Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Warriors	29%	112	96	90.6	106	97.1
	12	Heat	71%	119	110	103.8	106	116.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 23	35.7	9	35%	6	4	1	1	3	3	1	5	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-6	17%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 23	34.5	20	45%	8	2	0	0	3	2	2	6	6-7	86%	4-12	33%	2-7	29%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	24.9	8	80%	11	0	0	1	1	1	6	5	4-7	57%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 23	18.4	4	25%	6	0	0	1	2	2	3	3	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	1-6	17%
Will Richard #3 · SF · 6'3" 206 · 23	18.1	0	0%	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%

Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 29	32.1	11	42%	8	13	2	0	2	4	5	3	0-0	-	4-9	44%	1-4	25%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	30.8	18	45%	6	3	2	0	4	4	0	6	0-0	-	3-5	60%	4-15	27%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	26.3	19	73%	6	2	1	0	5	1	0	6	0-0	-	5-6	83%	3-7	43%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	19.1	7	58%	7	0	2	2	0	2	1	6	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Jackson Rowe #44 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jonathan Kuminga #1 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Knee; Patellar Tendonitis
Alex Toohey #22 · PF · 6'8" 223 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Soreness
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left ACL; Surgery
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 39	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Injury Management
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Low Back; Strain
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| General; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	45%	61	24	8	5	21	20	19	42	15-20	75%	21-45	47%	13-49	27%

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20 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 23	35.7	9	35%	6	4	1	1	3	3	1	5	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-6	17%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 23	34.5	20	45%	8	2	0	0	3	2	2	6	6-7	86%	4-12	33%	2-7	29%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	24.9	8	80%	11	0	0	1	1	1	6	5	4-7	57%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 23	18.4	4	25%	6	0	0	1	2	2	3	3	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	1-6	17%
Will Richard #3 · SF · 6'3" 206 · 23	18.1	0	0%	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%

Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 29	32.1	11	42%	8	13	2	0	2	4	5	3	0-0	-	4-9	44%	1-4	25%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	30.8	18	45%	6	3	2	0	4	4	0	6	0-0	-	3-5	60%	4-15	27%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	26.3	19	73%	6	2	1	0	5	1	0	6	0-0	-	5-6	83%	3-7	43%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	19.1	7	58%	7	0	2	2	0	2	1	6	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Jackson Rowe #44 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jonathan Kuminga #1 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Knee; Patellar Tendonitis
Alex Toohey #22 · PF · 6'8" 223 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Soreness
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left ACL; Surgery
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 39	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Injury Management
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Low Back; Strain
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| General; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	45%	61	24	8	5	21	20	19	42	15-20	75%	21-45	47%	13-49	27%

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12 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	34.4	17	50%	6	1	2	1	1	4	1	5	1-2	50%	5-12	42%	2-4	50%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 28	28.8	20	71%	7	3	1	2	1	1	1	6	3-3	100%	4-9	44%	3-4	75%
Pelle Larsson #9 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	28.3	10	38%	3	4	1	0	2	3	1	2	3-4	75%	2-7	29%	1-4	25%
Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 32	28.3	25	89%	6	3	1	0	1	3	0	6	1-1	100%	6-7	86%	4-7	57%
Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 27	24.3	5	50%	1	6	0	0	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-1	100%

Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 25	34.4	12	43%	5	7	2	0	2	2	4	1	4-5	80%	4-10	40%	0-2	0%
Dru Smith #12 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 28	23.7	4	29%	4	4	2	0	2	0	2	2	2-4	50%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Kel'el Ware #7 · C · 7'0" 250 · 22	19.2	7	32%	16	0	0	0	1	0	4	12	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	0-3	0%
Simone Fontecchio #0 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 30	18.5	10	42%	4	2	1	0	4	0	1	3	4-5	80%	0-2	0%	2-8	25%
Keshad Johnson #16 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vladislav Goldin #50 · C · 7'0" 255 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jahmir Young #17 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Impingement
Kasparas Jakučionis #25 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 19	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Myron Gardner #15 · SF · 6'5" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 32	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	51%	52	30	10	3	14	17	14	38	19-26	73%	26-61	43%	13-35	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

GSW

0.90 44.9%

MIA

1.01 50.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

12

25

48%

MIA

18

35

51%

Midrange

GSW

9

20

45%

MIA

8

26

31%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

13

19.5

49

27%

40%

MIA

13

19.5

35

37%

56%

Free Throws

GSW

15

20

75%

MIA

19

26

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Podziemski	20	45%	10.0 / 22
Q. Post	19	73%	9.5 / 13
B. Hield	18	45%	9.0 / 20
P. Spencer	11	42%	5.5 / 13
M. Moody	9	35%	4.5 / 13
T. Jackson-Davis	8	80%	4.0 / 5
G. Payton	7	58%	3.5 / 6
G. Santos	4	25%	2.0 / 8
W. Richard	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Powell	25	89%	12.5 / 14
B. Adebayo	20	71%	10.0 / 14
A. Wiggins	17	50%	8.5 / 17
J. Jaquez	12	43%	6.0 / 14
P. Larsson	10	38%	5.0 / 13
S. Fontecchio	10	42%	5.0 / 12
K. Ware	7	32%	3.5 / 11
D. Mitchell	5	50%	2.5 / 5
D. Smith	4	29%	2.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 114.0 12 115.8	GSW 90.6 MIA 103.8 +13.2
Pace	18 99.9 1 104.3	GSW 97.1 MIA 116.7 +19.6
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.7 30 13.1	GSW 14.8 MIA 12.3 −2.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.0% 18 54.2%	GSW 43.1% MIA 47.4% +4.3%
TO %	28 14.9% 5 12.6%	GSW 18.3% MIA 11.5% −6.8%
ORB %	14 25.8% 17 25.4%	GSW 33.3% +8.3% MIA 25.0%
FTrt	24 23.8 14 26.8	GSW 21.3 MIA 27.1 +5.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 70.6% 10 66.3%	GSW 70.6% MIA 76.9% +6.3%
STL %	3 9.6% 17 8.3%	GSW 7.5% MIA 9.4% +1.9%
BLK %	27 8.0% 28 7.9%	GSW 8.2% +1.5% MIA 6.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.1% 15 56.8%	GSW 44.9% MIA 50.5% +5.6%
Rim FG%	5 66.7% 20 63.6%	GSW 48.0% MIA 51.4% +3.4%
Mid FG%	22 42.1% 21 42.4%	GSW 45.0% +14.2% MIA 30.8%
3P %	20 35.6% 11 36.1%	GSW 26.5% MIA 37.1% +10.6%
FT %	6 80.7% 11 79.2%	GSW 75.0% +1.9% MIA 73.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 29.5% 11 32.9%	GSW 26.6% MIA 36.5% +9.9%
Mid Att. %	3 20.8% 17 26.5%	GSW 21.3% −5.8% MIA 27.1%
3P Att. %	1 49.7% 18 40.6%	GSW 52.1% +15.7% MIA 36.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	MIA
Possessions	106	106
Possession Minutes	26.2	21.8
Points	96	110
Rebounds	61	52
Assists	24	30
Steals	8	10
Blocks	5	3
Turnovers (Team)	21 (2)	14 (0)
Fouls	20	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	19 (4)	14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	42 (1)	38 (2)
Field Goals	34-94	39-96
At-the-Rim FG	12-25	18-35
Midrange FG	9-20	8-26
2-Point FG	21-45	26-61
3-Point FG	13-49	13-35
Free Throws	15-20	19-26
Fast Break Pts	8	16
2nd Chance Pts	20	15
Points in Paint	40	48
Pts off Turnovers	14	34
Bench Points	55	33
Biggest Lead	5	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg