Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, November 24, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	7	Nuggets	57%	119	125	128.9	97	91.5
	16	Grizzlies	43%	117	115	117.3	98	104.2

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+15

-14

MEM

+15

-11

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.26 63.1%

MEM

1.14 56.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

7 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	37.2	29	66%	3	8	0	0	1	1	0	3	1-2	50%	5-12	42%	6-9	67%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SG · 6'8" 210 · 30	36.5	18	82%	6	1	1	0	3	3	2	4	3-3	100%	3-6	50%	3-4	75%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	33.7	17	77%	10	16	2	0	3	1	1	9	4-5	80%	2-5	40%	3-4	75%
Peyton Watson #8 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 23	32.9	27	61%	5	3	1	1	1	4	2	3	0-0	-	6-10	60%	5-12	42%
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	15.0	0	0%	5	0	0	0	1	2	4	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	28.3	9	50%	3	2	0	0	2	1	1	2	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	27.4	13	59%	2	1	0	1	0	0	1	1	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	2-7	29%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	14.6	6	100%	6	0	0	1	2	2	0	6	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	14.3	6	50%	6	1	1	0	1	1	3	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Injury Management
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	63%	46	32	5	3	14	15	14	32	11-14	79%	24-48	50%	22-43	51%

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7 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	37.2	29	66%	3	8	0	0	1	1	0	3	1-2	50%	5-12	42%	6-9	67%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SG · 6'8" 210 · 30	36.5	18	82%	6	1	1	0	3	3	2	4	3-3	100%	3-6	50%	3-4	75%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	33.7	17	77%	10	16	2	0	3	1	1	9	4-5	80%	2-5	40%	3-4	75%
Peyton Watson #8 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 23	32.9	27	61%	5	3	1	1	1	4	2	3	0-0	-	6-10	60%	5-12	42%
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	15.0	0	0%	5	0	0	0	1	2	4	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	28.3	9	50%	3	2	0	0	2	1	1	2	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	27.4	13	59%	2	1	0	1	0	0	1	1	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	2-7	29%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	14.6	6	100%	6	0	0	1	2	2	0	6	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	14.3	6	50%	6	1	1	0	1	1	3	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Injury Management
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	63%	46	32	5	3	14	15	14	32	11-14	79%	24-48	50%	22-43	51%

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16 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 22	33.4	22	73%	5	3	1	0	0	1	2	3	2-4	50%	4-5	80%	4-8	50%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #8 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 26	28.6	16	50%	6	4	0	0	3	4	2	4	1-1	100%	6-8	75%	1-8	13%
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	26.7	5	42%	3	2	1	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 25	23.9	6	38%	5	7	1	2	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-6	33%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	5.7	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-

Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	32.7	12	35%	6	6	2	2	1	1	3	3	2-2	100%	5-11	45%	0-5	0%
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	30.9	26	68%	10	2	0	0	1	3	1	9	3-3	100%	7-12	58%	3-6	50%
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	28.9	18	82%	2	4	0	0	1	0	1	1	3-3	100%	3-4	75%	3-6	50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	21.3	8	100%	0	3	0	0	3	2	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	2-2	100%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	7.9	0	0%	2	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Turf Toe
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery Recovery
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	57%	40	33	6	4	11	16	11	29	13-15	87%	27-46	59%	16-47	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MEM
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MEM

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.26 63.1%

MEM

1.14 56.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

57%

MEM

65%

Midrange

DEN

40%

MEM

54%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

33.0

51%

77%

MEM

24.0

34%

51%

Free Throws

DEN

79%

MEM

87%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	29	66%	14.5 / 22
P. Watson	27	61%	13.5 / 22
C. Johnson	18	82%	9.0 / 11
N. Jokić	17	77%	8.5 / 11
T. Hardaway	13	59%	6.5 / 11
B. Brown	9	50%	4.5 / 9
Z. Nnaji	6	100%	3.0 / 3
J. Valančiūnas	6	50%	3.0 / 6
S. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Landale	26	68%	13.0 / 19
J. Wells	22	73%	11.0 / 15
C. Spencer	18	82%	9.0 / 11
J. Jackson	16	50%	8.0 / 16
S. Aldama	12	35%	6.0 / 17
K. Caldwell-Pope	8	100%	4.0 / 4
V. Williams	6	38%	3.0 / 8
C. Coward	5	42%	2.5 / 6
Z. Edey	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Konchar	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	1 121.3 23 112.4	DEN 128.9 +11.5 MEM 117.3
Pace	19 99.4 7 101.8	DEN 91.5 MEM 104.2 +12.7
Avg. Poss. Time	9 14.7 26 13.8	DEN 15.7 MEM 13.8 −1.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.7% 24 53.3%	DEN 62.6% +7.8% MEM 54.8%
TO %	3 12.1% 22 14.3%	DEN 12.6% MEM 9.9% −2.7%
ORB %	24 23.6% 19 24.7%	DEN 32.6% +7.0% MEM 25.6%
FTrt	4 29.4 21 25.1	DEN 15.4 MEM 16.1 +0.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 66.5% 6 67.4%	DEN 69.6% MEM 76.7% +7.1%
STL %	30 6.8% 11 8.7%	DEN 5.2% MEM 6.1% +0.9%
BLK %	29 7.6% 14 9.1%	DEN 6.5% MEM 8.3% +1.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 60.1% 22 55.8%	DEN 63.1% +6.2% MEM 56.9%
Rim FG%	12 65.1% 26 62.8%	DEN 57.1% MEM 65.0% +7.9%
Mid FG%	2 47.0% 11 44.2%	DEN 40.0% MEM 53.8% +13.8%
3P %	1 39.6% 22 35.3%	DEN 51.2% +17.2% MEM 34.0%
FT %	5 80.8% 9 79.3%	DEN 78.6% MEM 86.7% +8.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 31.1% 26 28.6%	DEN 30.8% +9.3% MEM 21.5%
Mid Att. %	21 28.1% 19 27.8%	DEN 22.0% −6.0% MEM 28.0%
3P Att. %	17 40.8% 10 43.6%	DEN 47.3% MEM 50.5% +3.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Game Totals	DEN	MEM
Possessions	97	98
Possession Minutes	25.4	22.6
Points	125	115
Rebounds	46	40
Assists	32	33
Steals	5	6
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	11 (0)
Fouls	15	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (1)	11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (5)	29 (2)
Field Goals	46-91	43-93
At-the-Rim FG	16-28	13-20
Midrange FG	8-20	14-26
2-Point FG	24-48	27-46
3-Point FG	22-43	16-47
Free Throws	11-14	13-15
Fast Break Pts	10	12
2nd Chance Pts	21	13
Points in Paint	46	46
Pts off Turnovers	15	17
Bench Points	34	64
Biggest Lead	17	3

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg