Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, November 19, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	7	Nuggets	77%	122	125	116.8	107	105.3
	25	Pelicans	23%	112	118	109.3	108	109.8

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

-20

NOP

+19

-12

115

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.30 65.1%

NOP

1.03 51.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

7 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	35.5	16	50%	0	8	0	0	3	4	0	0	4-5	80%	3-7	43%	2-7	29%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	34.4	28	67%	11	12	0	0	9	6	4	7	6-7	86%	8-14	57%	2-4	50%
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	34.4	32	84%	12	3	1	0	4	4	3	9	1-1	100%	8-10	80%	5-9	56%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SG · 6'8" 210 · 30	32.5	14	78%	3	5	1	0	2	2	0	3	1-2	50%	5-5	100%	1-3	33%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	26.6	2	25%	4	0	2	1	0	2	0	4	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	27.0	12	67%	3	4	3	0	2	3	1	2	2-4	50%	5-6	83%	0-1	0%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	23.1	7	39%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-5	20%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	16.0	14	88%	7	0	0	0	0	3	1	6	6-6	100%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	10.5	0	0%	0	2	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment \| G League - On Assignment
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way \| G League - Two-Way
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way \| G League - Two-Way
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Pain
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Hamstring; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	65%	41	35	8	1	20	26	9	32	22-27	81%	35-52	67%	11-31	35%

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7 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	35.5	16	50%	0	8	0	0	3	4	0	0	4-5	80%	3-7	43%	2-7	29%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	34.4	28	67%	11	12	0	0	9	6	4	7	6-7	86%	8-14	57%	2-4	50%
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	34.4	32	84%	12	3	1	0	4	4	3	9	1-1	100%	8-10	80%	5-9	56%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SG · 6'8" 210 · 30	32.5	14	78%	3	5	1	0	2	2	0	3	1-2	50%	5-5	100%	1-3	33%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	26.6	2	25%	4	0	2	1	0	2	0	4	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	27.0	12	67%	3	4	3	0	2	3	1	2	2-4	50%	5-6	83%	0-1	0%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	23.1	7	39%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-5	20%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	16.0	14	88%	7	0	0	0	0	3	1	6	6-6	100%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	10.5	0	0%	0	2	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment \| G League - On Assignment
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way \| G League - Two-Way
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way \| G League - Two-Way
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Pain
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Hamstring; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	65%	41	35	8	1	20	26	9	32	22-27	81%	35-52	67%	11-31	35%

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25 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 25	36.0	23	72%	2	3	5	1	3	0	0	2	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	5-12	42%
Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 21	30.4	30	71%	9	4	2	2	4	4	4	5	5-8	63%	11-16	69%	1-2	50%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 25	29.1	14	47%	6	5	1	1	3	4	3	3	2-4	50%	6-13	46%	0-0	-
Herbert Jones #2 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 27	29.0	9	50%	2	3	2	0	0	6	1	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 19	25.5	16	50%	3	1	0	1	0	0	0	3	2-2	100%	7-11	64%	0-4	0%

Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	18.9	2	20%	2	2	1	0	1	1	0	2	2-4	50%	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 28	18.9	2	17%	4	2	1	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-4	0%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	17.6	6	43%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Micah Peavy #14 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 24	17.1	9	50%	3	1	0	0	0	2	1	2	3-3	100%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 22	12.3	7	50%	8	2	0	0	0	4	6	2	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Kevon Looney #55 · C · 6'9" 222 · 30	5.2	0	0%	4	1	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #9 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Dickinson #4 · C · 7'1" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way \| G League - Two-Way
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way \| G League - Two-Way
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quad; Strain
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Rupture
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	51%	44	25	12	5	12	24	17	27	23-31	74%	37-64	58%	7-34	21%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	NOP
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	NOP

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.30 65.1%

NOP

1.03 51.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

67%

NOP

56%

Midrange

DEN

68%

NOP

61%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

16.5

35%

53%

NOP

10.5

21%

31%

Free Throws

DEN

81%

NOP

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Watson	32	84%	16.0 / 19
N. Jokić	28	67%	14.0 / 21
J. Murray	16	50%	8.0 / 16
C. Johnson	14	78%	7.0 / 9
J. Valančiūnas	14	88%	7.0 / 8
B. Brown	12	67%	6.0 / 9
T. Hardaway	7	39%	3.5 / 9
Z. Nnaji	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Queen	30	71%	15.0 / 21
T. Murphy	23	72%	11.5 / 16
J. Fears	16	50%	8.0 / 16
Z. Williamson	14	47%	7.0 / 15
H. Jones	9	50%	4.5 / 9
M. Peavy	9	50%	4.5 / 9
Y. Missi	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. Hawkins	6	43%	3.0 / 7
S. Bey	2	20%	1.0 / 5
J. Alvarado	2	17%	1.0 / 6
K. Looney	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	1 121.3 20 113.3	DEN 116.8 +7.6 NOP 109.3
Pace	19 99.4 11 101.3	DEN 105.3 NOP 109.8 +4.5
Avg. Poss. Time	9 14.7 22 14.1	DEN 13.7 NOP 13.1 −0.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.7% 27 52.7%	DEN 62.0% +13.5% NOP 48.5%
TO %	3 12.1% 11 13.2%	DEN 17.4% NOP 9.7% −7.7%
ORB %	24 23.6% 8 27.0%	DEN 25.0% NOP 34.7% +9.7%
FTrt	4 29.4 8 28.4	DEN 32.5 +0.9 NOP 31.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 66.5% 26 59.6%	DEN 76.1% +19.3% NOP 56.8%
STL %	30 6.8% 10 8.7%	DEN 7.5% NOP 11.1% +3.6%
BLK %	29 7.6% 7 10.1%	DEN 1.6% NOP 9.6% +8.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 60.1% 25 55.4%	DEN 65.1% +13.8% NOP 51.3%
Rim FG%	12 65.1% 29 61.5%	DEN 66.7% +10.6% NOP 56.1%
Mid FG%	2 47.0% 30 36.6%	DEN 68.4% +7.5% NOP 60.9%
3P %	1 39.6% 24 34.7%	DEN 35.5% +14.9% NOP 20.6%
FT %	5 80.8% 14 78.4%	DEN 81.5% +7.3% NOP 74.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 31.1% 1 42.8%	DEN 39.8% NOP 41.8% +2.1%
Mid Att. %	21 28.1% 5 21.7%	DEN 22.9% −0.6% NOP 23.5%
3P Att. %	17 40.8% 27 35.5%	DEN 37.3% +2.7% NOP 34.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.79 and 2.79.

Game Totals	DEN	NOP
Possessions	107	108
Possession Minutes	24.4	23.6
Points	125	118
Rebounds	41	44
Assists	35	25
Steals	8	12
Blocks	1	5
Turnovers (Team)	20 (0)	12 (0)
Fouls	26	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (0)	17 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (4)	27 (5)
Field Goals	46-83	44-98
At-the-Rim FG	22-33	23-41
Midrange FG	13-19	14-23
2-Point FG	35-52	37-64
3-Point FG	11-31	7-34
Free Throws	22-27	23-31
Fast Break Pts	19	20
2nd Chance Pts	11	18
Points in Paint	62	60
Pts off Turnovers	20	24
Bench Points	33	26
Biggest Lead	19	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg