Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, November 22, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	28	Kings	19%	113	128	133.3	96	96.6
	8	Nuggets	81%	125	123	126.8	97	96.4

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+13

-6

103

DEN

+19

-13

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.25 62.7%

DEN

1.19 59.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

28 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	36.5	19	63%	5	1	2	1	0	0	1	4	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	3-8	38%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	35.8	15	50%	2	3	2	0	2	1	0	2	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	1-6	17%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	30.7	17	77%	7	5	0	1	3	0	1	6	7-7	100%	5-8	63%	0-1	0%
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	29.8	21	62%	6	11	1	1	1	4	2	4	1-2	50%	7-10	70%	2-6	33%
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	21.6	8	67%	3	1	1	0	0	4	1	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	26.0	12	43%	2	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1-1	100%	4-10	40%	1-4	25%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · C · 6'8" 243 · 26	23.6	7	88%	4	0	1	0	0	3	2	2	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	18.4	21	95%	3	7	0	0	0	1	0	3	6-6	100%	3-5	60%	3-3	100%
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	9.1	2	50%	2	1	0	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	8.4	6	60%	3	1	1	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #20 · C · 6'10" 225 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Partial Meniscus Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	63%	37	32	8	3	6	20	9	28	22-23	96%	38-61	62%	10-30	33%

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28 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	36.5	19	63%	5	1	2	1	0	0	1	4	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	3-8	38%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	35.8	15	50%	2	3	2	0	2	1	0	2	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	1-6	17%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	30.7	17	77%	7	5	0	1	3	0	1	6	7-7	100%	5-8	63%	0-1	0%
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	29.8	21	62%	6	11	1	1	1	4	2	4	1-2	50%	7-10	70%	2-6	33%
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	21.6	8	67%	3	1	1	0	0	4	1	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	26.0	12	43%	2	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1-1	100%	4-10	40%	1-4	25%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · C · 6'8" 243 · 26	23.6	7	88%	4	0	1	0	0	3	2	2	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	18.4	21	95%	3	7	0	0	0	1	0	3	6-6	100%	3-5	60%	3-3	100%
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	9.1	2	50%	2	1	0	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	8.4	6	60%	3	1	1	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #20 · C · 6'10" 225 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Partial Meniscus Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	63%	37	32	8	3	6	20	9	28	22-23	96%	38-61	62%	10-30	33%

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8 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SG · 6'8" 210 · 30	37.2	20	83%	5	4	0	1	3	1	0	5	2-3	67%	3-4	75%	4-7	57%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	36.8	23	64%	2	9	1	1	1	2	0	2	2-3	67%	6-11	55%	3-7	43%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	36.6	44	69%	13	7	0	0	2	4	7	6	9-10	90%	13-22	59%	3-6	50%
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	34.2	15	75%	7	1	0	0	3	3	1	6	0-0	-	3-5	60%	3-5	60%
Spencer Jones #21 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 24	23.5	1	17%	4	0	0	0	1	5	2	2	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	26.8	2	14%	3	3	0	0	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	26.1	8	50%	1	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	11.2	8	50%	2	1	0	1	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	7.5	2	50%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	60%	38	28	1	3	13	21	11	27	19-23	83%	31-55	56%	14-37	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.25 62.7%

DEN

1.19 59.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

76%

DEN

68%

Midrange

SAC

46%

DEN

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

15.0

33%

50%

DEN

21.0

38%

57%

Free Throws

SAC

96%

DEN

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Westbrook	21	62%	10.5 / 17
D. Schröder	21	95%	10.5 / 11
K. Murray	19	63%	9.5 / 15
D. DeRozan	17	77%	8.5 / 11
Z. LaVine	15	50%	7.5 / 15
M. Monk	12	43%	6.0 / 14
D. Eubanks	8	67%	4.0 / 6
P. Achiuwa	7	88%	3.5 / 4
M. Raynaud	6	60%	3.0 / 5
N. Clifford	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	44	69%	22.0 / 32
J. Murray	23	64%	11.5 / 18
C. Johnson	20	83%	10.0 / 12
P. Watson	15	75%	7.5 / 10
T. Hardaway	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Valančiūnas	8	50%	4.0 / 8
B. Brown	2	14%	1.0 / 7
H. Tyson	2	50%	1.0 / 2
S. Jones	1	17%	0.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 110.6 1 121.3	SAC 133.3 +6.5 DEN 126.8
Pace	17 100.0 19 99.4	SAC 96.6 +0.2 DEN 96.4
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.5 9 14.7	SAC 14.9 −0.0 DEN 14.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 52.5% 1 57.7%	SAC 58.2% +1.7% DEN 56.5%
TO %	15 13.7% 3 12.1%	SAC 6.5% −4.8% DEN 11.3%
ORB %	13 25.9% 24 23.6%	SAC 25.0% DEN 28.2% +3.2%
FTrt	19 25.6 4 29.4	SAC 25.3 +0.3 DEN 25.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 61.5% 9 66.5%	SAC 66.7% +4.5% DEN 62.2%
STL %	21 8.0% 30 6.8%	SAC 8.3% +7.3% DEN 1.0%
BLK %	19 8.6% 29 7.6%	SAC 5.5% +0.6% DEN 4.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 54.7% 1 60.1%	SAC 62.7% +3.0% DEN 59.7%
Rim FG%	8 65.9% 12 65.1%	SAC 75.8% +8.2% DEN 67.6%
Mid FG%	13 43.8% 2 47.0%	SAC 46.4% +8.3% DEN 38.1%
3P %	29 34.1% 1 39.6%	SAC 33.3% DEN 37.8% +4.5%
FT %	21 77.2% 5 80.8%	SAC 95.7% +13.1% DEN 82.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 28.0% 19 31.1%	SAC 36.3% DEN 37.0% +0.7%
Mid Att. %	30 38.1% 21 28.1%	SAC 30.8% DEN 22.8% −7.9%
3P Att. %	30 33.9% 17 40.8%	SAC 33.0% DEN 40.2% +7.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Game Totals	SAC	DEN
Possessions	96	97
Possession Minutes	23.8	24.2
Points	128	123
Rebounds	37	38
Assists	32	28
Steals	8	1
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	6 (1)	13 (0)
Fouls	20	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (4)	11 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (2)	27 (5)
Field Goals	48-91	45-92
At-the-Rim FG	25-33	23-34
Midrange FG	13-28	8-21
2-Point FG	38-61	31-55
3-Point FG	10-30	14-37
Free Throws	22-23	19-23
Fast Break Pts	23	8
2nd Chance Pts	15	25
Points in Paint	62	54
Pts off Turnovers	20	10
Bench Points	48	20
Biggest Lead	9	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg