Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, November 16, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Kings	32%	117	110	108.9	101	106.6
	17	Spurs	68%	123	123	120.6	102	96.9

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

-12

SAS

+12

-14

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.12 56.1%

SAS

1.26 62.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

25 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 36	39.1	27	90%	2	4	2	0	1	4	1	1	2-2	100%	11-14	79%	1-1	100%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	36.2	17	53%	13	5	3	0	3	3	3	10	3-4	75%	7-13	54%	0-1	0%
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	34.7	14	50%	9	7	2	0	5	2	1	8	3-6	50%	1-5	20%	3-6	50%
Zach LaVine #8 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 31	24.6	8	67%	2	3	1	0	2	2	0	2	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	14.8	2	33%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%

Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	35.2	22	85%	6	5	1	0	0	3	0	6	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	5-8	63%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	28.1	16	42%	2	1	1	0	1	1	0	2	4-4	100%	3-10	30%	2-7	29%
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	11.8	2	50%	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	10.9	1	13%	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · C · 6'8" 243 · 26	4.6	1	17%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #20 · C · 6'10" 225 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; UCL Injury Recovery
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	56%	37	25	10	3	12	17	5	32	16-22	73%	29-54	54%	12-33	36%

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25 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 36	39.1	27	90%	2	4	2	0	1	4	1	1	2-2	100%	11-14	79%	1-1	100%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	36.2	17	53%	13	5	3	0	3	3	3	10	3-4	75%	7-13	54%	0-1	0%
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	34.7	14	50%	9	7	2	0	5	2	1	8	3-6	50%	1-5	20%	3-6	50%
Zach LaVine #8 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 31	24.6	8	67%	2	3	1	0	2	2	0	2	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	14.8	2	33%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%

Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	35.2	22	85%	6	5	1	0	0	3	0	6	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	5-8	63%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	28.1	16	42%	2	1	1	0	1	1	0	2	4-4	100%	3-10	30%	2-7	29%
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	11.8	2	50%	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	10.9	1	13%	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · C · 6'8" 243 · 26	4.6	1	17%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #20 · C · 6'10" 225 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; UCL Injury Recovery
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	56%	37	25	10	3	12	17	5	32	16-22	73%	29-54	54%	12-33	36%

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17 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 28	34.6	28	67%	2	11	1	0	2	1	0	2	2-2	100%	7-12	58%	4-8	50%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 25	33.9	16	50%	3	7	2	0	1	1	0	3	4-4	100%	6-10	60%	0-4	0%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	30.2	20	77%	2	3	2	0	0	0	0	2	3-4	75%	4-5	80%	3-6	50%
Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 30	27.6	13	93%	11	1	0	3	2	2	4	7	3-4	75%	5-5	100%	0-0	-
Stephon Castle #5 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 21	15.6	4	40%	0	5	1	0	3	2	0	0	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	1-2	50%

Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	26.1	12	67%	2	0	1	0	1	1	0	2	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	3-7	43%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	22.8	14	64%	12	1	0	0	0	3	2	10	0-0	-	7-7	100%	0-4	0%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	22.2	11	110%	5	2	0	0	2	4	1	4	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	2-3	67%
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 35	18.4	5	50%	6	8	0	0	2	2	2	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-1	100%
Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	6.6	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	1.9	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan McLaughlin #0 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
David Jones Garcia #25 · SF · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Tightness
Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	63%	46	38	7	4	14	17	9	37	15-18	83%	33-49	67%	14-38	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.12 56.1%

SAS

1.26 62.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

57%

SAS

75%

Midrange

SAC

50%

SAS

53%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

18.0

36%

55%

SAS

21.0

37%

55%

Free Throws

SAC

73%

SAS

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	27	90%	13.5 / 15
D. Schröder	22	85%	11.0 / 13
D. Sabonis	17	53%	8.5 / 16
M. Monk	16	42%	8.0 / 19
R. Westbrook	14	50%	7.0 / 14
Z. LaVine	8	67%	4.0 / 6
K. Ellis	2	33%	1.0 / 3
D. Eubanks	2	50%	1.0 / 2
N. Clifford	1	13%	0.5 / 4
P. Achiuwa	1	17%	0.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Fox	28	67%	14.0 / 21
H. Barnes	20	77%	10.0 / 13
D. Vassell	16	50%	8.0 / 16
K. Johnson	14	64%	7.0 / 11
L. Kornet	13	93%	6.5 / 7
J. Champagnie	12	67%	6.0 / 9
J. Sochan	11	110%	5.5 / 5
K. Olynyk	5	50%	2.5 / 5
S. Castle	4	40%	2.0 / 5
C. Bryant	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 110.6 3 118.9	SAC 108.9 SAS 120.6 +11.7
Pace	17 100.0 13 100.5	SAC 106.6 +9.8 SAS 96.9
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.5 18 14.2	SAC 13.5 −1.4 SAS 14.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 52.5% 7 55.9%	SAC 54.0% SAS 62.1% +8.1%
TO %	15 13.7% 4 12.5%	SAC 11.0% −2.6% SAS 13.6%
ORB %	13 25.9% 10 26.2%	SAC 11.9% SAS 22.0% +10.1%
FTrt	19 25.6 12 27.3	SAC 25.3 +4.6 SAS 20.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 61.5% 13 64.6%	SAC 61.0% SAS 80.9% +19.9%
STL %	21 8.0% 24 7.5%	SAC 9.9% +3.0% SAS 6.9%
BLK %	19 8.6% 10 10.0%	SAC 6.1% SAS 7.4% +1.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 54.7% 6 58.1%	SAC 56.1% SAS 62.8% +6.7%
Rim FG%	8 65.9% 9 65.8%	SAC 57.1% SAS 75.0% +17.9%
Mid FG%	13 43.8% 5 45.1%	SAC 50.0% SAS 52.9% +2.9%
3P %	29 34.1% 15 35.9%	SAC 36.4% SAS 36.8% +0.4%
FT %	21 77.2% 12 78.7%	SAC 72.7% SAS 83.3% +10.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 28.0% 7 34.4%	SAC 32.2% SAS 36.8% +4.6%
Mid Att. %	30 38.1% 7 23.4%	SAC 29.9% SAS 19.5% −10.3%
3P Att. %	30 33.9% 15 42.2%	SAC 37.9% SAS 43.7% +5.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.66 and 2.66.

Game Totals	SAC	SAS
Possessions	101	102
Possession Minutes	22.7	25.3
Points	110	123
Rebounds	37	46
Assists	25	38
Steals	10	7
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	14 (1)
Fouls	17	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (3)	9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (1)	37 (3)
Field Goals	41-87	47-87
At-the-Rim FG	16-28	24-32
Midrange FG	13-26	9-17
2-Point FG	29-54	33-49
3-Point FG	12-33	14-38
Free Throws	16-22	15-18
Fast Break Pts	9	15
2nd Chance Pts	6	11
Points in Paint	44	58
Pts off Turnovers	16	15
Bench Points	42	42
Biggest Lead	2	19

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg