Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, November 12, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Nuggets	54%	114	130	134.0	97	96.0
	11	Clippers	46%	113	116	118.4	98	99.1

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+16

-11

102

LAC

+12

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.27 63.7%

LAC

1.21 60.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

3 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	33.6	55	92%	12	6	1	1	2	1	2	10	14-16	88%	13-17	76%	5-6	83%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	32.8	15	44%	5	4	4	0	3	0	1	4	4-4	100%	4-11	36%	1-5	20%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	30.8	18	64%	5	0	1	0	1	0	2	3	4-4	100%	4-6	67%	2-6	33%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	16.1	6	100%	4	4	0	0	1	1	2	2	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Cameron Johnson #23 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	7.8	2	33%	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	27.9	2	25%	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	22.1	2	20%	2	1	0	1	0	1	1	1	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	20.7	12	75%	1	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	3-3	100%	0-2	0%	3-5	60%
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	15.4	3	150%	0	1	1	0	0	5	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	11.3	4	40%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	10.9	8	67%	3	1	0	1	1	1	1	2	2-4	50%	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	3.5	3	150%	1	1	0	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	3.5	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	3.5	0	0%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	64%	42	22	9	3	11	14	11	31	29-35	83%	31-50	62%	13-34	38%

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3 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	33.6	55	92%	12	6	1	1	2	1	2	10	14-16	88%	13-17	76%	5-6	83%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	32.8	15	44%	5	4	4	0	3	0	1	4	4-4	100%	4-11	36%	1-5	20%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	30.8	18	64%	5	0	1	0	1	0	2	3	4-4	100%	4-6	67%	2-6	33%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	16.1	6	100%	4	4	0	0	1	1	2	2	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Cameron Johnson #23 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	7.8	2	33%	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	27.9	2	25%	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	22.1	2	20%	2	1	0	1	0	1	1	1	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	20.7	12	75%	1	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	3-3	100%	0-2	0%	3-5	60%
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	15.4	3	150%	0	1	1	0	0	5	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	11.3	4	40%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	10.9	8	67%	3	1	0	1	1	1	1	2	2-4	50%	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	3.5	3	150%	1	1	0	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	3.5	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	3.5	0	0%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	64%	42	22	9	3	11	14	11	31	29-35	83%	31-50	62%	13-34	38%

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11 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	31.6	18	64%	9	1	0	2	2	2	6	3	0-0	-	9-14	64%	0-0	-
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 36	29.8	23	57%	8	5	0	0	2	0	0	8	10-10	100%	5-9	56%	1-6	17%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 28	20.7	2	17%	4	0	0	2	2	3	1	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-1	0%
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 29	19.6	8	50%	4	4	1	2	2	2	2	2	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-3	0%
Kris Dunn #8 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 32	15.5	3	38%	0	2	1	0	1	5	0	0	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-

Jordan Miller #22 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 26	26.4	22	85%	4	1	1	0	0	0	1	3	5-6	83%	1-3	33%	5-7	71%
Kobe Sanders #4 · SG · 6'8" 207 · 23	24.7	9	64%	1	3	0	0	1	6	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-7	43%
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 37	22.1	6	100%	2	3	1	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Bogdan Bogdanović #10 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 33	20.2	11	69%	0	6	0	0	2	5	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-5	60%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 38	15.9	10	71%	1	1	0	1	1	4	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Kobe Brown #24 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 26	7.4	2	50%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	6.1	2	100%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 41	DNP – Coach's Decision
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser #14 · C · 6'11" 242 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jahmyl Telfort #19 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bradley Beal #0 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Soreness
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	60%	36	28	4	7	14	30	11	25	18-19	95%	25-47	53%	16-37	43%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAC
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.27 63.7%

LAC

1.21 60.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

63%

LAC

61%

Midrange

DEN

61%

LAC

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

19.5

38%

57%

LAC

24.0

43%

65%

Free Throws

DEN

83%

LAC

95%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	55	92%	27.5 / 30
A. Gordon	18	64%	9.0 / 14
J. Murray	15	44%	7.5 / 17
T. Hardaway	12	75%	6.0 / 8
J. Valančiūnas	8	67%	4.0 / 6
C. Braun	6	100%	3.0 / 3
J. Strawther	4	40%	2.0 / 5
S. Jones	3	150%	1.5 / 1
J. Pickett	3	150%	1.5 / 1
C. Johnson	2	33%	1.0 / 3
B. Brown	2	25%	1.0 / 4
P. Watson	2	20%	1.0 / 5
H. Tyson	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Harden	23	57%	11.5 / 20
J. Miller	22	85%	11.0 / 13
I. Zubac	18	64%	9.0 / 14
B. Bogdanović	11	69%	5.5 / 8
B. Lopez	10	71%	5.0 / 7
K. Sanders	9	64%	4.5 / 7
D. Jones	8	50%	4.0 / 8
N. Batum	6	100%	3.0 / 3
K. Dunn	3	38%	1.5 / 4
J. Collins	2	17%	1.0 / 6
K. Brown	2	50%	1.0 / 2
C. Christie	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	1 121.3 11 116.4	DEN 134.0 +15.7 LAC 118.4
Pace	19 99.4 28 97.3	DEN 96.0 LAC 99.1 +3.1
Avg. Poss. Time	9 14.7 5 15.0	DEN 15.0 LAC 14.5 −0.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.7% 8 55.9%	DEN 60.1% +1.8% LAC 58.3%
TO %	3 12.1% 17 13.9%	DEN 10.8% −3.2% LAC 14.0%
ORB %	24 23.6% 23 23.7%	DEN 30.6% +4.4% LAC 26.2%
FTrt	4 29.4 3 29.5	DEN 41.7 +19.1 LAC 22.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 66.5% 29 58.6%	DEN 50.0% LAC 68.3% +18.3%
STL %	30 6.8% 5 9.2%	DEN 9.3% +5.2% LAC 4.1%
BLK %	29 7.6% 13 9.5%	DEN 6.4% LAC 14.0% +7.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 60.1% 3 58.7%	DEN 63.7% +3.3% LAC 60.4%
Rim FG%	12 65.1% 3 67.1%	DEN 62.5% +1.8% LAC 60.7%
Mid FG%	2 47.0% 10 44.2%	DEN 61.1% +19.0% LAC 42.1%
3P %	1 39.6% 7 36.8%	DEN 38.2% LAC 43.2% +5.0%
FT %	5 80.8% 1 82.3%	DEN 82.9% LAC 94.7% +11.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 31.1% 15 31.6%	DEN 38.1% +4.8% LAC 33.3%
Mid Att. %	21 28.1% 20 27.9%	DEN 21.4% −1.2% LAC 22.6%
3P Att. %	17 40.8% 19 40.4%	DEN 40.5% LAC 44.0% +3.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Game Totals	DEN	LAC
Possessions	97	98
Possession Minutes	24.3	23.7
Points	130	116
Rebounds	42	36
Assists	22	28
Steals	9	4
Blocks	3	7
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	14 (1)
Fouls	14	30
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (5)	11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (1)	25 (1)
Field Goals	44-84	41-84
At-the-Rim FG	20-32	17-28
Midrange FG	11-18	8-19
2-Point FG	31-50	25-47
3-Point FG	13-34	16-37
Free Throws	29-35	18-19
Fast Break Pts	13	4
2nd Chance Pts	20	8
Points in Paint	54	48
Pts off Turnovers	16	14
Bench Points	34	62
Biggest Lead	22	10

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg