Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, February 21, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	28	Kings	12%	106	122	110.9	110	107.3
	5	Spurs	88%	121	139	126.4	110	112.8

Prediction updated: Feb 22, 2026 01:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+12

-12

110

SAS

+17

-17

110

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.11 55.5%

SAS

1.28 63.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

28 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keegan Murray #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 26	35.8	20	56%	2	2	1	2	1	3	0	2	4-5	80%	5-8	63%	2-8	25%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 37	34.7	20	56%	1	5	2	1	2	2	0	1	10-10	100%	5-12	42%	0-1	0%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	26.3	16	50%	12	3	0	1	1	4	7	5	4-4	100%	6-12	50%	0-2	0%
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	21.3	7	39%	3	2	1	1	5	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 26	21.1	14	70%	3	4	1	0	0	1	0	3	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	1-1	100%

Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	29.8	8	44%	5	4	2	0	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-3	0%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	27.9	19	59%	1	6	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	5-7	71%	3-9	33%
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	17.9	4	100%	2	1	1	2	1	2	0	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	14.4	6	50%	4	4	1	1	0	3	2	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	5.5	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	5.3	8	100%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Tendon Repair
De'Andre Hunter #15 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Eye; Iritis
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	56%	35	33	11	8	12	20	10	25	23-25	92%	36-64	56%	9-32	28%

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28 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keegan Murray #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 26	35.8	20	56%	2	2	1	2	1	3	0	2	4-5	80%	5-8	63%	2-8	25%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 37	34.7	20	56%	1	5	2	1	2	2	0	1	10-10	100%	5-12	42%	0-1	0%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	26.3	16	50%	12	3	0	1	1	4	7	5	4-4	100%	6-12	50%	0-2	0%
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	21.3	7	39%	3	2	1	1	5	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 26	21.1	14	70%	3	4	1	0	0	1	0	3	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	1-1	100%

Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	29.8	8	44%	5	4	2	0	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-3	0%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	27.9	19	59%	1	6	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	5-7	71%	3-9	33%
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	17.9	4	100%	2	1	1	2	1	2	0	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	14.4	6	50%	4	4	1	1	0	3	2	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	5.5	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	5.3	8	100%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Tendon Repair
De'Andre Hunter #15 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Eye; Iritis
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	56%	35	33	11	8	12	20	10	25	23-25	92%	36-64	56%	9-32	28%

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5 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	29.8	28	64%	15	6	1	4	1	3	1	14	5-7	71%	10-15	67%	1-5	20%
Julian Champagnie #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 25	27.6	8	57%	4	3	1	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-6	33%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 28	27.3	18	69%	2	5	1	0	5	3	0	2	3-4	75%	6-8	75%	1-3	33%
Stephon Castle #5 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 21	24.5	18	69%	8	3	0	1	2	2	3	5	6-8	75%	6-8	75%	0-1	0%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 25	23.8	8	57%	3	3	0	1	2	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-3	67%

Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20	23.1	12	60%	5	5	0	0	2	3	1	4	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	0-1	0%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 34	20.9	14	78%	2	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	3-7	43%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	20.8	18	64%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	3-4	75%	3-8	38%	3-4	75%
Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 31	12.8	4	100%	5	3	1	1	0	1	3	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	10.7	3	50%	1	0	0	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 35	5.5	4	67%	2	1	0	0	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #0 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 30	4.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 23	4.4	2	100%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 27	4.4	2	50%	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
David Jones Garcia #25 · SF · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Hyperextension
Mason Plumlee #22 · C · 7'0" 254 · 36	Inactive – Return to Competition Reconditioning
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	139	64%	48	32	5	7	17	20	12	36	22-28	79%	39-60	65%	13-34	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	SAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.11 55.5%

SAS

1.28 63.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

63%

SAS

74%

Midrange

SAC

51%

SAS

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

13.5

28%

42%

SAS

19.5

38%

57%

Free Throws

SAC

92%

SAS

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Murray	20	56%	10.0 / 18
D. DeRozan	20	56%	10.0 / 18
M. Monk	19	59%	9.5 / 16
M. Raynaud	16	50%	8.0 / 16
P. Achiuwa	14	70%	7.0 / 10
N. Clifford	8	44%	4.0 / 9
D. McDermott	8	100%	4.0 / 4
R. Westbrook	7	39%	3.5 / 9
D. Eubanks	6	50%	3.0 / 6
D. Plowden	4	100%	2.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Wembanyama	28	64%	14.0 / 22
D. Fox	18	69%	9.0 / 13
S. Castle	18	69%	9.0 / 13
K. Johnson	18	64%	9.0 / 14
H. Barnes	14	78%	7.0 / 9
D. Harper	12	60%	6.0 / 10
J. Champagnie	8	57%	4.0 / 7
D. Vassell	8	57%	4.0 / 7
L. Kornet	4	100%	2.0 / 2
K. Olynyk	4	67%	2.0 / 3
C. Bryant	3	50%	1.5 / 3
H. Ingram	2	100%	1.0 / 1
S. Umude	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 110.6 3 118.9	SAC 110.9 SAS 126.4 +15.5
Pace	17 100.0 13 100.5	SAC 107.3 SAS 112.8 +5.5
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.5 18 14.2	SAC 13.4 SAS 12.8 −0.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 52.5% 7 55.9%	SAC 51.6% SAS 62.2% +10.6%
TO %	15 13.7% 4 12.5%	SAC 10.1% −4.4% SAS 14.5%
ORB %	13 25.9% 10 26.2%	SAC 21.7% SAS 32.4% +10.7%
FTrt	19 25.6 12 27.3	SAC 26.0 SAS 29.8 +3.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 61.5% 13 64.6%	SAC 73.3% +11.8% SAS 61.5%
STL %	21 8.0% 24 7.5%	SAC 10.0% +5.5% SAS 4.5%
BLK %	19 8.6% 10 10.0%	SAC 13.3% +2.4% SAS 10.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 54.7% 6 58.1%	SAC 55.5% SAS 63.8% +8.3%
Rim FG%	8 65.9% 9 65.8%	SAC 63.0% SAS 74.4% +11.4%
Mid FG%	13 43.8% 5 45.1%	SAC 51.4% +3.8% SAS 47.6%
3P %	29 34.1% 15 35.9%	SAC 28.1% SAS 38.2% +10.1%
FT %	21 77.2% 12 78.7%	SAC 92.0% +13.4% SAS 78.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 28.0% 7 34.4%	SAC 28.1% SAS 41.5% +13.4%
Mid Att. %	30 38.1% 7 23.4%	SAC 38.5% SAS 22.3% −16.2%
3P Att. %	30 33.9% 15 42.2%	SAC 33.3% SAS 36.2% +2.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.66 and 2.66.

Game Totals	SAC	SAS
Possessions	110	110
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.4
Points	122	139
Rebounds	35	48
Assists	33	32
Steals	11	5
Blocks	8	7
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	17 (1)
Fouls	20	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (2)	12 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (2)	36 (3)
Field Goals	45-96	52-94
At-the-Rim FG	17-27	29-39
Midrange FG	19-37	10-21
2-Point FG	36-64	39-60
3-Point FG	9-32	13-34
Free Throws	23-25	22-28
Fast Break Pts	17	18
2nd Chance Pts	9	26
Points in Paint	46	74
Pts off Turnovers	17	24
Bench Points	45	59
Biggest Lead	4	28

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg