9	50%	3	4	1	0	1	0	1	2	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	2-3	67%
Russell Westbrook #18 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 37	22.4	10	42%	2	3	0	0	3	2	0	2	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	1-5	20%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 26	20.0	10	63%	5	2	0	0	0	0	2	3	2-4	50%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	19.2	4	29%	2	2	1	0	2	1	1	1	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	0-1	0%

Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	30.6	9	38%	4	4	0	0	1	4	1	3	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-5	20%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	30.6	20	71%	0	1	2	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	6-11	55%
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	21.8	11	46%	6	3	1	0	2	4	1	5	1-1	100%	2-6	33%	2-6	33%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	14.8	7	58%	4	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	14.0	2	20%	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	7.8	6	100%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	6.7	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Dario Šarić #20 · C · 6'10" 225 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	Inactive - Coaches Decision \| Right Thight Contusion
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	Inactive - Coaches Decision \| Left Ankle Soreness
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; UCL Injury Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	49%	35	22	7	1	18	19	9	26	14-18	78%	22-53	42%	14-39	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	SAC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.33 66.5%

SAC

0.97 48.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

72%

SAC

75%

Midrange

ATL

70%

SAC

21%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

25.5

43%

64%

SAC

21.0

36%

54%

Free Throws

ATL

82%

SAC

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Johnson	24	100%	12.0 / 12
O. Okongwu	21	95%	10.5 / 11
Z. Risacher	15	94%	7.5 / 8
N. Alexander-Walker	14	58%	7.0 / 12
K. Porziņģis	13	50%	6.5 / 13
L. Kennard	13	81%	6.5 / 8
V. Krejčí	11	92%	5.5 / 6
C. Houstan	6	60%	3.0 / 5
D. Daniels	5	25%	2.5 / 10
A. Newell	5	125%	2.5 / 2
K. Wallace	4	50%	2.0 / 4
M. Gueye	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Ellis	20	71%	10.0 / 14
D. Sabonis	12	55%	6.0 / 11
D. Carter	11	46%	5.5 / 12
R. Westbrook	10	42%	5.0 / 12
P. Achiuwa	10	63%	5.0 / 8
D. Schröder	9	50%	4.5 / 9
N. Clifford	9	38%	4.5 / 12
M. Raynaud	7	58%	3.5 / 6
D. McDermott	6	100%	3.0 / 3
D. DeRozan	4	29%	2.0 / 7
D. Plowden	2	20%	1.0 / 5
D. Eubanks	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	14 115.1 26 110.6	ATL 122.0 +29.4 SAC 92.6
Pace	4 102.5 17 100.0	ATL 111.4 +5.7 SAC 105.7
Avg. Poss. Time	29 13.5 14 14.5	ATL 12.9 −0.7 SAC 13.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.4% 29 52.5%	ATL 67.6% +20.9% SAC 46.7%
TO %	8 13.0% 15 13.7%	ATL 18.2% SAC 16.7% −1.5%
ORB %	20 24.3% 13 25.9%	ATL 21.2% +2.1% SAC 19.1%
FTrt	27 23.4 19 25.6	ATL 25.9 +6.3 SAC 19.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 69.1% 20 61.5%	ATL 85.7% +24.6% SAC 61.1%
STL %	6 9.1% 21 8.0%	ATL 12.8% +6.3% SAC 6.5%
BLK %	18 8.8% 19 8.6%	ATL 11.3% +9.1% SAC 2.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 56.9% 29 54.7%	ATL 66.5% +18.0% SAC 48.5%
Rim FG%	21 63.3% 8 65.9%	ATL 72.2% SAC 75.0% +2.8%
Mid FG%	6 44.6% 13 43.8%	ATL 70.4% +49.2% SAC 21.2%
3P %	5 37.1% 29 34.1%	ATL 42.5% +6.6% SAC 35.9%
FT %	20 77.4% 21 77.2%	ATL 81.8% +4.0% SAC 77.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	13 32.1% 28 28.0%	ATL 21.2% SAC 21.7% +0.6%
Mid Att. %	9 25.0% 30 38.1%	ATL 31.8% −4.1% SAC 35.9%
3P Att. %	11 42.9% 30 33.9%	ATL 47.1% +4.7% SAC 42.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.66 and 2.66.

Game Totals	ATL	SAC
Possessions	109	108
Possession Minutes	23.5	24.5
Points	133	100
Rebounds	45	35
Assists	42	22
Steals	14	7
Blocks	6	1
Turnovers (Team)	19 (2)	18 (2)
Fouls	20	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (4)	9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (5)	26 (2)
Field Goals	49-85	36-92
At-the-Rim FG	13-18	15-20
Midrange FG	19-27	7-33
2-Point FG	32-45	22-53
3-Point FG	17-40	14-39
Free Throws	18-22	14-18
Fast Break Pts	33	8
2nd Chance Pts	5	14
Points in Paint	56	44
Pts off Turnovers	20	17
Bench Points	62	55
Biggest Lead	44	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg