Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, February 22, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Cavaliers	47%	112	113	113.0	100	103.4
	7	Thunder	53%	113	121	121.0	100	96.8

Prediction updated: Feb 22, 2026 05:56 PM

Scoring Opportunities

CLE

+16

-17

OKC

+15

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.14 57.1%

OKC

1.21 60.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

2 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'2" 215 · 29	35.1	20	50%	7	5	2	0	3	1	0	7	2-3	67%	9-13	69%	0-6	0%
James Harden #1 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 36	33.8	20	67%	5	9	1	1	5	5	1	4	1-2	50%	5-7	71%	3-7	43%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	28.6	11	61%	13	2	1	0	3	1	6	7	3-6	50%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 25	25.2	15	63%	2	1	1	0	1	4	0	2	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	1-4	25%
Dean Wade #32 · SF · 6'9" 228 · 29	17.7	0	0%	3	1	0	1	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%

Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 30	28.5	20	83%	3	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	6-10	60%
Keon Ellis #14 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	23.4	9	64%	1	3	2	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-4	25%
Dennis Schröder #8 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	22.4	11	50%	4	7	1	1	2	1	0	4	4-4	100%	2-7	29%	1-2	50%
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	15.8	7	44%	4	0	1	0	1	1	1	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	9.8	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	3	2	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Darius Brown #30 · SG · 6'2" 192 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristan Enaruna #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Riley Minix #12 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Emanuel Miller #15 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Max Strus #2 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery - Jones Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	57%	44	28	9	3	17	22	12	32	14-19	74%	30-50	60%	13-39	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

2 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'2" 215 · 29	35.1	20	50%	7	5	2	0	3	1	0	7	2-3	67%	9-13	69%	0-6	0%
James Harden #1 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 36	33.8	20	67%	5	9	1	1	5	5	1	4	1-2	50%	5-7	71%	3-7	43%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	28.6	11	61%	13	2	1	0	3	1	6	7	3-6	50%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 25	25.2	15	63%	2	1	1	0	1	4	0	2	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	1-4	25%
Dean Wade #32 · SF · 6'9" 228 · 29	17.7	0	0%	3	1	0	1	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%

Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 30	28.5	20	83%	3	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	6-10	60%
Keon Ellis #14 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	23.4	9	64%	1	3	2	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-4	25%
Dennis Schröder #8 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	22.4	11	50%	4	7	1	1	2	1	0	4	4-4	100%	2-7	29%	1-2	50%
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	15.8	7	44%	4	0	1	0	1	1	1	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	9.8	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	3	2	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Darius Brown #30 · SG · 6'2" 192 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristan Enaruna #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Riley Minix #12 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Emanuel Miller #15 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Max Strus #2 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery - Jones Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	57%	44	28	9	3	17	22	12	32	14-19	74%	30-50	60%	13-39	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

7 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 27	35.1	12	55%	3	2	2	0	2	4	1	2	0-2	0%	3-5	60%	2-6	33%
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 24	34.4	17	47%	15	4	1	3	2	1	2	13	6-9	67%	4-10	40%	1-4	25%
Cason Wallace #22 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 22	33.8	20	56%	4	10	3	0	1	2	2	2	2-2	100%	3-9	33%	4-8	50%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 27	30.3	22	73%	2	3	5	0	3	5	1	1	4-4	100%	0-2	0%	6-11	55%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	25.7	13	81%	7	4	0	0	1	3	1	6	1-4	25%	6-6	100%	0-0	-

Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	22.4	7	50%	3	4	0	0	1	1	2	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	18.2	8	133%	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-2	100%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	16.5	10	71%	3	0	0	1	1	0	0	3	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	3-5	60%
Jared McCain #3 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	15.8	10	63%	3	1	1	0	1	1	2	1	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	2-3	67%
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 21	7.8	2	50%	2	3	0	0	3	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Brooks Barnhizer #23 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Buddy Boeheim #14 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Abdominal; Strain/ Left Ankle Sprain
Jalen Williams #8 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgical Recovery
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Abdominal; Strain
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	61%	44	32	12	4	16	19	13	31	16-25	64%	21-45	47%	21-41	51%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	OKC

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.14 57.1%

OKC

1.21 60.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CLE

71%

OKC

57%

Midrange

CLE

50%

OKC

29%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CLE

19.5

33%

50%

OKC

31.5

51%

77%

Free Throws

CLE

74%

OKC

64%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell	20	50%	10.0 / 20
J. Harden	20	67%	10.0 / 15
S. Merrill	20	83%	10.0 / 12
E. Mobley	15	63%	7.5 / 12
J. Allen	11	61%	5.5 / 9
D. Schröder	11	50%	5.5 / 11
K. Ellis	9	64%	4.5 / 7
J. Tyson	7	44%	3.5 / 8
D. Wade	0	-	0.0 / 1
N. Tomlin	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
I. Joe	22	73%	11.0 / 15
C. Wallace	20	56%	10.0 / 18
C. Holmgren	17	47%	8.5 / 18
I. Hartenstein	13	81%	6.5 / 8
L. Dort	12	55%	6.0 / 11
J. Williams	10	71%	5.0 / 7
J. McCain	10	63%	5.0 / 8
K. Williams	8	133%	4.0 / 3
A. Wiggins	7	50%	3.5 / 7
N. Topić	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 118.3 7 117.6	CLE 113.0 OKC 121.0 +8.0
Pace	12 100.6 15 100.3	CLE 103.4 +6.6 OKC 96.8
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.1 20 14.1	CLE 13.9 −1.0 OKC 14.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 56.1% 4 56.1%	CLE 55.6% OKC 61.0% +5.4%
TO %	10 13.2% 1 11.8%	CLE 14.9% OKC 14.2% −0.7%
ORB %	9 26.9% 28 22.3%	CLE 27.9% OKC 28.9% +1.0%
FTrt	15 26.5 17 26.1	CLE 21.3 OKC 29.1 +7.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 65.3% 25 59.8%	CLE 65.1% OKC 76.2% +11.1%
STL %	15 8.4% 4 9.6%	CLE 9.0% OKC 12.0% +3.0%
BLK %	11 9.8% 2 11.0%	CLE 6.7% OKC 8.0% +1.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 58.2% 4 58.5%	CLE 57.1% OKC 60.5% +3.4%
Rim FG%	7 66.1% 11 65.2%	CLE 70.8% +13.7% OKC 57.1%
Mid FG%	3 46.8% 1 47.6%	CLE 50.0% +20.6% OKC 29.4%
3P %	13 36.0% 9 36.5%	CLE 33.3% OKC 51.2% +17.9%
FT %	19 77.6% 3 81.7%	CLE 73.7% +9.7% OKC 64.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 31.7% 16 31.3%	CLE 27.0% OKC 32.6% +5.6%
Mid Att. %	8 24.1% 15 26.1%	CLE 29.2% OKC 19.8% −9.4%
3P Att. %	9 44.2% 13 42.6%	CLE 43.8% OKC 47.7% +3.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CLE	OKC
Possessions	100	100
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.8
Points	113	121
Rebounds	44	44
Assists	28	32
Steals	9	12
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	16 (0)
Fouls	22	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (4)	13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (3)	31 (1)
Field Goals	43-89	42-86
At-the-Rim FG	17-24	16-28
Midrange FG	13-26	5-17
2-Point FG	30-50	21-45
3-Point FG	13-39	21-41
Free Throws	14-19	16-25
Fast Break Pts	21	17
2nd Chance Pts	8	17
Points in Paint	56	40
Pts off Turnovers	12	31
Bench Points	47	37
Biggest Lead	1	23

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg