Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	9	Nuggets	51%	114	117	110.4	106	106.2
	12	Warriors	49%	113	128	121.9	105	104.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	37.9	9	45%	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	2	7-7	100%	1-3	33%	0-4	0%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	35.9	35	67%	20	12	3	2	5	1	6	14	10-11	91%	8-17	47%	3-4	75%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	35.1	18	75%	5	2	2	0	3	2	2	3	3-4	75%	6-7	86%	1-4	25%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	33.5	21	62%	2	2	1	0	5	1	0	2	2-3	67%	8-11	73%	1-6	17%
Julian Strawther #3 · PF · 6'6" 205 · 24	18.5	6	38%	3	2	1	1	0	1	1	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-3	0%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 30	29.4	12	60%	5	2	3	0	2	1	3	2	0-0	-	3-7	43%	2-3	67%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	24.8	8	40%	1	0	1	0	2	1	0	1	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-6	17%
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	12.9	2	50%	2	1	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	12.1	6	43%	3	2	1	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	56%	44	25	13	3	17	11	14	30	25-29	86%	34-60	57%	8-31	26%

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9 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	37.9	9	45%	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	2	7-7	100%	1-3	33%	0-4	0%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	35.9	35	67%	20	12	3	2	5	1	6	14	10-11	91%	8-17	47%	3-4	75%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	35.1	18	75%	5	2	2	0	3	2	2	3	3-4	75%	6-7	86%	1-4	25%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	33.5	21	62%	2	2	1	0	5	1	0	2	2-3	67%	8-11	73%	1-6	17%
Julian Strawther #3 · PF · 6'6" 205 · 24	18.5	6	38%	3	2	1	1	0	1	1	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-3	0%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 30	29.4	12	60%	5	2	3	0	2	1	3	2	0-0	-	3-7	43%	2-3	67%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	24.8	8	40%	1	0	1	0	2	1	0	1	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-6	17%
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	12.9	2	50%	2	1	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	12.1	6	43%	3	2	1	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	56%	44	25	13	3	17	11	14	30	25-29	86%	34-60	57%	8-31	26%

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12 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Moses Moody #4 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 24	35.2	23	72%	7	5	1	0	2	3	1	6	1-1	100%	5-7	71%	4-9	44%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24	27.8	17	94%	5	7	1	0	2	5	1	4	3-4	75%	4-4	100%	2-3	67%
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	27.0	22	100%	1	7	3	2	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	6-7	86%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 28	25.0	20	50%	4	2	4	0	0	2	1	3	4-4	100%	5-8	63%	2-10	20%
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	18.6	2	33%	0	5	1	0	2	4	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%

Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	36.6	18	56%	15	9	1	0	3	2	3	12	1-1	100%	4-9	44%	3-7	43%
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	29.6	11	55%	2	3	1	0	0	3	0	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	20.9	0	0%	7	4	0	0	1	3	2	5	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	19.4	15	68%	3	0	2	0	3	2	1	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	3-8	38%
Draymond Green #23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 36	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Low Back; Soreness
Kristaps Porziņģis #7 · C · 7'2" 240 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| General; Illness
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 36	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Sciatic Nerve; Irritation
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgery
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	62%	44	42	14	2	15	24	9	35	11-12	92%	27-42	64%	21-52	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	GSW
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	GSW

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.11 55.7%

GSW

1.24 62.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

20

32

63%

GSW

19

25

76%

Midrange

DEN

14

28

50%

GSW

8

17

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

8

12.0

31

26%

39%

GSW

21

31.5

52

40%

61%

Free Throws

DEN

25

29

86%

GSW

11

12

92%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	35	67%	17.5 / 26
J. Murray	21	62%	10.5 / 17
C. Braun	18	75%	9.0 / 12
B. Brown	12	60%	6.0 / 10
C. Johnson	9	45%	4.5 / 10
T. Hardaway	8	40%	4.0 / 10
J. Strawther	6	38%	3.0 / 8
J. Valančiūnas	6	43%	3.0 / 7
S. Jones	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Moody	23	72%	11.5 / 16
A. Horford	22	100%	11.0 / 11
D. Melton	20	50%	10.0 / 20
B. Podziemski	18	56%	9.0 / 16
G. Santos	17	94%	8.5 / 9
G. Payton	15	68%	7.5 / 11
W. Richard	11	55%	5.5 / 10
P. Spencer	2	33%	1.0 / 3
Q. Post	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	1 121.3 19 114.0	DEN 110.4 GSW 121.9 +11.5
Pace	19 99.4 18 99.9	DEN 106.2 +1.5 GSW 104.7
Avg. Poss. Time	9 14.7 10 14.7	DEN 13.6 −0.2 GSW 13.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.7% 13 55.0%	DEN 50.5% GSW 62.2% +11.7%
TO %	3 12.1% 28 14.9%	DEN 14.1% −1.2% GSW 15.3%
ORB %	24 23.6% 14 25.8%	DEN 28.6% +5.5% GSW 23.1%
FTrt	4 29.4 24 23.8	DEN 31.9 +19.1 GSW 12.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 66.5% 1 70.6%	DEN 59.5% GSW 87.5% +28.0%
STL %	30 6.8% 3 9.6%	DEN 12.3% GSW 13.3% +1.0%
BLK %	29 7.6% 27 8.0%	DEN 7.1% +3.8% GSW 3.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 60.1% 11 57.1%	DEN 55.7% GSW 62.1% +6.4%
Rim FG%	12 65.1% 5 66.7%	DEN 62.5% GSW 76.0% +13.5%
Mid FG%	2 47.0% 22 42.1%	DEN 50.0% +2.9% GSW 47.1%
3P %	1 39.6% 20 35.6%	DEN 25.8% GSW 40.4% +14.6%
FT %	5 80.8% 6 80.7%	DEN 86.2% GSW 91.7% +5.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 31.1% 24 29.5%	DEN 35.2% +8.6% GSW 26.6%
Mid Att. %	21 28.1% 3 20.8%	DEN 30.8% GSW 18.1% −12.7%
3P Att. %	17 40.8% 1 49.7%	DEN 34.1% GSW 55.3% +21.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Game Totals	DEN	GSW
Possessions	106	105
Possession Minutes	24.0	24.1
Points	117	128
Rebounds	44	44
Assists	25	42
Steals	13	14
Blocks	3	2
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	15 (3)
Fouls	11	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (2)	9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (4)	35 (1)
Field Goals	42-91	48-94
At-the-Rim FG	20-32	19-25
Midrange FG	14-28	8-17
2-Point FG	34-60	27-42
3-Point FG	8-31	21-52
Free Throws	25-29	11-12
Fast Break Pts	20	12
2nd Chance Pts	22	12
Points in Paint	60	46
Pts off Turnovers	17	24
Bench Points	28	44
Biggest Lead	8	14

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg